MLB Parlay for June 14: A Bet That Pays (+872)
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies
Tuesday, June 14, 2022 at 7:05 p.m. ET at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia
Who Starts for Miami?
Miami starts Trevor Rogers who is coming off a win.
Don't let recency bias misguide you, though, because Rogers has done a terrible job of dealing with success.
After collecting the win against Washington on April 28, Arizona slammed him for five runs in 4.1 innings.
Likewise, he yielded five earned runs, including three home runs, in four innings against Atlanta after he had collected the victory in his previous start.
Rogers is in a bad spot tonight, therefore, because he is coming off a win.
Rogers vs. Philly Batters
Rogers may seem to be in a good spot tonight because of his strong ERA in Philadelphia's venue.
However, this strong ERA is masked by a concerning FIP (like ERA but factors out fielding), which undermines the notion that he tends to perform well in this venue.
Moreover, Philly matches up well with him, ranking sixth in slugging against his favorite pitches.
Who Starts for Philadelphia?
Philadelphia starts Zach Eflin.
There are two versions of this pitcher: one who yields a 7.13 ERA away from home.
The other version yields a 1.16 ERA and .164 BA at home.
Eflin is thus in a great spot tonight because he is pitching at home.
Moreover, he matches up well against Marlin batters.
Primarily, Eflin induces fly balls with his vast array of favorite pitches.
However, Miami's slugging rate is lowest -- .385 -- against fly ball pitchers.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
Tuesday, June 14, 2022 at 9:40 p.m. ET at Chase Field in Phoenix
Who Starts for Cincinnati?
The Reds start Tyler Mahle who is nearly their least profitable pitcher.
This season, the Reds are yielding -5.30 units in his starts.
Pertinently to this time, the NL West has given Mahle and his team the most trouble.
Cincinnati is 0-4, yielding -4.5 units, in Mahle's four starts against NL West opponents.
Mahle vs. Diamondback Batters
Primarily, Mahle throws a fastball and split-finger.
These pitches combine to make up about 75 percent of his arsenal.
Arizona batters promise to thrive tonight because they rank ninth in slugging against Mahle's two favorite pitches combined from righties.
Who Starts for Arizona?
Arizona starts Zach Davies who is coming off a tough-luck outing against the Reds.
In his last start, Davies' ERA was poor against the Reds.
However, his 1.31 FIP in that start indicates that he actually performed well.
He is sure to thrive tonight because he matches up well with Red batters.
Davies' favorite pitches are his sinker and changeup
Together, these pitches make up almost 85 percent of his arsenal.
Red batters, however, rank 26thin slugging against these two pitches combined from righties.
Kansas City Royals vs. San Francisco Giants
Tuesday, June 14, 2022 at 9:45 p.m. ET at Oracle Park in San Francisco
Who Starts for Kansas City?
Kansas City starts Kris Bubic tonight.
It's easy to dismiss Bubic given his ERA.
However, one must keep in mind that ERA is a season-long statistic, and it is a long season.
A pitcher's ERA will reflect how he's performed this season, but it may mislead one as to how a pitcher is performing in a given stretch of the season.
Right now, Bubic is performing well.
After yielding a 3.74 FIP against Houston, he yielded a 2.22 FIP against Baltimore.
Bubic vs. Giant Batters
Bubic throws three pitches, and he throws them often: his fastball, changeup, and curveball.
His pitch selection and the fact that he is a lefty make him match up well against Giant batters.
They rank 25thin slugging .364 against these three pitches from lefties.
Expect little from team BA leader Thairo Estrada whose BA is .36 lower against left-handed pitchers than right-handed ones.
Who Starts for San Francisco?
The Giants start Logan Webb.
Similar to Bubic, Webb primarily throws three pitches.
These are: the sinker, changeup, and slider.
It's an unusual combo of pitches and one that Royal batters match up well against.
They rank ninth in slugging against these pitches from righties.
