E.T.G.
One of trus baby mommas
89-66-3 +$4,426.36
Smaller Card to go through but imo a harder card. Tread carefully. Wednesday was a 2-2 +145ish so I have made it 4 straight days now without losing cash. Hopefully the ball keeps rolling. Getting this done tonight because when I went out the bar sucked and I got the big wkend coming up so I need to conserve my body/energy/money.
Angels -1.5 +110:
I had my eye on this game the minute I saw the matchup. Yea I didn't give Escobar his due respect last start only because of what the Yankees have done to him in Yankee stadium. He shut me up quickly. At home though he has been very dominant and that deserves to be mentioned. Angels are 7-2 when he takes the mound and on the yr he has been pretty stout. In 5 of Escobar's last 6 starts he has worked atleast 7innings giving up no more than 2er. The lone exception is a start in Detroit, 2 starts ago, where he went 2.1ip and was tagged for 6runs.
At home: 4-1, 1.76era, 6g, 41ip, 32h, 33k, 12bb and batters hitting .216
Baltimore is a team who just got a little hot (5games) because they played the cold Royals and the light hitting A's. However, Angels have won 5 of their last 6 so the streaks even out.
Burress will take the mound for the Orioles and although he has done alright he isnt going to work long innings. He has only started 4 games this yr. If he makes it to 6 in this game it would be a very good outting, that still leaves 3 innings for that bullpen to pitch and I don't have to say anything more about them.
Burress this yr as a starter: 2-2, 4.58era, 19.2ip, 24h, 11bb, 16k and batters hitting .300 off him
Burress overall this yr: 2-2, 3.27era, 33ip, 33h, 19bb
Burress Away this yr: 1-1, 2.08era, 4g, 2gs, 17.1ip, 16h, 9bb, 17k.
Angels have never seen Burress but he is a LHP who can struggle a little bit with control. I think he really goes 5ip with 3er or so. You now have to throw the Oriole bullpen into the mix for 4innings and that has atleast 1-2runs written all over it.
Escobar in his career vs. Orioles: 12-4, 3.76era, 17g, 131.2ip, 128h
Orioles vs. Esobar: Roberts = .188 in 32ab, Tejada = .138 in 29ab, Hernandez = .200 in 10ab, Millar = .150 in 20ab, Gibbons = .250 in 28ab, Mora = .222 in 27ab, Patterson = .400 in 10ab, Huff = .300 in 20ab
The main offense of the Orioles starts and ends with Roberts and Tejada and seeing that they don't hit Escobar, I am expecting the Oriole offense to hit a road block.
Angels at home = 19-7
Orioles on the road = 11-16
Angels took 5/6 last yr in LA from Orioles.
Angels vs. LHP: .278 Overall, .291 L10 games
Orioles vs. RHP: A consistent .260
There is nothing else that needs to be said about this game and I am not over thinking it. I have the better team + better starting pitcher + better offense + better bullpen. Angels 6-1, 5-1, 6-2, 7-3, something like that but by more than 2runs
Angels RL -1.5 $250 to Win $275 . I will rehit this again when I can
Mariners -142 / -1.5 +145:
I have been involed in Baek's last 2 games, both against and with him. He has pitched 4 of his last 5 games on the road but I think he feels more comfortable at home, although a limited sample this yr:
Baek at home: 0-1, 2.84era, 2g, 12.2ip, 10h, 9k, 3bb and batters hitting .208 off him.
Mariners offense was on fire going into the series with the Angels but they ran into Ervin at home (a top AL pitcher at home) and Weaver, who they hit pretty decent, so they have to be very happy to see Padilla in this one. If anyone ever backs Padilla, it should only be on at home.
Padilla on the road: 0-4, 7.59era, 6g, 32ip, 42h, 20bb, 13k and batters hitting .316
Mariners are 5-2 when Baek pitches, Rangers are 2-7 when Padilla takes the mound. Rangers overall are a bad road team (8-19) while Mariners are an ok home team (12-11).
