MLB Discussion July 23 - Will Tribe Cool Pirates

Given Kluber had something called a "gel knee injection" after his last start and also considering how hot the Pirates are, I'm floored the line is that steep. Makes me think the linesmakers are correct on this one but I'm not interested in a -250 plus line. I'll pass.
 
If memory serves correct the Yankees suck in the 1st game of a division series on the road?
 
sox lining up against the hapless O's for 3 games.....can't really see anything less than 2/3 for the sox....porcello vs O's 5-11 4.86 and gausman 4-7 4.25 vs sox and both coming off bad starts....maybe over here but the last start being so bad for both worries me....for those who like chasing this series will have a sox win by 2 or more and it will have an over with the matchups slated i believe
 
Play on PIT with an average NL starting pitcher (ERA=4.20 to 5.20), vs below average AL hitting team (AVG <=.265) in July games
45-24 or 65% winner with 31% ROI over last 5+ years
:megaphone:

league = NL and 4.2 <= STDSERA <= 5.2 and oS(hits) / oS(at bats) < .265 and o:league = AL and month = 7 and season > 2012
SU: 45-24 (0.77, 65.2%) avg line: 102.0 / -115.0 on / against: +$2,693 / -$3,030 ROI: +31.0% / -33.1%


Actually returns 31.6% in history of SDQL database (54-28)
 
BALTIMORE -- Brock Holt's knee injury wasn't all that concerning, after all.

The Red Sox second baseman returns to the lineup three days after suffering a contusion on his right knee, getting the start against Baltimore righty Kevin Gausman.
With Rick Porcello on the mound for the visitors, here is the Red Sox' lineup for the series opener at Camden Yards:

Mookie Betts RF
Andrew Benintendi LF
J.D. Martinez DH
Mitch Moreland 1B
Xander Bogaerts SS
Brock Holt 2B
Rafael Devers 3B
Sandy Leon C
Jackie Bradley Jr. CF
 
mrpickem said:
The Miami Marlins are 12-0 SU in the first game of a home series when seeking same-season revenge for a walk-off loss.
team=Marlins and H and FGS and Po:WOW and P:season=season and season>=2010

Sean Newcomb 0-8 in July starts
starter=Sean Newcomb and month=7

View attachment 33609
Click to expand...
7 out of the 8 games in that 0-8 stretch came against teams with better records than the Bravos. See below. He did lose once to the Phillies last Summer when the Braves had a better record than the Phils. Tonight is not a bad matchup for Newcomb methinks. The 12-0 revenge trend for the Fish is most concerning for me, however, esp. since my bets are already locked in. :nonono:

newcomb1.jpgnewcomb.jpg
 
Newcomb pitched 6 innings of shutout ball last year in his lone start at Miami......fwiw....I'll take my chances with the Bravos. BOL in what y'all decide! :cool:

newcomb2.jpg
 
BALTIMORE -- The Boston Red Sox are in the driver's seat in the American League East and can further distance themselves atop the standings in a three-game series against the free-falling Baltimore Orioles beginning Monday at Camden Yards.

The Red Sox remain one of the hottest teams in baseball after winning two of three against the Detroit Tigers during the weekend.
Boston is 9-1 against Baltimore this season, but Red Sox manager Alex Cora is not taking anything for granted
"There's a few good teams out there, that they're going to make it interesting in the second half," Cora said. "I still feel we can be better. We've still got some challenges in front of us. Just because we had a good first half of the season doesn't mean we're going to go all the way."
The Orioles traded third baseman Manny Machado to the Los Angeles Dodgers during the All-Star break and the second half of the season looks even bleaker. Baltimore was swept in a three-game weekend series by the Toronto Blue Jays. Tim Beckham, who moved from third base to shortstop, had costly errors in each of the first two games before the Orioles allowed four runs in the eighth inning during Sunday's 5-4 loss.
Baltimore is playing for pride at this point.
"The won-loss record is bad, but I think at the same time there's a lot of guys who are motivated to have a good second half and kind of right the ship as much as they can," Orioles designated hitter Mark Trumbo said. "Obviously for the team, but personally, too. Some of the younger players that are kind of fighting to establish themselves. As players, that's motivation in and of itself."
Rick Porcello (11-4, 4.13 ERA) will start for the Red Sox in the opener. He struggled in his last outing, allowing eight runs and seven hits against the Blue Jays.
"I had a terrible night, that's for sure, but at the same time, our ballclub's playing real well right now," Porcello said after the loss to Toronto. "I'm not going to let one bad night affect what we're doing and keep moving forward."
Porcello is 5-11 with a 4.86 ERA in 19 career starts against Baltimore. However, he posted a win against the Orioles on May 19.
Boston will get a boost with the return of second baseman Brock Holt, who left Friday's game against Detroit with a bruised knee and was held out for the remainder of the series.
Kevin Gausman (4-7, 4.33) will pitch the opener for the Orioles. He had an uneven first half of the season. In his last outing, he allowed five runs and 12 hits in five innings against the Philadelphia Phillies.
Gausman plans to do whatever he can to get the Orioles back on track despite being out of playoff contention and without their biggest superstar.
"I think you've just got to go out and compete," Gausman said. "I think everybody here has been embarrassed by how we've played this year in the first half and how far back we are, so we're playing for our pride.
"Our playoff hopes are done. It's about surviving and trying to build something going into next season. And obviously, we're going to have some different guys around here the second half than we had the first half. We'll adjust from that and see where it takes us."
Gausman is 4-7 with a 4.25 ERA in 19 appearances (14 starts) against Boston. He also took the loss against the Red Sox on May 17.
 
Johnnyonthespot said:
Why has Newcomb been so bad lately? Fatigue?
Click to expand...
I don't know. I don't follow all the personal stuff. I just deal in situations that lineup well together and add some splits I think are significant. And I'm of the opinion this is a great spot for Newcomb to get back on track. He will have a lot of support from his team tonight. The Marlins are sneaky at home. Yes, this is true however not so much against division foes. They're at their worst against NL East compared to other divisions. See below. A good questions for @mrpickem might be to see if we can split his 12-0 revenge trend into division foes and see how many of those wins came against the NL East.

marlins5.jpg
 
Never mind @mrpickem I found it! NL East foes comprise an 8-0 record out of that 12-0 revenge trend you posted. 8-0 is still significant. I'll have to sweat my wagers out.....

:fingerscrossed:

marlins6.jpg
 
Retburj13 said:
BALTIMORE -- Brock Holt's knee injury wasn't all that concerning, after all.

The Red Sox second baseman returns to the lineup three days after suffering a contusion on his right knee, getting the start against Baltimore righty Kevin Gausman.
With Rick Porcello on the mound for the visitors, here is the Red Sox' lineup for the series opener at Camden Yards:

Mookie Betts RF
Andrew Benintendi LF
J.D. Martinez DH
Mitch Moreland 1B
Xander Bogaerts SS
Brock Holt 2B
Rafael Devers 3B
Sandy Leon C
Jackie Bradley Jr. CF
Click to expand...


this is bostons best o and d lineup
 
Gary pulling a Bryce Harper with the game on the line. Jesus is it that hard to run to first? All the money he gets paid inhibiting his gait?
 
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