tee*dub
Head of Loggerhead Turtle Society
wk of 7/28, 7-5, (+1395)
wk of 8/4, 8-2, (+9400)
wk of 8/11, 10-2, (+15461)
wk of 8/18, 1-3, (-4481)
Total last couple weeks; 26-12, (+21,775)
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1-1 on Wednesday, only 4 plays this week. Terrible cards for my capping style.
Bet a RL earlier in the week (against my rules) and going further to the dark side today by betting a big favorite (rarely play over -150). I see value and I am pulling the trigger.
Cardinals -210, 4 units (4200-2000)
Again, not crazy about the number but I believe the Cardinals win this game 3 out of 4 times, thus value. Been waiting on this spot for various reasons some of which I will summarize below.
May add a smaller play or two..:cheers:
wk of 8/4, 8-2, (+9400)
wk of 8/11, 10-2, (+15461)
wk of 8/18, 1-3, (-4481)
Total last couple weeks; 26-12, (+21,775)
__________________________________________________
1-1 on Wednesday, only 4 plays this week. Terrible cards for my capping style.
Bet a RL earlier in the week (against my rules) and going further to the dark side today by betting a big favorite (rarely play over -150). I see value and I am pulling the trigger.
Cardinals -210, 4 units (4200-2000)
Again, not crazy about the number but I believe the Cardinals win this game 3 out of 4 times, thus value. Been waiting on this spot for various reasons some of which I will summarize below.
- Wainwright- Last we saw AW was in early June. He was cruising and was in early contention for the NL CY young with several others. Then came the injury- ruptured tendon in middle finger of throwing hand. Went on DL June 7, back tonight and reports show he has his full assortment of pitches including his signature 12/6 curveball.
- Joel Pineiro- Mention him because in an odd twist of scheduling the Cardinals have several days off during the current three week period and have decided to use a 4 man rotation. Odd man out is Pineiro who has had three stellar starts in a row, winning all three and going deep in each. The reason he is important tonight is as follows.. Two possible scenarios can play out tonight regarding Wainwright IMO. 1) he pitches fine goes into the 6th or 7th (stated 85-90 pitch count by Larussa this morning) and turns it over to a very well rested and effective bullpen (next bullet point) OR he has medical problems early. If the second scenario plays out Pineiro is the guy and as stated I am very comfortable with him in this spot should Wainwright fail, medically
- Cards bullpen (and pitching for that matter) Much has been written about the Cards lack of pitching in some of these threads. I always encourage cappers to look at the current body of work not the season long numbers. For example the Cards SP in August has been stellar, 9-6 record, 3.12 ERA.. But onto the bullpen which is the discussion for the game at hand.. Two days off this week (Monday and Thursday) have left them very well rested. As everyone knows, Izzy is gone and Franklin has been exiled to the 6th inning or mopup duty.. Leaves a very good end of the game punch in Garcia, Springer, McClelland and closer Perez.. I'll take it.
- Love Wainwright against the Braves.. Only two career starts but 2-0 with 1.29 ERA.. Was drafted by the Braves, traded to Cardinals early in his career (for JD Drew) and always gets up for starts against his old team.
- Braves-- this lineup, sans chipper Jones, can be dominated right now. They have scored only 33 runs in last 11 games, 10 of those losses.
- Morton, RHP, Braves. His most recent start was decent but against weak hitting SF. Lets look at his start on 7/28 vs redbirds. 3 2/3 innings pitched, 8ERs, 4 BBs. A pitcher with an ERA hovering around 6 vs a lineup that has recently feasted on him.. Yep.
- Cards lineup. vs RHP is powerful.. Ankiel who hit a bomb Wednesday will protect Pujols in the 4 hole. Expect Schumacher and Ludwick 1 and 2 and Glaus 5... Second base will be interesting.. Expect to see resurgent Felipe Lopez there again tonight. He has become a Larussa favorite since his waiver wire pick of from the Nats a few weeks ago.. Hitting .300+ since his arrival with gap power and can play multiple positions.
May add a smaller play or two..:cheers:
