Satyr
Paster of Muppets
MLB 2007: 62 W-5V-51 L +73.1 units
1-1 last night but almost 4 units of profit as the Halos did the job.
Early play so far:
Angels (Escobar) (2.71 @ Pinnacle) 3 units
over 9 (1.86 @ Pinnacle) 5 units
I just can't miss out on this value. I'm aware we're counting on the Angels to take 2 straight games in New York but so what? The Yankees are a 21-25 team this year, and it's far from coincidence. They'll give the ball to Chien Ming Wang (3-3, 4.28 ERA) who seeks to win his third straight start for New York. He's posted a 2.03 ERA in his last two outings, and that surely deserves respect. However, that doesn't automatically imply you can set the Angels as a 2.71 dogs. They're way better than that, and frankly besides the "due theory" and "how on Earth do the Halos win 2 straight in NY", both non factors for a serious capper of course, I don't see a reason for this situation.
Let's take a look at the pitching first. Wang is on an upward spiral that's for sure, but he still might be prone to letting in a few, plus he already surrendered five runs and 13 hits over 5 1-3 innings in a 5-3 loss to Los Angeles on Aug. 13. That's an ERA of 8.44.
Angels counter with Escobar (5-2, 2.82 ERA) who isn't an ace but far from a shaky pitcher as well. The Yankees have owned him in NY (3-4 with a 6.19 ERA at Yankee Stadium in 17 career appearances) but this guy is too good to be a dog this big, especially with a batting lineup this good. The Halos will have Willits back for tonight, they have Guerrero breaking out of a week slump, and a few guys who are hitting at the moment (Cabrera, Kotchman, Napoli, Matthews...)
These guys are a top notch ballclub. And Kelvim Escobar is the real deal. I don't think one needs more to justify taking a 2.71 dog. Especially if you take into consideration that A-Rod is in a slump (even though he is hitting .385 off Escobar in 26 AB, Jeter is hitting .381 in 42 AB against Escobar).
I'm looking at this one as another slugfest. The Angels put 10 on the board last night and in normal situations we would look for an offensive letdown, but only in case of an average ballclub. When the Angels are concerned, and the versatility they have in the lineup, plus Wang actually not being the most dependable guy in the world at the moment, and have in mind if he collapses, Yanks' pen has been subpar this year, plus they used several guys last night.
I'm seeing a 7-6 Angels win.
Other picks coming within an hour or two. :cheers: GL tonight guys.
1-1 last night but almost 4 units of profit as the Halos did the job.
Early play so far:
Angels (Escobar) (2.71 @ Pinnacle) 3 units
over 9 (1.86 @ Pinnacle) 5 units
I just can't miss out on this value. I'm aware we're counting on the Angels to take 2 straight games in New York but so what? The Yankees are a 21-25 team this year, and it's far from coincidence. They'll give the ball to Chien Ming Wang (3-3, 4.28 ERA) who seeks to win his third straight start for New York. He's posted a 2.03 ERA in his last two outings, and that surely deserves respect. However, that doesn't automatically imply you can set the Angels as a 2.71 dogs. They're way better than that, and frankly besides the "due theory" and "how on Earth do the Halos win 2 straight in NY", both non factors for a serious capper of course, I don't see a reason for this situation.
Let's take a look at the pitching first. Wang is on an upward spiral that's for sure, but he still might be prone to letting in a few, plus he already surrendered five runs and 13 hits over 5 1-3 innings in a 5-3 loss to Los Angeles on Aug. 13. That's an ERA of 8.44.
Angels counter with Escobar (5-2, 2.82 ERA) who isn't an ace but far from a shaky pitcher as well. The Yankees have owned him in NY (3-4 with a 6.19 ERA at Yankee Stadium in 17 career appearances) but this guy is too good to be a dog this big, especially with a batting lineup this good. The Halos will have Willits back for tonight, they have Guerrero breaking out of a week slump, and a few guys who are hitting at the moment (Cabrera, Kotchman, Napoli, Matthews...)
These guys are a top notch ballclub. And Kelvim Escobar is the real deal. I don't think one needs more to justify taking a 2.71 dog. Especially if you take into consideration that A-Rod is in a slump (even though he is hitting .385 off Escobar in 26 AB, Jeter is hitting .381 in 42 AB against Escobar).
I'm looking at this one as another slugfest. The Angels put 10 on the board last night and in normal situations we would look for an offensive letdown, but only in case of an average ballclub. When the Angels are concerned, and the versatility they have in the lineup, plus Wang actually not being the most dependable guy in the world at the moment, and have in mind if he collapses, Yanks' pen has been subpar this year, plus they used several guys last night.
I'm seeing a 7-6 Angels win.
Other picks coming within an hour or two. :cheers: GL tonight guys.