March 2025 UFC

3/8/25
UFC 311-Prelims
D.SANTOS/M.SANTOS parlay +121 (DK)
.83 units to win 1 unit

thoughts: diaz has some power but also a bad chin, D.Santos is the better overall striker and has the better cardio. Marshall is just a very avg fighter, M. Santos should be a level above.

LEAL/VAN parlay -114 (DK)
1.14 units to win 1 unit

thoughts: Morono is a fading fighter, Leal a solid striker. Tsuruya is the better grappler but Van has good take down defense and is the better striker and has better cardio.
 
UFC 311-Main Card
RUFFY/FIZIEV parlay -102 (FD)
1.02 units to win 1 unit

thoughts: Green's durability has been waning, keeps his hands too low. Ruffy with the hot fighting nerds camp, should get an easy win but cardio could be an issue if it gets tight and goes long. Gaethje is older and has been in a lot of wars, though Fiziev is on short notice and hasn't fought in a while.

debating a bet on bahamondes, will see how the night goes. that fight will be a banger, not sure I want to get involved cause either guy could get a KO at any moment. Kinda coinflippy.
 
UFC 311-Main Card
RUFFY/FIZIEV parlay -102 (FD)
1.02 units to win 1 unit

thoughts: Green's durability has been waning, keeps his hands too low. Ruffy with the hot fighting nerds camp, should get an easy win but cardio could be an issue if it gets tight and goes long. Gaethje is older and has been in a lot of wars, though Fiziev is on short notice and hasn't fought in a while.

debating a bet on bahamondes, will see how the night goes. that fight will be a banger, not sure I want to get involved cause either guy could get a KO at any moment. Kinda coinflippy.
Like this play. Also really like Bahamondes. Jalin does not do well against fighters with similar reach
 
UFC 311-Main Card
RUFFY/FIZIEV parlay -102 (FD)
1.02 units to win 1 unit

thoughts: Green's durability has been waning, keeps his hands too low. Ruffy with the hot fighting nerds camp, should get an easy win but cardio could be an issue if it gets tight and goes long. Gaethje is older and has been in a lot of wars, though Fiziev is on short notice and hasn't fought in a while.

debating a bet on bahamondes, will see how the night goes. that fight will be a banger, not sure I want to get involved cause either guy could get a KO at any moment. Kinda coinflippy.
GL bud!
 
UFC Vegas 104
VALLEJOS/HERNANDEZ parlay - 118
1.18 units to win 1 unit

BLACKSHEAR/ZALESKI parlay -113
1.13 units to win 1 unit
 
Small rant about this shitty ufc apex card, full of unproven hyped prospects facing disappoints, has beens, or never weres. Not to mention 3 trash women's fights. The headliner is even meh. This sadly is what the ufc became after covid. Too many watered down events and even the ppvs aren't what they used to be. It's a giant money grab so we will have to deal with cards like this 10-15 times a yr now.
I'd rather they get rid of the apex (except for contender series) and do only events with crowds and do about 30-ish events at most. Just sad the sport that I have loved since the couture, liddell, hughes days and on through gsp, silva, and Jones, now has little to no star power (they don't want to pay anyone big money anyway) and cards with 3 or 4 decent fights at best. Anyway, rant off.
 
UFC Vegas 104
VALLEJOS/HERNANDEZ parlay - 118
1.18 units to win 1 unit

BLACKSHEAR/ZALESKI parlay -113
1.13 units to win 1 unit
1-1 -.13 units

2025 UFC Record
7-10 -4.08 units

ended up a fairly entertaining card despite my bitching. a couple of fairly sizeable upsets and 2 quick women's fight finishes to boot. something to take notice of, theres been a few of these "up and comers" making debuts that are giant favs that have lost this yr. think its a good idea to avoid throwing those guys in parlays. I tried to avoid it tonight with the exception of Vellejos, that was just as much a fade on Choi having zero chin.
 
UFC LONDON
KUTATELADZE/LEROY DUNCAN/KAVANAUGH parlay +113
.88 units to win 1 unit

LEROY DUNCAN/VUCENIC/ULBERG parlay +103
.97 units to win 1 unit

Don't normally like to put same guy on multiple parlays. Don't let me down Chris. These lines are from circa in Vegas where I'm at this week.
 
Might as well get a little wreckless

NELSON/ULBERG parlay +126
.5 units to win .63 units
 
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