• Time to make 1st round picks for the College Football Playoff Contest!

Mlb 8/2

slim5150

slim5150

Freelance Gynecologist
Some very cool finishes yesterday including the marlins. Wow. Would like to play them today....still may, in some way.

Played a couple already. Will likely have more. Note the different unit play for the cubs.

Tb 1st5 ml 105 bm
Bos tt ov 2.5 1st 5 100 bm
Cubs -1 -175
(Risk .23 units to win .13 units.)
Wash 163 bol
Kc 125 bol

My little tribute to Ryno. I recall as a child watching cub games on WGN. Had the rookie cards and all that stuff. Said it once and ill say it again, cancer sucks. RIP legend.

Yesterday
4-6 -1.1 units
Ytd 244-272 +46.35

Ive said it once and i will say it again...im a horrible total player. Considered bos/hou game over...but just went with what i felt was stronger way to play it. One of these days i will stick to what seems to be working for me.

Ive gotten better at looking past what the numbers said has happened and had some short term success in what could happen, within the parameters of long term losing at a fair price. What i have to consider is the numbers that are blatently obvious when it comes to totals...everyone can see that. I have not magically stumbled upon some secret formula.

Just try and learn something every day and improve when i can.
 
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I wanted to do Bos-Hou 1H over but couldn‘t figure out Buehler and liked Hou pen too much. I think your play is the best one and I think I would have taken it if I could access Bovada here
 
Hou wound up on my model as a play to consider, but i didnt take it. I do agree the houston lineup is stonger having correa and eventually alvarez back. Pena was back in last night and got 3 hits....so i itially the full game over was a consideration.

Gordon's recent form scared me off the houston side. But it was enough to consider for 1st half over.

And like Cavs pointed out...i didnt want to be stuck at 4 and need 1 more in the 8th or 9th to cash. The even money caught my eye on the 1st half...and with gordons 1.44 whip, 309 ba avg, 379 woba. and lower k% vs righties, it felt like the best option to have success. He doesnt control lefties as well, although his sample is much smaller against that side.
 
PENA!! He is fun to watch,he moved from DR to Providence Rhode Island then went to Maine University, he is an elite defender and put the bat on the ball..love to see it
 
Pena has sure thrived in that leadoff role. Like a 450 obp and a 360 avg. A key contributor to houstons run peoduction rchallenges recently has been due in large part to his absence
 
Strider u17.5 outs 145 hrb
He has hit 15 outs in his last 2 and exceeded it the the previous 5. So its going to be close.
I see 2 things working in my favor with a 3rd being very subjective.

1. I expect the reds to be competitive here. Righties posess a better batting average aginst him, but most of the runs scored have come from the left side. This is a plus for this as the combo could produce extra pitches to work deeper into counts...or a bunch of runs early which could get him pulled.
2. Weather in the area. Thunderstorm and rain are expected tonight at about 50%. If they get started and there is a lengthy delay...he could get pulled early. If the game isnt delayed, but the rain persists this could create control issues.
3. No reason to push him in seemingly meaningless games as he is comimg off the tj surgery. While there has been no formal announcement they plan on limiting him, it has to be considered an he will be the ace, or ace to be next year.

Only reason it stuck out was the price. Ill take my chances.

Oak -1 +127 bm
If thw snake lineup decides to produce today...this could have issues. While ginn could have some challenges against the top of the ariz lineup, they have not been producing, even before the deadline. Gallens splita suggest oak can have alot of scoring opportunities. As alwaya...one should expect some runs. I thing given gins recent pitching form vs the run challenged ariz lineup is one id rather back than gallen vs the surging oak hitters.
 
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