MLB Thursday 8/10

[Wiretowire]

YTD +2830
1-1 last

Thanks KJ. If the kid was pitching against anyone but SD I think he would have been mauled. In the minors hitters aren't patient. They know they won't get into the bigs walking so they swing at everything and it's easy for a pitcher to throw stuff outside or in the dirt and get the rookies to swing. This is exactly what SD did. But I do agree they intend to keep him up and I will look for his next start because I don't see him ready. The first batter walked and then stole 2nd and 3rd on successive pitches because he payed no attention to him. But then SD stopped running for some unknown reason. His focus can be worked on but easily at the majors level. GL

All x50 each

Toronto ML -130 - No clue why Cle gave up one of their few hitters to get this guy.
Minn ML -150 - Manoah fits well here.

GL

 

[inZane]

Good luck today Wire.

:cheers3:

I'm noticing that the number of games you're playing is way down. Are the books catching up to your system?

 

[Wiretowire]

Thanks inzane. Couple of reasons for the reduced games. First, since the all-star break I am not having good success so when that happens, I limit my exposure to the books. I'll go slow and take my profits. Second, things are still in flux here and in Montreal as we are trying to find a place for my 92 year old mother in law to live as she is now but can't live alone and we are trying to do all the paper work for my father in law who passed away a few weeks ago. Could be that split attention is why I have not done well since the all-star break but I am also seeing other weird things in MLB. Which is the third thing, I am backing solid looking pitchers but these sped up games are I think taking their toll on all the pitchers health. Can't be sure of that but they aren't performing to their usual standards. Finally, I usually don't play so many sides as I have this year. I am mostly a totals bettor, but the books have jacked all the totals to really high averages. In a 15 game card I can maybe find one game I can buy down to 7 runs. Everything else can't be bought down to less than 8 1/2 seems like. That's really unusual but the books have their reasons for jacking totals so I am just kind of biding my time and watching. Add all of that together and it's 2-3 games for me 4 tops.

I do think taking +2 1/2 runs when the books set those ridiculous -300 odds is and will work for the next 2 months. I won't be surprised to see -400 on some of these games come Sept. And I will be waiting for that with my bankroll intact. Sometimes you just have to slow everything down. GL