BetCrimes1984
CTG Big Brother
All stats based on opening lines.
Milwaukee
- is 5-0 ATS their last 5 home games
- is 7-2 ATS their last 9 home games Mo Williams played in.
- outside of a 1-7 ATS home stretch between late Nov. & early Jan. (a stretch where their ratio of home to road games was 1:2), Milwaukee is 15-5 ATS at home this season.
Seattle
- is 3-9 ATS off consecutive ATS wins (their sole road win came at Nawlins when the home side was coming off 2 OT contests in their previous 3 games).
- is 0-6 ATS as a Dog off consecutive Dog ATS wins.
- is 1-4 ATS in a B2B game after covering the night before (their sole win came in a home game).
- is 1-4 ATS playing a road game off consecutive ATS wins (their sole win came at Nawlins when the home side was coming off 2 OT contests in their previous 3 games).
- is 3-4-1 ATS playing a road game that doubles as a 3rd in 4 nights (the 3 wins came vs MIA, NYK & MIN: teams with a combined home winning % of .311 - MIL has a home winning % of .600 this season w/Mo Williams in the lineup. In other words, SEA sucks in this spot unless facing basically garbage teams).
- In road trips this season that have lasted longer than 2 games, Seattle is 1-7 SU & 2-5-1 ATS against teams not called New York or Minnesota, for the 3rd game and beyond.
The bottom line for Seattle all season ATS wise can be summed up as lacking all ability whatsoever to sustain any ATS runs - 1 of a handful of teams across the NBA to have failed to register at least 1 streak of 4 straight ATS wins. And now they carry a 2 game ATS win "streak" (incl. a road OT SU win) into a further 5 straight road games, when they've been awful ATS wise in the latter part of extended road trips this season facing any kind of opposition with decent home records. Milwaukee is 5-0 ATS their last 5 home games, and Philadelphia (their next opponent) is 9-0 ATS their last 9 home games - against 2 such records Seattle has to try and piece together their first 4 game ATS win streak of the season, and do it playing each contest in a 3rd in 4 nights scenario (another spot that adds further inertia to their unheralded task).
As long as this line doesn't blowout before I can get at it, step #1 shall be a small bet on Milwaukee.
Milwaukee
- is 5-0 ATS their last 5 home games
- is 7-2 ATS their last 9 home games Mo Williams played in.
- outside of a 1-7 ATS home stretch between late Nov. & early Jan. (a stretch where their ratio of home to road games was 1:2), Milwaukee is 15-5 ATS at home this season.
Seattle
- is 3-9 ATS off consecutive ATS wins (their sole road win came at Nawlins when the home side was coming off 2 OT contests in their previous 3 games).
- is 0-6 ATS as a Dog off consecutive Dog ATS wins.
- is 1-4 ATS in a B2B game after covering the night before (their sole win came in a home game).
- is 1-4 ATS playing a road game off consecutive ATS wins (their sole win came at Nawlins when the home side was coming off 2 OT contests in their previous 3 games).
- is 3-4-1 ATS playing a road game that doubles as a 3rd in 4 nights (the 3 wins came vs MIA, NYK & MIN: teams with a combined home winning % of .311 - MIL has a home winning % of .600 this season w/Mo Williams in the lineup. In other words, SEA sucks in this spot unless facing basically garbage teams).
- In road trips this season that have lasted longer than 2 games, Seattle is 1-7 SU & 2-5-1 ATS against teams not called New York or Minnesota, for the 3rd game and beyond.
The bottom line for Seattle all season ATS wise can be summed up as lacking all ability whatsoever to sustain any ATS runs - 1 of a handful of teams across the NBA to have failed to register at least 1 streak of 4 straight ATS wins. And now they carry a 2 game ATS win "streak" (incl. a road OT SU win) into a further 5 straight road games, when they've been awful ATS wise in the latter part of extended road trips this season facing any kind of opposition with decent home records. Milwaukee is 5-0 ATS their last 5 home games, and Philadelphia (their next opponent) is 9-0 ATS their last 9 home games - against 2 such records Seattle has to try and piece together their first 4 game ATS win streak of the season, and do it playing each contest in a 3rd in 4 nights scenario (another spot that adds further inertia to their unheralded task).
As long as this line doesn't blowout before I can get at it, step #1 shall be a small bet on Milwaukee.