Best Bet: Phillies ML at -147, Diamondbacks ML at -117, & Royals at +212 at +827 odds with BetOnline
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies
Tuesday, June 14, 2022 at 7:05 p.m. ET at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia
Who Starts for Miami?
Miami starts Trevor Rogers who is coming off a win.
Don't let recency bias misguide you, though, because Rogers has done a terrible job of dealing with success.
After collecting the win against Washington on April 28, Arizona slammed him for five runs in 4.1 innings.
Likewise, he yielded five earned runs, including three home runs, in four innings against Atlanta after he had collected the victory in his previous start.
Rogers is in a bad spot tonight, therefore, because he is coming off a win.
Rogers vs. Philly Batters
Rogers may seem to be in a good spot tonight because of his strong ERA in Philadelphia's venue.
However, this strong ERA is masked by a concerning FIP (like ERA but factors out fielding), which undermines the notion that he tends to perform well in this venue.
Moreover, Philly matches up well with him, ranking sixth in slugging against his favorite pitches.
Who Starts for Philadelphia?
Philadelphia starts Zach Eflin.
There are two versions of this pitcher: one who yields a 7.13 ERA away from home.
The other version yields a 1.16 ERA and .164 BA at home.
Eflin is thus in a great spot tonight because he is pitching at home.
Moreover, he matches up well against Marlin batters.
Primarily, Eflin induces fly balls with his vast array of favorite pitches.
However, Miami's slugging rate is lowest -- .385 -- against fly ball pitchers.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
Tuesday, June 14, 2022 at 9:40 p.m. ET at Chase Field in Phoenix
Who Starts for Cincinnati?
The Reds start Tyler Mahle who is nearly their least profitable pitcher.
This season, the Reds are yielding -5.30 units in his starts.
Pertinently to this time, the NL West has given Mahle and his team the most trouble.
Cincinnati is 0-4, yielding -4.5 units, in Mahle's four starts against NL West opponents.
Mahle vs. Diamondback Batters
Primarily, Mahle throws a fastball and split-finger.
These pitches combine to make up about 75 percent of his arsenal.
Arizona batters promise to thrive tonight because they rank ninth in slugging against Mahle's two favorite pitches combined from righties.
Who Starts for Arizona?
Arizona starts Zach Davies who is coming off a tough-luck outing against the Reds.
In his last start, Davies' ERA was poor against the Reds.
However, his 1.31 FIP in that start indicates that he actually performed well.
He is sure to thrive tonight because he matches up well with Red batters.
Davies' favorite pitches are his sinker and changeup
Together, these pitches make up almost 85 percent of his arsenal.
Red batters, however, rank 26thin slugging against these two pitches combined from righties.
Kansas City Royals vs. San Francisco Giants
Tuesday, June 14, 2022 at 9:45 p.m. ET at Oracle Park in San Francisco
Who Starts for Kansas City?
Kansas City starts Kris Bubic tonight.
It's easy to dismiss Bubic given his ERA.
However, one must keep in mind that ERA is a season-long statistic, and it is a long season.
A pitcher's ERA will reflect how he's performed this season, but it may mislead one as to how a pitcher is performing in a given stretch of the season.
Right now, Bubic is performing well.
After yielding a 3.74 FIP against Houston, he yielded a 2.22 FIP against Baltimore.
Bubic vs. Giant Batters
Bubic throws three pitches, and he throws them often: his fastball, changeup, and curveball.
His pitch selection and the fact that he is a lefty make him match up well against Giant batters.
They rank 25thin slugging .364 against these three pitches from lefties.
Expect little from team BA leader Thairo Estrada whose BA is .36 lower against left-handed pitchers than right-handed ones.
Who Starts for San Francisco?
The Giants start Logan Webb.
Similar to Bubic, Webb primarily throws three pitches.
These are: the sinker, changeup, and slider.
It's an unusual combo of pitches and one that Royal batters match up well against.
They rank ninth in slugging against these pitches from righties.
Best Bet: Phillies ML at -147, Diamondbacks ML at -117, & Royals at +212 at +827 odds with BetOnline
