Wiretowire
Pretty much a regular
YTD +2270
What am I betting for this world series? I don't know because I don't want to. I'm not impressed by either team. I would love to say one of them showed real grit and determination so far in the playoffs, but I didn't see that. Both have sketchy offense and neither impressed on defense. Both went to 7 games so there was no dominance there. A case could be made that both were truly surprising playing great ball in the first few months of the season but that was 5 months ago. Then both went into a semi tail spin and managed to somewhat right themselves in the last month of the season.
Pitching:
- AZ has Gallen, Kelley, and Pfaadt. Gallen is very good, Kelley can be very good, and with Pfaadt you are just hoping he gets you a few innings and doesn't blow up early.
- Texas has Eovaldi, Scherzer, and Montgomery. Eovaldi has pitched well recently but he can always blow up at any moment. We all know Scherzer is at the end of his career, and it would be no surprise if he retires should the Rangers win it all, but his pitching is beyond suspect and try not to laugh in the face of the people who say, "Yes but this is the playoffs, and he will be great!!!" No, he won't. We should never forget that Montgomery was let go by the Yankees and how many really good pitchers were ever let go by the NY Yankees. I'll give you a week or two to come up with 3.
Bullpens both suck but AZ sucks a little less because they have a 3.49 era and Texas comes in at a whopping 4.12. Why do those numbers stink? remember that era's are runners they put on base themselves and allowed to score. Relievers era's don't count inherited runners. Those runs are charged to the pitcher before them. Trust me that stinks at 3+ era and 4+ era you should fire all of them. They only pitch 3-4 innings for god's sake.
So now you can see why I don 't even want to bet on either one of these. Both are mediocre at best. Yes, they reached the finals but a lot of that had to do with stupid scheduling of the really good teams. I know Texas and AZ fans are excited, but I just can't get into this matchup.
But I'm supposed to post predictions and picks so here goes.......
You can get AZ at +150 for the series. They have better pitching for sure so that is a definite good lean. I wouldn't wait until after tonight and hope Eovaldi can beat Gallen to get better odds. Take AZ to win the series now at +150 and then if they do lose unload on AZ to win the series at +250 or so.
As for totals this is going to be a problem. I would lean under tonight and when Gallen pitches and over when Scherzer, Pfaadt, and Montgomery go but the books will probably set 9 on those games and 9 is too high for any game in this series because the offenses are sketchy. They could score 3 runs or 12 on any given night.
But tonight I have to pick something so................
AZ +2 1/2 -110/+50 - I have no clue why Eovaldi is favored over Gallen. Home field? That doesn't mean shit in these playoffs. Actually, contrary to popular belief home field only advantage is last at bats and knowing what you have to do to win but since modern baseball doesn't understand the value of the bunt even that means nothing. And please don't say it's the crowd and the atmosphere because that just proves you haven't been listening to me at all this or any other year. Also check out how the home team did in all 7 of the Hou/Tex series. The home team crowd just must not have wanted it bad enough in two different cities for 7 straight nights. Yeah right. I wish those idiots knew how much pressure they put on their home town team when they stand up and start to cheer. I'll give you an example. The Philly fans stood the entire game, start to finish, and cheered their asses off in that game 7. AZ hammered out 11 hits and Philly got just 5 in a 4-2 loss. Keep standing folks. I think it will work next time.
GL
What am I betting for this world series? I don't know because I don't want to. I'm not impressed by either team. I would love to say one of them showed real grit and determination so far in the playoffs, but I didn't see that. Both have sketchy offense and neither impressed on defense. Both went to 7 games so there was no dominance there. A case could be made that both were truly surprising playing great ball in the first few months of the season but that was 5 months ago. Then both went into a semi tail spin and managed to somewhat right themselves in the last month of the season.
Pitching:
- AZ has Gallen, Kelley, and Pfaadt. Gallen is very good, Kelley can be very good, and with Pfaadt you are just hoping he gets you a few innings and doesn't blow up early.
- Texas has Eovaldi, Scherzer, and Montgomery. Eovaldi has pitched well recently but he can always blow up at any moment. We all know Scherzer is at the end of his career, and it would be no surprise if he retires should the Rangers win it all, but his pitching is beyond suspect and try not to laugh in the face of the people who say, "Yes but this is the playoffs, and he will be great!!!" No, he won't. We should never forget that Montgomery was let go by the Yankees and how many really good pitchers were ever let go by the NY Yankees. I'll give you a week or two to come up with 3.
Bullpens both suck but AZ sucks a little less because they have a 3.49 era and Texas comes in at a whopping 4.12. Why do those numbers stink? remember that era's are runners they put on base themselves and allowed to score. Relievers era's don't count inherited runners. Those runs are charged to the pitcher before them. Trust me that stinks at 3+ era and 4+ era you should fire all of them. They only pitch 3-4 innings for god's sake.
So now you can see why I don 't even want to bet on either one of these. Both are mediocre at best. Yes, they reached the finals but a lot of that had to do with stupid scheduling of the really good teams. I know Texas and AZ fans are excited, but I just can't get into this matchup.
But I'm supposed to post predictions and picks so here goes.......
You can get AZ at +150 for the series. They have better pitching for sure so that is a definite good lean. I wouldn't wait until after tonight and hope Eovaldi can beat Gallen to get better odds. Take AZ to win the series now at +150 and then if they do lose unload on AZ to win the series at +250 or so.
As for totals this is going to be a problem. I would lean under tonight and when Gallen pitches and over when Scherzer, Pfaadt, and Montgomery go but the books will probably set 9 on those games and 9 is too high for any game in this series because the offenses are sketchy. They could score 3 runs or 12 on any given night.
But tonight I have to pick something so................
AZ +2 1/2 -110/+50 - I have no clue why Eovaldi is favored over Gallen. Home field? That doesn't mean shit in these playoffs. Actually, contrary to popular belief home field only advantage is last at bats and knowing what you have to do to win but since modern baseball doesn't understand the value of the bunt even that means nothing. And please don't say it's the crowd and the atmosphere because that just proves you haven't been listening to me at all this or any other year. Also check out how the home team did in all 7 of the Hou/Tex series. The home team crowd just must not have wanted it bad enough in two different cities for 7 straight nights. Yeah right. I wish those idiots knew how much pressure they put on their home town team when they stand up and start to cheer. I'll give you an example. The Philly fans stood the entire game, start to finish, and cheered their asses off in that game 7. AZ hammered out 11 hits and Philly got just 5 in a 4-2 loss. Keep standing folks. I think it will work next time.
GL
