Marshall/MTSU Discuss

Timh

CTG Psychiatrist - Dr. Tim
Current Line - MTSU 2.5/57


[TABLE="width: 600"]
<colgroup><col><col><col><col><col span="2"><col></colgroup><tbody>[TR]
[TD]Team[/TD]
[TD]YPP[/TD]
[TD]OYPP[/TD]
[TD]YPR[/TD]
[TD]OYPR[/TD]
[TD]YPA[/TD]
[TD]OYPA[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Marshall[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]5.2[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]4.4[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]4.5[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]4.1[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]6.5[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]4.8[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]MTSU[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]5.5[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]5.5[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]3.7[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]4.1[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]7.7[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]6.6[/TD]
[/TR]
</tbody>[/TABLE]

Interesting game, would like to hear people's thoughts on this one. Marshall clearly with the better defense especially defending the pass which is MTSU strength. Marshall has struggled this year in the passing game and their schedule has been weak. Some other numbers I looked at.

[TABLE="width: 342"]
<colgroup><col><col><col><col></colgroup><tbody>[TR]
[TD]Plays/Game[/TD]
[TD]Opp Plays/Gm[/TD]
[TD]Points/Play[/TD]
[TD]Pts/Play Def[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]74.1[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]84.5[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.408[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.204[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]76.7[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]78.7[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.385[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.421[/TD]
[/TR]
</tbody>[/TABLE]
Not sure why MTSU favored in this one.
 
[TABLE="width: 554"]
<colgroup><col span="2"><col><col><col><col></colgroup><tbody>[TR]
[TD="colspan: 6"]Important Injuries[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="colspan: 6"]Marshall[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Date[/TD]
[TD]Pos[/TD]
[TD]Player[/TD]
[TD]Injury[/TD]
[TD]Status[/TD]
[TD]Statistics[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]11/01 4:15am[/TD]
[TD]RB[/TD]
[TD]Tony Pittman[/TD]
[TD]Undisclosed[/TD]
[TD]"?" Saturday vs. Middle Tenn St[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]11/01 4:15am[/TD]
[TD]OL[/TD]
[TD]Nathaniel Devers[/TD]
[TD]Undisclosed[/TD]
[TD]"?" Saturday vs. Middle Tenn St[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]11/01 4:15am[/TD]
[TD]TE[/TD]
[TD]Emanuel Byrd[/TD]
[TD]Undisclosed[/TD]
[TD]"?" Saturday vs. Middle Tenn St[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]10/25 4:26am[/TD]
[TD]RB[/TD]
[TD]Devon Johnson[/TD]
[TD]Back[/TD]
[TD]out indefinitely[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]10/22 2:41am[/TD]
[TD]OL[/TD]
[TD]Clint Van Horn[/TD]
[TD]Undisclosed[/TD]
[TD]out indefinitely[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]09/30 3:02am[/TD]
[TD]S[/TD]
[TD]A.J. Leggett[/TD]
[TD]Personal[/TD]
[TD]left the team[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]09/16 5:40am[/TD]
[TD]WR[/TD]
[TD]Angelo Jean-Louis[/TD]
[TD]Dismissed[/TD]
[TD]left the team[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="colspan: 6"]Middle Tenn St[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Date[/TD]
[TD]Pos[/TD]
[TD]Player[/TD]
[TD]Injury[/TD]
[TD]Status[/TD]
[TD]Statistics[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]11/01 4:15am[/TD]
[TD]S[/TD]
[TD]Xavier Walker[/TD]
[TD]Undisclosed[/TD]
[TD]"?" Saturday vs. Marshall[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]11/01 4:14am[/TD]
[TD]RB[/TD]
[TD]Shane Tucker[/TD]
[TD]Undisclosed[/TD]
[TD]"?" Saturday vs. Marshall[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]11/01 4:14am[/TD]
[TD]RB[/TD]
[TD]Jordan Parker[/TD]
[TD]Undisclosed[/TD]
[TD]"?" Saturday vs. Marshall[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]11/01 4:14am[/TD]
[TD]WR[/TD]
[TD]Christian Collis[/TD]
[TD]Undisclosed[/TD]
[TD]"?" Saturday vs. Marshall[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]11/01 4:14am[/TD]
[TD]RB[/TD]
[TD]Jeremiah Bryson[/TD]
[TD]Shoulder[/TD]
[TD]"?" Saturday vs. Marshall[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]08/27 7:53am[/TD]
[TD]OL[/TD]
[TD]Adam Stickel[/TD]
[TD]Knee[/TD]
[TD]out for season[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]08/27 7:52am[/TD]
[TD]DB[/TD]
[TD]Nick Beasley[/TD]
[TD]Knee[/TD]
[TD]out for season[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[/TR]
</tbody>[/TABLE]
 
thought the same here tim. a buddy and i were talking over the potential match ups for this week and one of his favorite was this game on the Marshall side. Was surprised to see them as a dog and then also line moving against them.
 
I took Marshall ML at +135 and don't care about the line movement or anything else. I'm getting the better team here. They can have my money if it loses...
 
I have a dot beside Marshall; but,with the possible exception of USM wouldn't MTSU have beaten every one that Marshall beat? And wouldn't Marshall have lost to the same ones that MTSU lost to? Except maybe Illinois? So I think SOS is a concern here, but not enough to keep me on the sidelines.
 
Strength of schedule the big concern here. However, Marshall certainly has the better defense and I like the growth of Chase Litton at this point. Having seen both play, I think Marshall is the better team and am surprised they are the dog. BOL.
 
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