MLB Parlay for July 12: A Bet That Pays (+486)
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves
Tuesday, July 12, 2022 at 7:20 p.m. ET at Truist Park in Atlanta
Who Starts for the Mets?
New York starts David Peterson tonight.
Peterson faced the Braves in his last start, which took place in Atlanta.
In that start, he allowed six earned runs in three innings.
This start reflects his most recent form in that he has now yielded an FIP (like ERA but factors out fielding) over 5.00 in both of his last two starts.
His last start, moreover, is consistent with his terrible history in Atlanta.
He is 0-2 with a 7.90 ERA in three career starts in Atlanta's Truist Park.
Atlanta's Team Form
In view of its lineup and in general, Atlanta is in a great spot today because it is coming off a loss.
This team is great at bouncing back.
The Braves are 7-0 in their last seven games following a loss.
They scored a combined total of 47 runs in these seven games.
Who Starts for Atlanta?
Atlanta starts Spencer Strider, who has really found his groove as a starter.
He has allowed a combined total of one earned run in his last three starts, which totaled 18 innings.
Moreover, he yielded a sub-one FIP in all three of those starts.
Critically, his strong streak came even against teams that, in view of his pitching repertoire, match up better with him than the Mets do.
Strider's fastball is his favorite pitch, and this is a wise choice for Strider because of its quality.
This pitch ranks in the 78th percentile in spin rate and 98thin velocity.
So, even if batters can react quickly enough, they'll struggle to track its location given its spin.
Oakland Athletics vs. Texas Rangers
Tuesday, July 12, 2022 at 8:05 p.m. ET at Globe Life Field in Arlington, Texas
Who Starts for Oakland?
The A's start James Kaprielian today.
Kaprielian is looking to replicate the rematch success that he cultivated against division rival Seattle.
Against this team, he improved in terms of both ERA and FIP in every succeeding start.
Kaprielian vs. Ranger Batters
Tonight, Kaprielian looks promising especially because he matches up well with Texas given the pitches that he throws.
Primarily, he throws a fastball and slider.
These are, by far, the two pitches which he throws most frequently.
Texas ranks last in slugging .331 against these two pitches from righties.
Who Starts for Texas?
Texas starts Glenn Otto tonight.
Otto looks to bounce back at home, as he's always done in his brief career, by performing vastly better in this home start than in his last one.
Otto vs. Athletic Lineup
He promises to thrive tonight because he matches up well with Athletic batters.
His favorite pitches are his slider, fastball, and sinker.
These three pitches combine for over three-quarters of his arsenal.
Athletic batters match up poorly against him because they rank last-place in slugging .337 against these pitches from righties.
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels
Tuesday, July 12, 2022 at 9:38 p.m. ET at Angel Stadium in Anaheim
Who Starts for Houston?
The Astros start Luis Garcia tonight.
Garcia has collected the win in each of his last four starts.
On the season, he is now yielding +2.8 units in his starts.
Pertinently to my play for this game, Houston is 3-0 in his starts against divisional rivals.
He looks particularly favorable tonight because he is 1-0 with a 2.41 ERA in three career starts in Angel Stadium.
Who Starts for the Angels?
L.A. starts Noah Syndergaard tonight.
Syndergaard matches up poorly against the Astros.
He throws, primarily, a sinker, changeup, fastball, and slider.
These four pitches make up over 90 percent of his arsenal.
Houston ranks first in slugging against these pitches from righties.
L.A.'s Poor Form
Los Angeles' entire team shows, collectively, awful rhythm.
The Angels have lost each of their last four and nine of their last 10.
Best Bet: Parlay Braves ML at -161, A's/Rangers Under 8.5 at -103, and Astros ML at -120 at +486 odds with BetOnline
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves
Tuesday, July 12, 2022 at 7:20 p.m. ET at Truist Park in Atlanta
Who Starts for the Mets?
New York starts David Peterson tonight.
Peterson faced the Braves in his last start, which took place in Atlanta.
In that start, he allowed six earned runs in three innings.
This start reflects his most recent form in that he has now yielded an FIP (like ERA but factors out fielding) over 5.00 in both of his last two starts.
His last start, moreover, is consistent with his terrible history in Atlanta.
He is 0-2 with a 7.90 ERA in three career starts in Atlanta's Truist Park.
Atlanta's Team Form
In view of its lineup and in general, Atlanta is in a great spot today because it is coming off a loss.
This team is great at bouncing back.
The Braves are 7-0 in their last seven games following a loss.
They scored a combined total of 47 runs in these seven games.
Who Starts for Atlanta?
Atlanta starts Spencer Strider, who has really found his groove as a starter.
He has allowed a combined total of one earned run in his last three starts, which totaled 18 innings.
Moreover, he yielded a sub-one FIP in all three of those starts.
Critically, his strong streak came even against teams that, in view of his pitching repertoire, match up better with him than the Mets do.
Strider's fastball is his favorite pitch, and this is a wise choice for Strider because of its quality.
This pitch ranks in the 78th percentile in spin rate and 98thin velocity.
So, even if batters can react quickly enough, they'll struggle to track its location given its spin.
Oakland Athletics vs. Texas Rangers
Tuesday, July 12, 2022 at 8:05 p.m. ET at Globe Life Field in Arlington, Texas
Who Starts for Oakland?
The A's start James Kaprielian today.
Kaprielian is looking to replicate the rematch success that he cultivated against division rival Seattle.
Against this team, he improved in terms of both ERA and FIP in every succeeding start.
Kaprielian vs. Ranger Batters
Tonight, Kaprielian looks promising especially because he matches up well with Texas given the pitches that he throws.
Primarily, he throws a fastball and slider.
These are, by far, the two pitches which he throws most frequently.
Texas ranks last in slugging .331 against these two pitches from righties.
Who Starts for Texas?
Texas starts Glenn Otto tonight.
Otto looks to bounce back at home, as he's always done in his brief career, by performing vastly better in this home start than in his last one.
Otto vs. Athletic Lineup
He promises to thrive tonight because he matches up well with Athletic batters.
His favorite pitches are his slider, fastball, and sinker.
These three pitches combine for over three-quarters of his arsenal.
Athletic batters match up poorly against him because they rank last-place in slugging .337 against these pitches from righties.
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels
Tuesday, July 12, 2022 at 9:38 p.m. ET at Angel Stadium in Anaheim
Who Starts for Houston?
The Astros start Luis Garcia tonight.
Garcia has collected the win in each of his last four starts.
On the season, he is now yielding +2.8 units in his starts.
Pertinently to my play for this game, Houston is 3-0 in his starts against divisional rivals.
He looks particularly favorable tonight because he is 1-0 with a 2.41 ERA in three career starts in Angel Stadium.
Who Starts for the Angels?
L.A. starts Noah Syndergaard tonight.
Syndergaard matches up poorly against the Astros.
He throws, primarily, a sinker, changeup, fastball, and slider.
These four pitches make up over 90 percent of his arsenal.
Houston ranks first in slugging against these pitches from righties.
L.A.'s Poor Form
Los Angeles' entire team shows, collectively, awful rhythm.
The Angels have lost each of their last four and nine of their last 10.
Best Bet: Parlay Braves ML at -161, A's/Rangers Under 8.5 at -103, and Astros ML at -120 at +486 odds with BetOnline
