First,
We all know what happened last week. USF ran all over Umass and meanwhile the Mass passed all over the Bulls. It was a game where the scoring seemingly never stopped until that last onside was recovered for a 58-42 win.
Rushing in that game was 41/365 to 34/85. With that being said, Umass finished the yardage battle only losing 574-486.
The Umass team is bad against the rush, allowing 297.00 ypg overall on nearly 49 carries. Teams pound at them, as they should.
You know who else isn't good at rush defense? Tulsa. They give up 241.00 ypg on around 42 carries.
South Florida was averaging a solid 185 ypg on the ground before last week which has inflated their total to almost 230 a game. South Florida doesn't go away from the run, they average 40 carries a game.
Tulsa is a team that holds the ball a bit more, at 31 mins a game and obviously runs the ball a lot. They average 50.8 attempts per game out of their 85.5 plays a game. That is a pretty high ratio. That also explains the T.O.P. Now, they do not exactly burn things up at 4.4 ypc but they are solid on the ground.
Even with the holding Umass to 85 yards last week, South Florida still gives up 218 yards per game at 4.7 yards per attempt.
Now, these teams played last year...
The score was 34-14 with 6:26 left in the third.
There were 142 total plays.
There were 26 total drives.
The final score was 34-28.
The final 5 USF drives:
9 plays/37 yards ends with an INT
9 plays/18 yards ends with a missed FG
3 plays/ (5) yards ends with a punt
9 plays/26 yards ends with a missed FG
6 plays/34 yards ends the game.
South Florida rushed 52 times for 378 yards.
I think that number was approx 36 for 310/320 before the 4th quarter where they just ran.
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This is pretty solid context, to start, so lets ask ourselves about tonight...
How is the weather?
Perfect
Will South Florida have enough plays/drives on offense to get to the 34' and above?
That is the great unknown
Last year should have soared over 35 points, right?
Yes, absolutely. I remember the game well.
Can Tulsa score enough to keep the pressure on?
Good question. I do think the USF defense is not great.
My initial thoughts are SF will have plenty of quick scores and should get into the thirties. The worry is a running clock but these teams seem to get plenty of drives in looking back at last years box and all of their boxes so far this year.
So, with that layed out...what else is everyone thinking? I wanted to start a discussion in the 90 minutes before as I know a Friday night card elicits a lot of bets on overs and TT's.
We all know what happened last week. USF ran all over Umass and meanwhile the Mass passed all over the Bulls. It was a game where the scoring seemingly never stopped until that last onside was recovered for a 58-42 win.
Rushing in that game was 41/365 to 34/85. With that being said, Umass finished the yardage battle only losing 574-486.
The Umass team is bad against the rush, allowing 297.00 ypg overall on nearly 49 carries. Teams pound at them, as they should.
You know who else isn't good at rush defense? Tulsa. They give up 241.00 ypg on around 42 carries.
South Florida was averaging a solid 185 ypg on the ground before last week which has inflated their total to almost 230 a game. South Florida doesn't go away from the run, they average 40 carries a game.
Tulsa is a team that holds the ball a bit more, at 31 mins a game and obviously runs the ball a lot. They average 50.8 attempts per game out of their 85.5 plays a game. That is a pretty high ratio. That also explains the T.O.P. Now, they do not exactly burn things up at 4.4 ypc but they are solid on the ground.
Even with the holding Umass to 85 yards last week, South Florida still gives up 218 yards per game at 4.7 yards per attempt.
Now, these teams played last year...
The score was 34-14 with 6:26 left in the third.
There were 142 total plays.
There were 26 total drives.
The final score was 34-28.
The final 5 USF drives:
9 plays/37 yards ends with an INT
9 plays/18 yards ends with a missed FG
3 plays/ (5) yards ends with a punt
9 plays/26 yards ends with a missed FG
6 plays/34 yards ends the game.
South Florida rushed 52 times for 378 yards.
I think that number was approx 36 for 310/320 before the 4th quarter where they just ran.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
This is pretty solid context, to start, so lets ask ourselves about tonight...
How is the weather?
Perfect
Will South Florida have enough plays/drives on offense to get to the 34' and above?
That is the great unknown
Last year should have soared over 35 points, right?
Yes, absolutely. I remember the game well.
Can Tulsa score enough to keep the pressure on?
Good question. I do think the USF defense is not great.
My initial thoughts are SF will have plenty of quick scores and should get into the thirties. The worry is a running clock but these teams seem to get plenty of drives in looking back at last years box and all of their boxes so far this year.
So, with that layed out...what else is everyone thinking? I wanted to start a discussion in the 90 minutes before as I know a Friday night card elicits a lot of bets on overs and TT's.
