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VirginiaCavs

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A ML Parlay Worth Your Investment

Cash in by parlaying the following three home favorites who enjoy solid match-up and situational advantages.


Duke (4-3) hosts Pittsburgh (2-5) this Saturday at 12:20 PM ET as 8 point favorites.



Dating back to last season, Duke has covered their last 8 when rushing for 200+ yards. They face a Pittsburgh defense that repeatedly gets gashed for 200+ rush yards. The Panthers rank 106th in allowing 5.2 rush yards per carry and 94th in allowing 194 rush yards per game.

Running back Shaun Wilson holds the record at Duke with 6 rushing touchdowns of 50+ yards. He can display his big-play ability against a Pittsburgh run defense that allows .6 yards per carry more on the road. Brittain Brown provides support as a backup, averaging 6 yards per carry to Wilson's 5.8.

Offensively, Pittsburgh cannot rely on a quarterback. Backup Ben Dinucci is mustering a passer rating of only 113.7, with 3 touchdowns and 3 interceptions. Pittsburgh's coach has so little confidence in Dinucci that, in a still fairly close game last week, he replaced him with a freshman. Dinucci will play vs Duke's respectably ranked passing defense that has yet to allow 300 yards to a quarterback this season.

A large part of Duke's success on defense stems from its ability to control time of possession with its up-tempo but conservative offense. But the Blue Devils have also answered questions posted to them in the offseason, surrounding departures in the secondary, with the tandem of Jeremy McDuffie and Marc Gilbert, who rank in the ACC's top 5 with combined 17 pass defended. Senior Joe Giles-Harris continues to lead the team with 67 tackles and 10.5 tackles for loss. Pittsburgh does not have the tools on offense to keep up with Duke.


Duke ML


#18 Michigan State (5-1) hosts Indiana (3-3) this Saturday at 3:30 PM ET as 7 point favorites.


The Spartans' defense had not given up 20+ points in a game since they relaxed with a dominant lead last week in the fourth quarter against Minnesota. The Spartans have progressed from 65th last season with 29.1 points allowed per game to 16th with 18.2 points allows per game.

An enormous issue with Sparty's defense last season was its anemic pass rush. Mike Panasiuk and Raequan Williams began playing a role in the defensive line towards the end of last season and made an instant impact. The sophomores are complemented by former walk-on Kenny Willekes, who leads the defensive line with 3 sacks. Sparty is 35th with 2.5 sacks per game.

The strength of Michigan State's defense is its linebacking corps, led by rising sophomore superstar Joe Bachie and Chris Frey, who leads the team with 3.5 sacks. The linebackers learned from their soft performance against Notre Dame and, with their aggressive and collective pursuit of the ball, limited an extremely talented Michigan rush offense to 2.6 yards per carry. They rank 10th in allowing 2.9 yards per carry.

This season, Sparty is 4-1 ATS when they allow less than 120 rushing yards, the one non-cover happening as their complacent defense allowed Minnesota to cover backdoors. Indiana's rush attack is anemic and ranks 103rd with 3.5 rush yards per carry.

The Hoosiers' absence of rush attack helped motivate their decision to turn to freshman Peyton Ramsey at quarterback. The mobile but often inaccurate Ramsey has yet to develop consistency against Big 10 opponents, having thrown 3 interceptions and completed less than 50% of his passes against Penn State and Michigan thus far. He's unlikely to find his way on the road against a Spartan pass defense that has yet to allow 220 yards in a game.

The Spartans are 3-0 SU this season when they reach the 20 point mark. LJ Scott, who combined for 299 rush yards against Ohio State and Michigan last season, returned from injury to finally rediscover his potential and rush for 194 yards last week against Minnesota. Like last season, Scott needed time to find his groove. Dual-threat quarterback Brian Lewerke and the tall red zone threat Felton Davis combine to create a balanced offense that will succeed against an Indiana defense that has given up 27+ points in each of the 4 games they played this season against Power 5 opponents.



Michigan State ML


Washington State (6-1) hosts Colorado (4-3) this Saturday at 10:45 PM ET as 9.5 point favorites.


Washington State looks to bounce back after an embarrassing defeat at California. Washington State could still amass yardage. But California revealed the recipe for beating the Cougars: achieve pressure and force turnovers.

Whereas California ranks 12th in sacks per game, Colorado ranks 98th. The undersized defensive line, which is unable to replace talent lost in the offseason, especially struggles to reach the backfield. Colorado’s inability to achieve pressure will allow Luke Falk to do what he does best: scan the field, read opposing coverages, accurately place balls with smooth release and beautiful touch, and maintain rhythm and tempo on offense. Before facing California, he had achieved 19 touchdowns to just 2 interceptions.

Colorado’s once highly-ranked defense has proven to be porous against Pac-12 competition. Oregon State’s Darell Garretson threw for 289 yards, almost a career high, in the Beavers’ near-upset as 10 point underdogs, and Josh Rosen threw for 327 in UCLA’s victory.

In order to keep up with the Cougars, Colorado quarterback Steve Montez must prove himself against a top-ranked secondary. The Cougars, who gave USC star Sam Darnold his worst passing performance of the season, rank 12th in opposing quarterback rating allowed and should achieve turnovers against the typically interception-prone Montez.

Colorado does not possess the tools on defense to replicate California’s performance against the Cougars' elite pass attack and veteran, respectable rush attack, led by Jamal Morrow's 7.5 yards per carry. Montez has yet to lead his team to a victory on the road against a team with a winning record. The Buffaloes will not be able to keep up against the Cougars high-ranked secondary and stunt-heavy, downhill run defense, that returns last year's 9 leading tacklers.



Washington State ML


Parlay: Duke ML, Michigan State ML and Washington State ML
 
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After consecutive losses to NC State & BC, Louisville's back is up against a wall. Not sure I would bet against a Bobby Petrino-coached team in this spot.

Also, the Middies are always tough to beat and especially as a home doggie.

Good luck in what you decide!!
 
Thx amigo

Yea is anyone in the world on Navy as such a big dog at home? Feel like there's solid value in that
 
Thinking:

FSU
Penn State
Sparty
Georgia Tech
Duke
Washington State

Small change. My one friend won't bet this with me because of the barstool jinx now at Penn State...
 
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Write-up forthcoming btw. I forgot to write "preview article" in the thread title :( why can't you edit thread title :(
 
Any GT fans with injury update for us (Benson and Mitchell) ? When do they practice today! Cause afterwards comes the update !
 
Ok the line movement on GT, down to -5...i'm guessing these guys are out, only we don't know it yet. Not playing GT then.
 
Write-up is up: parlaying Sparty, Duke and Wash State

Article will be published with bookmaker odds. Would appreciate it if someone who has this book tells me the max payout for this bet when risking 100
 
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So LJ Scott will play despite his arrest. Two very capable backups behind him behind an o-line that was finally very impressive last week
 
Looking at a massive combo:

Florida state
Penn state
South florida
Washington state
Michigan state
Duke
Rockets -11
Yankees
 
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