Martinsville Race Weekend

[madshooter]

Hope to bounce back after a poor weekend last week. Still don't have much of a handle on the COT.


Qualifying Matchups

Kahne over Sadler -115 .5 unit

Stewart over Johnson +100 .5 unit

Blaney over Green -125 .5 unit

Labonte over Burton +100 .5 unit

Harvick over Kenseth -125 .5 unit

Sorrenson over Yeley -110 .5 unit


Hope we all win some money this week.:cheers:

 

[Pepsiman]

take the 20 or the 11 to win this weekend and be a VERY happy camper. GL

 

[madshooter]

pepsiman, already put a little on Stewart, Hamlin, and Gordon to win. Good luck this weekend. :shake:

 

[Fondybadger]

Good luck with it this weekend Madshooter. Need a few more weeks here to fully get into it.

 

[madshooter]

Qualifying Matchups

Kahne over Sadler -115 .5 unit

Stewart over Johnson +100 .5 unit

Blaney over Green -125 .5 unit

Labonte over Burton +100 .5 unit

Harvick over Kenseth -125 .5 unit

Sorrenson over Yeley -110 .5 unit

3 out of 6 for - .12 units on the day.:down:

 

[madshooter]

Truck Race

Crafton over Darnell +100 .33 unit

Musgrave over Crawford -115 .33 unit

Skinner over Kvapil -105 .33 unit


Harvick to win @ +355 .25 unit


Off to Disney to play a little golf this morning, hope to hit em straight.

:cheers:

 

[Pepsiman]

nice call mad on the winning this weekend in Cup. As for the trucks. All look solid and Harvick to win is never a bad thing. GL

 

[stltk]

madshooter I hope you don't mind I posted my plays in your thread instead of starting another. Good luck on your matchups and good health on Harvick.

Plays for the Kroger 250
To Win: Risking 2.5 total units
Sprague pays 2.5 units - .5 unit total profit
Musgrave pays 3.375 units - 1.38 units total profit
Crawford pays 3.58 units - 1.58 units total profit
Skinner pays 3.73 units - 1.73 units total profit:smiley_acbe:
Setzer pays 9.25 units - 7.25 units total profitIf Harvick doesn’t win, I think I’m in good shape, but obviously that’s a big IF!

Match ups:
Sprague over Harvick 1unit to win 1.25 units:down:
Value play here.
Sprague 2<SUP>nd</SUP> in both practices, Harvick 3<SUP>rd</SUP> in both.
This is a toss up, worth a shot at plus money
138 - Number of laps Jack Sprague has led over the last four races at Martinsville, the most among any driver.

Skinner over Kvapil 1.05 units to win 1 unit:smiley_acbe:
Going with the hot hand and the points leader at almost even money.
3 - Number of top-five finishes for Mike Skinner in 2007, the only driver to finish in the top five in all three races this season. The last two were victories at California and Atlanta.
Skinner went from 19<SUP>th</SUP> in the first practice to 5<SUP>th</SUP> in the second.
Kvapil went from 4<SUP>th</SUP> in the first practice to 10<SUP>th</SUP> in the second

Setzer over Hornday 1unit to win 1 unit:down:
8 - Number of top-10s Dennis Setzer has at Martinsville, the most at the track
Setzer went from 16<SUP>th</SUP> to 9<SUP>th</SUP> in the practices
Hornday went form 13<SUP>th</SUP> to 12<SUP>th</SUP>

Good luck on your plays!:cheers:

All plays on The Greek

Drivers +1.73 units
Match ups 1-2 -1 unit

 

[daveniner]

I had leans on Skinner and Crafton. I was undecided about the Musgrave/Crawford matchup.

GL

 

[stltk]

Setzer (which is a long shot anyways) & Sprague's (5 vs 5.25) odds became better after qualifying, but with the others I got better numbers before qualifying

Got better numbers on 2 of 3 matchups before qualifying

I'll take 5 of 8 better numbers. Looks like locking in before qualifying worked this time.

 

[madshooter]

Race Day

Stewart over Harvick -135 1 unit

JR over Harvick -125 1 unit

Newman over Sorrenson -125 1 unit

Stewart over JR - 115 1 unit




Hamlin to win @ +700 .25 unit

Stewart to win @ +445 .25 unit

Gordon to win @ +600 .25 unit


Stewart top 3 finish @ +125 .33 unit

Hamlin top 3 finish @ +145 .33 unit


may add 1 more, good luck today, hope we all kick some ass.:cheers:

 

[madshooter]

stltk, no problem at all, good luck today :shake:

Dave, good luck today, hope you do well:shake:

 

[madshooter]

adding

Hamlin over Truex Jr -140 .75 unit

Gordon over Kyle Busch -110 1 unit

 

[stltk]

gl mad
hopefully stewart can cash for both us today

 

[madshooter]

Race Day

Stewart over Harvick -135 1 unit

JR over Harvick -125 1 unit

Newman over Sorrenson -125 1 unit

Stewart over JR - 115 1 unit

Hamlin over Truex Jr -140 .75 unit

Gordon over Kyle Busch -110 1 unit

Hamlin to win @ +700 .25 unit

Stewart to win @ +445 .25 unit

Gordon to win @ +600 .25 unit

(should have won, take out JJ next time)


Stewart top 3 finish @ +125 .33 unit

Hamlin top 3 finish @ +145 .33 unit

Solid day today, should have been better, FU J.Johnson, but still + 3.25 Units on the day.

Updated record


Cup Qualifying 8 out of 14 + .83 Units
Cup Driver matchups 29 out of 48 for +15.60 Units
Cup Odds to win 5 out of 55 for +8.24 Units

Truck Driver matchups 8 out of 15 for + .86 units
Truck Odds to win 1 out of 4 for +1.50 units (1 moosing)

Busch Driver matchups 4 out of 9 for - .27 units
Busch Odds to win 1 out of 4 for +2.29 units

Truck YTD +2.36 Units
Busch YTD +2.02 Units
Cup YTD + 24.67 Units

Overall YTD +29.05 Units

 

[stltk]

Gordon to win @ +600 .25 unit

(should have won, take out JJ next time)



Solid day today, should have been better, FU J.Johnson,

Couldn't agree more. At least you ended up on the plus side.