Mlb 6/17

[slim5150]

Benefactor of a 1 run win and a hr walkoff win. Gotta call out those that fall in my favor as much as i am critical of the 1 run losses.

Interesting matchups all over the card i think tampa gets it done again but prob wont play it. I expect the same left handed hitting production again. Lowe, lowe and aranda to hopefully have another good night. The lowe boys both had dingers, so that was cool.

Philly and miami went about as could be expected. Abel is showing he is very capable. I think there will be some runs today, probably more for the phils. At this number i could only bet miami. Not interested with quantril on the bump.

MAybe today wash gets off the schnide? Things are set up for them to do just that. Sentzanila has not had good form, even away from coors. Not getting involved in this as the rox bats are performing and wash is not. Wash tt over mignt be worth a look.

Toronto probably gets the cash, but i think both lineups gets some hits today. Over could be in play

Abbott has good splits against the twins expected lineup. Cincy prob worth an investment at this price.

Would need more to get involved with the brewers. Pca and tucker mignt be good hit prop additions.

BOston is on my list but would need more to get there. Maybe if there is a jump later it could make it. Although i am not super excited about backing buehler, if the price is right, the price is right.

Giants tt ov is worth a look. Heck, throw in an rbi prop for devers as well. Cecconi has favorable splits for lefties. Wind is blowing out over 12mph. Not a hitters park, but balls could fly.

Would like to back oak again vs houston but im not getting enough of a return on my money. Spears has terrible splits vs the expected lineup...and brown doesnt look great against lefties. Pena, wilson ( righty but he hits everybody) kurtz and sodestrom worth a look. Over worth a look at this park always.

Love to be on the padres at this price, but vasquez splits vs lefties is awful. Ohtani, freeman for hrr markets and lad tt could be in play.

My plays.
Laa 201 bol
Kc 123 bm
Nym 118 bm
Cws 129 bm
Pit 180 bol

Yesterday 3-1 +2.97
Ytd 101-115 +21.95 46.8% win rate 9.8% roi

All gains have taken place over this last 2 week period with the previous 2 week period showing a .33 unit loss. Selectivity is paying dividends. Lets hope it continues.

 

[slim5150]

Laa is mostly a play against the current offensive challenges facing the yanks as opposed to the angels ability to win this game. Tough to back hendricks against this lineup, but warren should let a few in. This fell in range and i will take 2:1 to see if the yanks can wake up.

Really like this kc matchup versus the rangers. Lugo > leiter and i have a dog price to boot. Kc will definetly need to up their offensive production but they have been getting hits, just havent been converting those to runs. Facing leiter hopefully will help. Lugo has done well vs righties this year, and most of the recent tx production appears to be from that side of the plate. Smith has been the most damaging lefty for tex but after that, not too frightening. Line is elevated a bit as kc coming off 5 straigbt losses, 3 to oak, while tex is 5-1 in that same span sweeping the whitesox, who challenged them most games. I rate kcs lineup better than that of cws, and i get over 120 to boot.

If the mets left hand bats perform, i like my chances here. Plus i feel like i am getting the better pitcher in this matchup versus an offensively challenged atl team. Mets have been, before the tampa series, one of the best in offensive productin. Should be a fun one.

I was on the white sox most of their gsmes against texas and they were oh so close each time. Not sure gettimg back home helps them, but i feel like i am going to het a good outing from smith. I am a cards fan but their offense has been slumping lately. Libertore has given up 19 runs over the last 5 games with 5 home runs from 36 hits and 4 walks.

Pit is a line play mostly, with some expectation that their recent form continues. Also hoping detroit keeps their recent form and has challenged run production. Mize is certainly the better pitcher, but falter has showed aome good form. If detroits bats fully wake, this will be challenged. But, at this price i will take a shot.

 

[B.A.R.]

Really appreciate the reads. Helps me immensely!

 

[slim5150]

@B.A.R. quite welcome. Had some time so i thought i would type it up. If you see anytbing different please feel free to dissect