Both pitchers have faced their opponents this yr:
Baek At Texas: 0-0, 8.31era, 1g, 4.1ip, 8h, 4er, 2bb, 1k
Baek Career vs. Texas: 3-0, 2.08era, 4g, 26ip, 19h, 5bb, 13k
Padilla At Seattle: 0-1, 6.00era, 6ip, 6h, 4er, 3bb, 1k
Padilla Career vs. Seattle: 1-4, 5.79era, 5g, 32.2ip, 39h, 19bb, 21k
I want no business of backing a guy who is terrible on the road and overall puts way too many guys on base with walks. Baek's start this yr vs Texas is discouraging but it was his first start this yr. His last 4 starts have been quality, including the Cleveland game where he pitched a lot better than 5er, I said that last wk and I will say it again. The series this yr is 3-1 Seattle. Seattle is 6-3 vs. Texas at home including 07' and 06'. I am thinking about a split play here on the ML/RL.
Indians -130 / Under 8.5+100:
Anyone who reads this had to know I would have atleast a lean here to CC. Big win for Indians in Boston to not get swept, now they return home (17-4) with their ace on the mound (7-1) to face their division rival. This is a rematch of the game last wk where the Indians won. This is what CC gets paid for, to come up big in big games. The Indians are 10-1 when Sabathia takes the mound, call me a homer all you want but the guy is money.
CC at home: 4-0, 2.70era, 6g, 40ip, 39h, 8bb, 43k and batters hitting .258 off him.
Baseball is not a 6-7inning game, it is a 9inning game and the Detroit bullpen sucks. Indian bullpen can struggle but they are in a better situation right now.
Verlander on the road: 2-0, 1.30era, 4g, 27.2ip, 18h, 9bb, 19k and batters hitting .184 off him.
Verlander is 5-1 on the yr w/ 2.71era and his team is 7-3 when he pitches. This is why the Under also deserves a very hard look because I feel it is based off the score of last weeks game. There were 4 runs scored by the Indians from the 7th inning on in a 6-3 game. I think this is more of a 4-3, 4-2, 3-1, 3-2, 5-2, 5-3 but under 8.5 type game but it will most likely hinge on the bullpens for both squads to keep it under. Neither starter will give up more than 2runs imo. I can't go full out homer and back CC regardless here, I actually lean under more strongly but I can't go against my favorite pitcher and a very dominant home team. Still waiting on Ump, weather, and to sleep on this game.
Reds -128:
RHP Bronson Arroyo is having trouble getting through the first inning. Last Monday, he threw 49 pitches to 10 batters and gave up four runs against the Nationals. On Saturday, he threw 34 pitches, faced nine batters and gave up four runs to the Pirates. Arroyo lasted a career-low two innings on Monday against Washington. He went four innings on Saturday, giving up seven hits and six runs along with four walks. Arroyo failed to strike out a batter for the first time since 2005. - cbssportsline.com
Above is what might keep me off this game. Arroyo has just not been the same pitcher since going 8ip @ San Diego
Arroyo this yr vs. Houston: 1-0, 1.93era, 2g, 14ip, 8h, 3er, 4bb, 9k
Arroyo on the road: 1-3, 1.94era, 6g, 41.2ip, 36h, 15bb, 23k and batters hitting .238 off him
Williams this yr vs. Cinci: 1-0, 5.68era, 2g, 12.2ip, 13h, 8er, 5bb, 5k
Williams at home: 0-3, 6.23era, 4g, 21.2ip, 30h, 8bb, 11k and batters hitting .330 off him
Cinci is actually going for the sweep here and Houston has lost 10 games in a row now, that is quite an achievement and hard to do. That is what might keep me on this game. I just wish I knew which Arroyo is going to show up but might be safer to just stay away from this game again. Arroyo's last 2 terrible starts have both come at home. Is he hurt? Is he tired? What is the cause for these shitty performances. Woody Williams is shit all the time so you know what you are getting there. The series is actually 7-3 Houston this yr but this is just a different team right now.
Thats all I got for now
I have no desire to get involved in the Blue Jays/WSox game, Cards/Rockies game, Brewers/Marlins game.
