Satyr
Paster of Muppets
MLB 2007: 65 W-6V-52 L +82.37 units
Skipped early games on purpose. Started analyzing the card and at some point felt overwhelmed by various, contradicting info, (anti)sweep theories, h2h, etc...
Just had to skip it. Had a 2 hour sleep and we're back in action. These are the picks I liked since early afternoon, and I'm taking them now.
Giants (Lowry) (RL) (2.34 @ Pinnacle) 7 units
Noah Lowry (5-4, 2.69 ERA) has been flying under the radar. He never did (nor probably will) have a stud-like reputation, but his numbers are solid.
Lowry has won a career-high four straight home starts, allowing six earned runs in 25 2-3 innings in those games. He improved to 4-1 with a 1.93 ERA in five starts at AT&T Park after he allowed six hits in seven innings of a 4-0 win over Houston on Monday. In Lowry's last 9 starts, he only gave up more than 3 ERs ONCE. And that was at the Dodger stadium, exactly 4. All other starts have been respectable. He has shown the ability to pitch long innings, and is very hard to work against, as he always seems to find the way to get out of trouble.
He's posting a 1.57 ERA in May, but the team has lacked to produce adequate run support and he went only 2-2 during that period. He already had to settle in for a loss at Coors on May 10, giving up 4 runs (2 ER) in 7 innings.
He is 3.75 against Colorado this year, but a staggering 2-5, 6.87 ERA in 10 career starts against the Rockies.
But I have to think he has overcome the obstacles he had when facing the Rockies, as his numbers have significantly improved against them this year, and I'll go for his 5th consecutive home win.
You think Lowry has had problems against the Rockies? Taylor Bucholz (2-2, 5.94 ERA) will get the nod for the Rockies tonight, and he is 0-2, 18.00 ERA against his tonight's opposition.
He was tagged for season highs of eight runs and 12 hits in 4 2-3 innings of a 15-2 loss to San Francisco on May 13, but rebounded nicely to give up an unearned run and five hits in seven innings of a 6-4 win over Kansas City last Saturday.
Why runline? Well first of, Giants will be up to avoid the sweep (even though this is NOT an anti-sweep play, as I don't factor it in my capping) so Bonds will be in the lineup despite the fact he usually misses a day game following a night game. Lowry has been very good this year, and I believe they'll break out of a slump tonight.
Furthermore, these two teams have played 11 games so far (Colorado leads 6-5) and ALL these games have finished by 2 runs or more for either team.
If this one is going to be an exception, ok. But I'm not laying this much chalk on the ML, as I feel the payout is much more rewarding this way.
More plays coming up...
Skipped early games on purpose. Started analyzing the card and at some point felt overwhelmed by various, contradicting info, (anti)sweep theories, h2h, etc...
Just had to skip it. Had a 2 hour sleep and we're back in action. These are the picks I liked since early afternoon, and I'm taking them now.
Giants (Lowry) (RL) (2.34 @ Pinnacle) 7 units
Noah Lowry (5-4, 2.69 ERA) has been flying under the radar. He never did (nor probably will) have a stud-like reputation, but his numbers are solid.
Lowry has won a career-high four straight home starts, allowing six earned runs in 25 2-3 innings in those games. He improved to 4-1 with a 1.93 ERA in five starts at AT&T Park after he allowed six hits in seven innings of a 4-0 win over Houston on Monday. In Lowry's last 9 starts, he only gave up more than 3 ERs ONCE. And that was at the Dodger stadium, exactly 4. All other starts have been respectable. He has shown the ability to pitch long innings, and is very hard to work against, as he always seems to find the way to get out of trouble.
He's posting a 1.57 ERA in May, but the team has lacked to produce adequate run support and he went only 2-2 during that period. He already had to settle in for a loss at Coors on May 10, giving up 4 runs (2 ER) in 7 innings.
He is 3.75 against Colorado this year, but a staggering 2-5, 6.87 ERA in 10 career starts against the Rockies.
But I have to think he has overcome the obstacles he had when facing the Rockies, as his numbers have significantly improved against them this year, and I'll go for his 5th consecutive home win.
You think Lowry has had problems against the Rockies? Taylor Bucholz (2-2, 5.94 ERA) will get the nod for the Rockies tonight, and he is 0-2, 18.00 ERA against his tonight's opposition.
He was tagged for season highs of eight runs and 12 hits in 4 2-3 innings of a 15-2 loss to San Francisco on May 13, but rebounded nicely to give up an unearned run and five hits in seven innings of a 6-4 win over Kansas City last Saturday.
Why runline? Well first of, Giants will be up to avoid the sweep (even though this is NOT an anti-sweep play, as I don't factor it in my capping) so Bonds will be in the lineup despite the fact he usually misses a day game following a night game. Lowry has been very good this year, and I believe they'll break out of a slump tonight.
Furthermore, these two teams have played 11 games so far (Colorado leads 6-5) and ALL these games have finished by 2 runs or more for either team.
If this one is going to be an exception, ok. But I'm not laying this much chalk on the ML, as I feel the payout is much more rewarding this way.
More plays coming up...
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