MLB July 8th Discussion ~ Brooms out on road in SEA, PIT & KC

[mrpickem]

PHI really playing well lately

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[mrpickem]

Since May 1 all games with totals under 9 have gone under 58% of the time for 10.7% ROI

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[mrpickem]

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[BJPLAYER]

Note to self....don't play under in KC games.....they have no relief....also look to go against KC live when they get a small lead early in games

 

[mrpickem]

Road teams that carry totals with them https://goo.gl/JEzSpS

Overs
A' S 26-16-2 61.9%
JAYS 22-14-4 61.1%
FISH 27-19 58.7% (12-6 since Jun 1)

Unders
PADS 29-14-4 67.4% (14-6-2 since Jun 1)
NATS 28-14-1 66.7% (10-4 since Jun 1)
TIGS 29-15 65.9% (12-5 since Jun 1)

UNDERS seem to carry much better :haveanidea:

 

[BJPLAYER]

good stuff pickem.....that nats under trend may be in for some regression....looking at their o stats they have a lot of players that have decent ba and obp...it actually does not translate to the amount of runs they have been scoring and i suspect that they will start scoring a few more....they must be leaving a lot of men on base

 

[JROCK1966]

BOL @mrpickem !!

:tiphat:

 

[2daBank]

Really looking forward to cards young bad ass pitching against San Fran’s veteran bad ass! Had to take cards ml but think it could def go either way just feel value lies w the dog here.

 

[BJPLAYER]

looking at wash over 9....tanner has the look of a guy that could be done and richards has been barely servicable....wash lineup has to break out sometime and they seem ton own miami...any thought.....line has moved in wash favor which is perplexing given roarke current form

 

[T-Rex]

looking at wash over 9....tanner has the look of a guy that could be done and richards has been barely servicable....wash lineup has to break out sometime and they seem ton own miami...any thought.....line has moved in wash favor which is perplexing given roarke current form

Washington owns Miami... just that simple

 

[VirginiaCavs]

looking at wash over 9....tanner has the look of a guy that could be done and richards has been barely servicable....wash lineup has to break out sometime and they seem ton own miami...any thought.....line has moved in wash favor which is perplexing given roarke current form

Not perplexing. Its stupid recency bias. Wash just destroyed them last night.

 

[VirginiaCavs]

I wonder what Wash‘s avg runs scored is in game after scoring double digit runs. Maybe some letdown here. Plus Roark is garbage. Line movement has zero predictive value, Wash super public. Could be another Sunday afternoon crapper for them. But i haven‘t looked into Miami‘s pitcher

 

[VirginiaCavs]

Really looking forward to cards young bad ass pitching against San Fran’s veteran bad ass! Had to take cards ml but think it could def go either way just feel value lies w the dog here.

Why not 1h rl so you win with tie?

 

[T-Rex]

Thanks for the stats! Having me second guess my under in yanks. However, it did drop a half run with over 70% taking the over. Still might not be able to get off of it

 

[Inspekdah]

Where’s tuck?

 

[tuck321]

Saying silly things probably in wrong thread

 

[Inspekdah]

Saying silly things probably in wrong thread

Well I really do appreciate your insights and try to not go against your plays.

 

[tuck321]

I am much better with time, Not here. Just want simple. Toronto might be playable 9-4 on Sunday but it takes so much time to think about it

 

[Johnnyonthespot]

I played the open at 9 move to 9.5 Sunday unders, nats, pirates, twins, haha, scary terry

 

[Inspekdah]

German is iffy, at best, but that 22-6 record vs lefties is hard to overlook.

 

[Johnnyonthespot]

Sometimes German looks amazing too, if only for 2 8nnings at a time

 

[Johnnyonthespot]

Newcomb has had to work very hard recently, I like him to start off well here, kind of bouncebackish, no Braun but cain prob

 

[Inspekdah]

Fulmer solid splits but Tigers suck vs R and he’s been seen and hit by Rangers recently.

 

[Johnnyonthespot]

That rangers sp is so weak tho. Omg I could never back him

 

[Inspekdah]

Line Satan braves live despite the splits not being favorable.

Breweries average 9-9 vs lefty.

 

[T-Rex]

I dont think I am gonna be able to get off Texas today. They have been 2 hot to drop 3 in a row. That yanks game is just making me go all over the place. First was on yanks, then keep questioning German too much. Like the under, but I think if Toronto wins, over will hit no problems. Feel like I am still on the under though with watching the way the line dropped from 9.5 to 9 with over 70% on the over

 

[Inspekdah]

Who is this Philly pitcher? Limited but awful MLB experience.

 

[T-Rex]

Yah I am all over PItt. Just glad i took them this morning before that line flew up

 

[Inspekdah]

Splits for Kingham are as good as it could get for Pitt.

 

[BJPLAYER]

Not perplexing. Its stupid recency bias. Wash just destroyed them last night.

for what it's worth last nights game did not enter into my thought process on today's total other than it may go under due to all the runs scored

 

[2daBank]

Why not 1h rl so you win with tie?

Rather tie than lose the juice on -150.

 

[VirginiaCavs]

Rather tie than lose the juice on -150.

Didnt realize it was -150. cards been getting bet like crazy tho it seems