Still looking at Giants/Mets, Padres/Pirates and Doders/Nationals
Smaller Card to go through but imo a harder card. Tread carefully. Wednesday was a 2-2 +145ish so I have made it 4 straight days now without losing cash. Hopefully the ball keeps rolling. Getting this done tonight because when I went out the bar sucked and I got the big wkend coming up so I need to conserve my body/energy/money.
Angels -1.5 +110:
I had my eye on this game the minute I saw the matchup. Yea I didn't give Escobar his due respect last start only because of what the Yankees have done to him in Yankee stadium. He shut me up quickly. At home though he has been very dominant and that deserves to be mentioned. Angels are 7-2 when he takes the mound and on the yr he has been pretty stout. In 5 of Escobar's last 6 starts he has worked atleast 7innings giving up no more than 2er. The lone exception is a start in Detroit, 2 starts ago, where he went 2.1ip and was tagged for 6runs.
At home: 4-1, 1.76era, 6g, 41ip, 32h, 33k, 12bb and batters hitting .216
Baltimore is a team who just got a little hot (5games) because they played the cold Royals and the light hitting A's. However, Angels have won 5 of their last 6 so the streaks even out.
Burress will take the mound for the Orioles and although he has done alright he isnt going to work long innings. He has only started 4 games this yr. If he makes it to 6 in this game it would be a very good outting, that still leaves 3 innings for that bullpen to pitch and I don't have to say anything more about them.
Burress this yr as a starter: 2-2, 4.58era, 19.2ip, 24h, 11bb, 16k and batters hitting .300 off him
Burress overall this yr: 2-2, 3.27era, 33ip, 33h, 19bb
Burress Away this yr: 1-1, 2.08era, 4g, 2gs, 17.1ip, 16h, 9bb, 17k.
Angels have never seen Burress but he is a LHP who can struggle a little bit with control. I think he really goes 5ip with 3er or so. You now have to throw the Oriole bullpen into the mix for 4innings and that has atleast 1-2runs written all over it.
Escobar in his career vs. Orioles: 12-4, 3.76era, 17g, 131.2ip, 128h
Orioles vs. Esobar: Roberts = .188 in 32ab, Tejada = .138 in 29ab, Hernandez = .200 in 10ab, Millar = .150 in 20ab, Gibbons = .250 in 28ab, Mora = .222 in 27ab, Patterson = .400 in 10ab, Huff = .300 in 20ab
The main offense of the Orioles starts and ends with Roberts and Tejada and seeing that they don't hit Escobar, I am expecting the Oriole offense to hit a road block.
Angels at home = 19-7
Orioles on the road = 11-16
Angels took 5/6 last yr in LA from Orioles.
Angels vs. LHP: .278 Overall, .291 L10 games
Orioles vs. RHP: A consistent .260
There is nothing else that needs to be said about this game and I am not over thinking it. I have the better team + better starting pitcher + better offense + better bullpen. Angels 6-1, 5-1, 6-2, 7-3, something like that but by more than 2runs
Angels RL -1.5 $250 to Win $275 . I will rehit this again when I can
Mariners -142 / -1.5 +145:
I have been involed in Baek's last 2 games, both against and with him. He has pitched 4 of his last 5 games on the road but I think he feels more comfortable at home, although a limited sample this yr:
Baek at home: 0-1, 2.84era, 2g, 12.2ip, 10h, 9k, 3bb and batters hitting .208 off him.
Mariners offense was on fire going into the series with the Angels but they ran into Ervin at home (a top AL pitcher at home) and Weaver, who they hit pretty decent, so they have to be very happy to see Padilla in this one. If anyone ever backs Padilla, it should only be on at home.
Padilla on the road: 0-4, 7.59era, 6g, 32ip, 42h, 20bb, 13k and batters hitting .316
Mariners are 5-2 when Baek pitches, Rangers are 2-7 when Padilla takes the mound. Rangers overall are a bad road team (8-19) while Mariners are an ok home team (12-11).
