Miami vs. Philadelphia & Pittsburgh vs. St. Louis Parlay Preview Article

VirginiaCavs

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Bet This MLB Parlay at (+461) on Monday

Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies
Monday, June 13, 2022 at 7:05 p.m. ET at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia

Who Starts for Miami?


Miami starts the ever reliable Sandy Alcantara tonight.

As a result of his reliable ability to perform well, he has been solid for bettors to back.

Currently, Alcantara is Miami's most profitable pitcher in terms of units yielded.

He has been reliable most especially against division rivals, the teams that he is most familiar with.

In games against NL East teams where Alcantara starts, Miami is 6-0, yielding +6.1 units.

Alcantara's Reliability

More specifically, Alcantara is so reliable because it is so difficult to produce runs when he is on the bound.

This difficulty is most evident most recently, thus attesting to his superb current form.

He hasn't allowed more than one earned run in any of his last six starts.

It's not like his competition has been soft, either.

During his current span of strong form, he locked down Atlanta in consecutive starts, during which he allowed all of one run in 17 combined innings.

More recently, he shut out San Francisco over the course of seven innings.

These starts were particularly impressive because Atlanta ranks ninth in runs per game while the Giants rank fourth in the category.

Alcantara vs. Philly Batters

Alcantara's test tonight will be measurably a bit softer than San Francisco.

Miami is a strong value play tonight because it is underdogged more heavily as a result of the fact that it plays on the road tonight.

However, Philadelphia is like a second home for Alcantara.

In five career starts in Philly's venue, Alcantara boasts a 1.84 ERA.

Expect little from Rhys Hoskins, for example.

Hoskins is batting .192 in his career with Alcantara on the mound, during which he has seven more strikeouts than hits.

Alcantara 1.84 ERA in five career starts in Philly

Who Starts for Philadelphia?

Philadelphia starts Aaron Nola tonight.

Nola has been terribly inconsistent this season.

Pattern-wise, one should expect him to struggle tonight simply because he performed well in his last start.

This season, he has yet to allow a sub-three ERA in consecutive starts.

Nola vs. Miami Batters

Miami promises to thrive tonight because it matches up well against Nola especially at the moment.

Over the course of the entire season, Miami ranks 11th in slugging, with a slugging rate .27 above the league average, against Nola's favorite pitches from righties.

However, the Marlins are hitting particularly well at this point of the season.

They are averaging nearly six runs per game in their last four games.

During this span, they are slugging .733 against Nola's favorite pitches from righties.


Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals
Monday, June 13, 2022 at 7:45 p.m. ET at Busch Stadium in St. Louis

Who Starts for Pittsburgh?


Pittsburgh starts Mitch Keller tonight who is enjoying a good stretch of form right now.

In his last four games, he has allowed a combined total of five earned runs.

He has improved upon his tendency, apparent earlier in the season, to allow home runs.

This improvement is important because it makes him match up more strongly with a Cardinal lineup that has some serious power in the heart of its lineup.

In particular, Keller relies on a fastball that he can locate more effectively.

Keller likes to place this pitch high in the zone while giving it a uniquely high amount of spin -- Keller's fastball spin rate ranks in the 87th percentile.

By elevating his fastball, Keller gives it the appearance of rising action, which compels batters to swing underneath it and thus fly out.

Keller vs. Cardinal Batters

This year, Keller does a much better job of inducing ground balls.

This improvement is a product of his altered pitching repertoire.

Specifically, he is throwing sliders at a vastly higher rate than he did last year.

His increased slider use makes him match up strongly against a Cardinal lineup that is at its worst -- hitting .239 and slugging .379 -- against pitchers classified as ground ball/fly ball pitchers.

The Cards also rank below average in slugging against Keller's favorite pitches from righties.

Plus, Busch Stadium is a positive place for Keller.

In his career, his ERA in the Cardinals' home ballpark is 3.21.

Who Starts for St. Louis?

St. Louis will have young southpaw Zack Thompson make his first career start tonight.

The Cardinals have three starting pitchers injured, one of whom had already been converted from a bullpen role.

So, Thompson's debut injection into the starting rotation is a matter of desperation on the part of St. Louis.

Besides, the Pirates match up well against him, ranking above average in slugging against his favorite pitches from lefties.

Look out, for example, for Bryan Reynolds who is sizzling with four-straight multi-hit games right now and hits lefties more consistently than righties.

Best Bet: Marlins ML at +121 & Pirates ML at +163 at +461 odds with BetOnline
 
Love how 2 teamers pay when ya use dogs! That probably a big part of why I love doing RR’s with this sport, hit 3 of 4 games on the ticket and you cash 3 of 6 the 2 team parlays that pay really well! Normally ya get 1050 return on the 600 bet (100 per parlay, keeping it truthful that not my typical amount on the RR just using it for simplicity purposes) on -110 odds, if you only hit 2 of the 4 games you drop around 250. However you get dogs in those parlays and the 2 teamers pay way better than 2.5 to 1! Now you hardly drop anything on 2 of 4 night and clean up with 3 of 4!!
 
Just came back in here thinking you probably got a great number on fish but I guess that crazy stupid open didn’t last long! Can’t believe they seriously had fish in the +130s at some point. I would fire someone over that line! Lol. I have no doubt it all done by computers but surely someone checking them!
 
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