GWarner27
Meatballin' in Celtics Stadium
The clinched and eliminateds will keep rolling in, but I figure we need to have another thread to keep track of it all. This round seems like a time where strategies change and knowing the situation makes it a little easier to know how people will play
A:
Uruguay & Russia clinched
-they play each other and both want to win the group to avoid Spain from Group B. That is not guaranteed, but is the most likely order of finish so both coaches are certainly taking this final game of group play seriously
RUS wins the group with a draw on GD, so URU needs a win. The RUS offense has been on fire, though I'm trying not to be stubborn yet still don't feel great about it. URU has been in control, but have not blown either of the eliminated teams out yet and that's a bit of a concern to see if a better side can tie a game up and win the group. In terms of strategy, URU probably won't change much. They know a win is enough and they'll be playing for that anyway. If it's tied late, I guess we could see some more aggressive play than we would in any other game in this tournament, but that's hard to handicap because who knows if it's goalless or tied at 1.
Egypt & Saudi Arabia eliminated: KSA gave a great effort holding URU to 1 on a misplay by their GK, so maybe they play a little more of an open game trying to end with a win. I think they know their best chance to win is by playing defense, so I don't expect much of a change to their strategy here either. On the other bench, I don't expect Salah to play as he doesn't seem healthy and has already notched his WC goal. That could swing the line a fair amount, but EGY should still be favored to win even without him. Not sure I will get involved here
B:
Morocco eliminated
Everything else is in play. Morocco has looked good in both matches, but have not been able to score in anyone's net but their own and that has eliminated them from the tournament. They should have no fear to continue as they started, but Spain will fight that strategy completely as they dominate possession even against the world's best sides. If MAR can't score with all that possession, then not having much sounds like it will be even more difficult for them to find the back of the onion bag. ESP looks like they'll get a clean sheet which means a result at worst, and that means they advance. So POR & Iran are fighting for the other spot.
It's a surprise that Iran is still alive here, but Queiroz has done an incredible job and this team has been so unified in defense while they also were only a few steps away from an equalizer vs ESP. POR has looked like Ronaldo and then ten defenders keeping the ball out of the net, but a draw here pushes them through so it sounds like Iran may be our first strategy change of the first two groups. I haven't seen them attack at all and that sounds like a bad idea because of that guy wearing 7 on the opponent. A win does get them through, though, so if they somehow get that first goal I expect 11 men in the box for the remaining minutes. This excites me and could disrupt the nearly assured ESP-POR advancement that everyone expected before the tournament began
A:
Uruguay & Russia clinched
-they play each other and both want to win the group to avoid Spain from Group B. That is not guaranteed, but is the most likely order of finish so both coaches are certainly taking this final game of group play seriously
RUS wins the group with a draw on GD, so URU needs a win. The RUS offense has been on fire, though I'm trying not to be stubborn yet still don't feel great about it. URU has been in control, but have not blown either of the eliminated teams out yet and that's a bit of a concern to see if a better side can tie a game up and win the group. In terms of strategy, URU probably won't change much. They know a win is enough and they'll be playing for that anyway. If it's tied late, I guess we could see some more aggressive play than we would in any other game in this tournament, but that's hard to handicap because who knows if it's goalless or tied at 1.
Egypt & Saudi Arabia eliminated: KSA gave a great effort holding URU to 1 on a misplay by their GK, so maybe they play a little more of an open game trying to end with a win. I think they know their best chance to win is by playing defense, so I don't expect much of a change to their strategy here either. On the other bench, I don't expect Salah to play as he doesn't seem healthy and has already notched his WC goal. That could swing the line a fair amount, but EGY should still be favored to win even without him. Not sure I will get involved here
B:
Morocco eliminated
Everything else is in play. Morocco has looked good in both matches, but have not been able to score in anyone's net but their own and that has eliminated them from the tournament. They should have no fear to continue as they started, but Spain will fight that strategy completely as they dominate possession even against the world's best sides. If MAR can't score with all that possession, then not having much sounds like it will be even more difficult for them to find the back of the onion bag. ESP looks like they'll get a clean sheet which means a result at worst, and that means they advance. So POR & Iran are fighting for the other spot.
It's a surprise that Iran is still alive here, but Queiroz has done an incredible job and this team has been so unified in defense while they also were only a few steps away from an equalizer vs ESP. POR has looked like Ronaldo and then ten defenders keeping the ball out of the net, but a draw here pushes them through so it sounds like Iran may be our first strategy change of the first two groups. I haven't seen them attack at all and that sounds like a bad idea because of that guy wearing 7 on the opponent. A win does get them through, though, so if they somehow get that first goal I expect 11 men in the box for the remaining minutes. This excites me and could disrupt the nearly assured ESP-POR advancement that everyone expected before the tournament began