Mlb pitcher props

[cashflowmatters]

I have recently spoken with 3 different guys who deal mlb props . All 3 said they have been getting beat up on the pitcher props. 2 of the 3 were getting beat so bad on these they stopped taking all player props. They claim these #’s are very beatable. I’m curious to what you people here think. I spoke to a player who only bets player props in all sports and is being shut off by most books. He claims he’s beating bad #s. , claims its a grind. I spoke with the 2 books who were taking his action They said the guy lost twice in 4 months. Do most sites take pitcher props? What do you guys think?

 

[B.A.R.]

Well, if anyone is playing a ridiculous amount of props they have to hit a VERY high percentage in order to be in the positive. Why? Props are insanely juiced.

What types of baseball props are we talking?

 

[cashflowmatters]

Well, if anyone is playing a ridiculous amount of props they have to hit a VERY high percentage in order to be in the positive. Why? Props are insanely juiced.

What types of baseball props are we talking?

MLB pitcher props, 2 of 3 local books have shut the guy off, guy only plays player props & is crushing it. In mlb pitcher props & in cfb player props... I spoke with reps from LVACTION & they are telling their agents not to take player props unless the player is playing normal straight bets as well. They said there is a group out there that is crushing these player props, mostly because of soft #'s

 

[B.A.R.]

MLB pitcher props, 2 of 3 local books have shut the guy off, guy only plays player props & is crushing it. In mlb pitcher props & in cfb player props... I spoke with reps from LVACTION & they are telling their agents not to take player props unless the player is playing normal straight bets as well. They said there is a group out there that is crushing these player props, mostly because of soft #'s

Okay, but what are the 'props'?

I am curious .... give me an example....

 

[cashflowmatters]

over/unders strike outs . pitcher props

In CFB mostly over/under total passing yards for qbs & over/under total yards for rbs & receivers

 

[B.A.R.]

over/unders strike outs . pitcher props

In CFB mostly over/under total passing yards for qbs & over/under total yards for rbs & receivers

Okay, thanks.

Now, how/why are these numbers not being adjusted? With the juice on props they should be able to set the proper numbers to be honest.

 

[scarf31]

over/unders strike outs . pitcher props

In CFB mostly over/under total passing yards for qbs & over/under total yards for rbs & receivers

This is just shitty bookmaking, cash, IMO. They have the right to hang what numbers they want to, but smart bookies are going to juice either the total or vig to high heaven if they're continually getting beat on these type of player props.

And instead of yanking them, as a last resort, I'm stunned they aren't limiting the action on these to something small at worst like $100/pop. But to pull them entirely? Seems kinda weak to me.

 

[cashflowmatters]

The guy is on the Woodruff(milw) Under 5 1/2 K's tonight

 

[cashflowmatters]

This is just shitty bookmaking, cash, IMO. They have the right to hang what numbers they want to, but smart bookies are going to juice either the total or vig to high heaven if they're continually getting beat on these type of player props.

And instead of yanking them, as a last resort, I'm stunned they aren't limiting the action on these to something small at worst like $100/pop. But to pull them entirely? Seems kinda weak to me.

The one book who is still taking his action is limiting him to 100/ , guy collected 2280 last week, that more than 22 net winners in 7 days. The other 2 books who shut him off both lost thousands to the guy at 500/max over 4-6 month period

 

[scarf31]

How the books let the guy bet 500 max and not adjust anything on their end is ridiculous and good for the winning bettor...that's just shitty bookmaking. Not surprised by the limit to 100 though, that's much more common.

Problem with these bookies (like casinos), they can often do whatever the hell they want and the player has no recourse, unfortunately.

 

[cashflowmatters]

The guy is on the Woodruff(milw) Under 5 1/2 K's tonight

Woodruff under 5.5 is -105

he also has Mahle(cinci) OVER 4.5 ks (-170)

do what you like with these if you have the ability to play them, the guy is very solid

 

[cashflowmatters]

Today 4/13/19 he is on UNDER 5 k's Hendricks(cubs) -120

 

[cashflowmatters]

4/13/19 add ons for today

UNDER 3 Ks Cashner(bal) -120

UNDER 5 Ks Ross(det) -110

UNDER 4.5 Ks Stratton(laa) -120