Both pitchers have faced their opponents this yr:
Baek At Texas: 0-0, 8.31era, 1g, 4.1ip, 8h, 4er, 2bb, 1k
Baek Career vs. Texas: 3-0, 2.08era, 4g, 26ip, 19h, 5bb, 13k
Padilla At Seattle: 0-1, 6.00era, 6ip, 6h, 4er, 3bb, 1k
Padilla Career vs. Seattle: 1-4, 5.79era, 5g, 32.2ip, 39h, 19bb, 21k
I want no business of backing a guy who is terrible on the road and overall puts way too many guys on base with walks. Baek's start this yr vs Texas is discouraging but it was his first start this yr. His last 4 starts have been quality, including the Cleveland game where he pitched a lot better than 5er, I said that last wk and I will say it again. The series this yr is 3-1 Seattle. Seattle is 6-3 vs. Texas at home including 07' and 06'. I am thinking about a split play here on the ML/RL.
Indians -130 / Under 8.5+100:
Anyone who reads this had to know I would have atleast a lean here to CC. Big win for Indians in Boston to not get swept, now they return home (17-4) with their ace on the mound (7-1) to face their division rival. This is a rematch of the game last wk where the Indians won. This is what CC gets paid for, to come up big in big games. The Indians are 10-1 when Sabathia takes the mound, call me a homer all you want but the guy is money.
CC at home: 4-0, 2.70era, 6g, 40ip, 39h, 8bb, 43k and batters hitting .258 off him.
Baseball is not a 6-7inning game, it is a 9inning game and the Detroit bullpen sucks. Indian bullpen can struggle but they are in a better situation right now.
Verlander on the road: 2-0, 1.30era, 4g, 27.2ip, 18h, 9bb, 19k and batters hitting .184 off him.
Verlander is 5-1 on the yr w/ 2.71era and his team is 7-3 when he pitches. This is why the Under also deserves a very hard look because I feel it is based off the score of last weeks game. There were 4 runs scored by the Indians from the 7th inning on in a 6-3 game. I think this is more of a 4-3, 4-2, 3-1, 3-2, 5-2, 5-3 but under 8.5 type game but it will most likely hinge on the bullpens for both squads to keep it under. Neither starter will give up more than 2runs imo. I can't go full out homer and back CC regardless here, I actually lean under more strongly but I can't go against my favorite pitcher and a very dominant home team. Still waiting on Ump, weather, and to sleep on this game.
Reds -128:
RHP Bronson Arroyo is having trouble getting through the first inning. Last Monday, he threw 49 pitches to 10 batters and gave up four runs against the Nationals. On Saturday, he threw 34 pitches, faced nine batters and gave up four runs to the Pirates. Arroyo lasted a career-low two innings on Monday against Washington. He went four innings on Saturday, giving up seven hits and six runs along with four walks. Arroyo failed to strike out a batter for the first time since 2005. - cbssportsline.com
Above is what might keep me off this game. Arroyo has just not been the same pitcher since going 8ip @ San Diego
Arroyo this yr vs. Houston: 1-0, 1.93era, 2g, 14ip, 8h, 3er, 4bb, 9k
Arroyo on the road: 1-3, 1.94era, 6g, 41.2ip, 36h, 15bb, 23k and batters hitting .238 off him
Williams this yr vs. Cinci: 1-0, 5.68era, 2g, 12.2ip, 13h, 8er, 5bb, 5k
Williams at home: 0-3, 6.23era, 4g, 21.2ip, 30h, 8bb, 11k and batters hitting .330 off him
Cinci is actually going for the sweep here and Houston has lost 10 games in a row now, that is quite an achievement and hard to do. That is what might keep me on this game. I just wish I knew which Arroyo is going to show up but might be safer to just stay away from this game again. Arroyo's last 2 terrible starts have both come at home. Is he hurt? Is he tired? What is the cause for these shitty performances. Woody Williams is shit all the time so you know what you are getting there. The series is actually 7-3 Houston this yr but this is just a different team right now.
Thats all I got for now
I have no desire to get involved in the Blue Jays/WSox game, Cards/Rockies game, Brewers/Marlins game.
Still looking at Giants/Mets, Padres/Pirates and Doders/Nationals
Last edited:
.
.
