Madden 23 simulation wagers (25-10-1 ATS) and my point spread ratings ( 13-5 YTD)

DOUBLEUP4LIFE

DOUBLEUP4LIFE

Pretty much a regular
What's up NEW FAMILY ???

BEST of HEALTH , HAPPINESS, WEALTH,BLESSINGS and LUCK to ALL !!!

Long time( 16 year) poster across the street...
Fantastic to see all these Familiar ,and new faces here on CAPPING THE GAME $$

Every week I simulate each match up 20 times on Madden 23 for PS4. If any team covers at least 13 of 20 they're a suggested wager ...So far this system has yielded excellent results of 25-10-1 ATS with 6 straight winning weeks ( including 5-1 last week)...


My point spread ratings are my own personal handicapping tool ..When the numbers are at least 3.17 points off a the oddsmakers line it becomes a suggested wager ( 13-5 YTD) .



Enough RAMBLING
Let's get to GAMBLING!!!
 
PLEASE keep in mind these numbers are for WEEK 7 ONLY , NOT for future or hypothetical matchups ..

Point Spread Ratings ( 13-5 ATS ) ( my personal ratings)

CARDINALS 90.02 HF +2.27. -3.31

SAINTS 88.98

NO PLAY IS SUGGESTED , as the PSR must be at least 3.17 POINTS off the current line ( ARIZONA -2.5 )

Saints are still riddled with injuries..Have dropped 4 of 5 , including blowing another lead last week.
Cardinals have had a brutal time winning at home for the better part of 2 seasons now .. Pathetic that Kingsbury scripts his 1st quarter plays and has now been outscored 41-3 ...

I want no part of betting this game unless the Madden Sims dictate so


( Sims will be completed shortly )
 
Thursday night MADDEN 23 Simulations

CARDINALS 2.5. SAINTS

CARDINALS COVERED 12 OF 20 SIMS
NO SUGGESTED ATS WAGER on this game ...

So close to being a suggested wager at 12 of 20 ...

These props did hit at least 13+ times ...Kamara over 4.5 receptions ( 14 of 20) , Hopkins over 61.5 Rec yards ( 13 of 20 ) , and CARDINALS over 1.5 Field goals ( 13 of 20 ) ...





* All spreads , odds, and props from Seneca Buffalo sportsbook /Bet Rivers.

Props clearly do not count in Madden 23 Simulations ATS record ..
 
DOUBLEUP4LIFE said:
What's up NEW FAMILY ???

BEST of HEALTH , HAPPINESS, WEALTH,BLESSINGS and LUCK to ALL !!!

Long time( 16 year) poster across the street...
Fantastic to see all these Familiar ,and new faces here on CAPPING THE GAME $$

Every week I simulate each match up 20 times on Madden 23 for PS4. If any team covers at least 13 of 20 they're a suggested wager ...So far this system has yielded excellent results of 25-10-1 ATS with 6 straight winning weeks ( including 5-1 last week)...


My point spread ratings are my own personal handicapping tool ..When the numbers are at least 3.17 points off a the oddsmakers line it becomes a suggested wager ( 13-5 YTD) .



Enough RAMBLING
Let's get to GAMBLING!!!
Click to expand...
It’s great here bro. Much less drama than over there. Welcome
 
Vapster said:
I will be following this system closely.

( I remember that saying being used quite often across the street.)
Click to expand...
Please do Brother ...Yeah that's popular over there.....I tweek the Madden Simulations settings all summer until I feel it's at least acceptable for the player props ...As long as it doesn't hit between 44-56 % on suggested plays I leave it alone ...I'd be fine with tailing or fading depending on how it does the first few weeks ...Like a second job adjusting the weekly active players , often have to create players elevated from practice squad .
BEST OF LUCK BROTHER!!
 
3-0 on the player/game props last night



Thursday night MADDEN 23 Simulations

CARDINALS 2.5. SAINTS

CARDINALS COVERED 12 OF 20 SIMS
NO SUGGESTED ATS WAGER on this game ...

So close to being a suggested wager at 12 of 20 ...

These props did hit at least 13+ times ...Kamara over 4.5 receptions ( 14 of 20) , Hopkins over 61.5 Rec yards ( 13 of 20 ) , and CARDINALS over 1.5 Field goals ( 13 of 20 ) ...
 
PLEASE keep in mind these numbers are for WEEK 7 ONLY , NOT for future or hypothetical matchups ..

Point Spread Ratings ( 13-5 ATS ) ( my personal ratings)

BENGALS 93.98. HF +3.15. PSR -6.04

FALCONS 91.09

NO PLAY IS SUGGESTED as the current spread is Bengals -6.5 and the PSR -6.04 ..

Both of these squads like to put up 1st quarter points with the Falcons scoring 37 ( 3rd most ) and the Bengals 34 ( tied 4th most)..First half Over might be worth a look .. .....My gut wants to insta bet the covering machine Falcons but the Point spread ratings are adjusted bc ATLANTA is a low 31st vs the Pass, meanwhile it appears Burrow is hitting his stride now that O Line might be finally gelling ....




RAVENS. 94.01. HF +2.97. PSR -7.95

BROWNS. 89.03.

NO PLAY is suggested !!!

A tale of 2 teams that love trying to give the game away in the 4th quarter ..Ravens have been outscored by 42 points in the 4th and the Brownies have given up 67 total points in the 4th .....Unless the Madden Sims dictate action I'll be staying far away from this one ....





COWBOYS. * Waiting on DAK'S status

LIONS






*more to follow
 
Point Spread Ratings continued

PACKERS. 90.77. PSR -1.37

COMMIES 86.38. HF +3.02.

The COMMIES are a SUGGESTED wager as the current spread is +5 , and the PSR is only +1.37 ...

Packers might win this one , but oddsmakers are still giving them way too much respect IMO ....Heinicke might give Washington a jump start with his dual threat ability ( or at least extend some plays ) ...Packers could be spent after traveling back from across the pond and then getting curb stomped by a physical JETS squad ...Meanwhile the COMMIES got some extra rest after what is considered a win over the Bear cubs ..




TITANS. 91.32 HF +2.93. PSR -2.66

COLTS. 91.59.

NO PLAY is a SUGGESTED on this game....

I'll be rooting for my COLTS futures with likely no money involved ...Tempted to hedge with Titans to win division with the current +150 ( Have a 5+ UNIT future to win 10 Units on Division winner parlay with BILLS + COLTS ) ...






GIANTS. 91.02

JAGUARS 88.99 HF +2.8. PSR -0.77

NO play is suggested on this game..

Big fan of Buffalo Boy "Brain" Daboll ...Have plenty of division and playoff long shot futures riding ...While I thought the Jersey Giants would be improved the 5-1 start is highly unexpected....Jags should be in all out desperation mode after starting the season 2-1 and then losing 3 straight ...Probably won't watch a second of this until next week on all 22 ..




BUCCANEERS. 94.39. PSR -13.30

PANTHERS. 83.08. HF -1.99

No Play is suggested on this game .

Expecting home field to be a disadvantage with the boo birds out in full force ...Happy CMC was able to get put of dodge ...BUCCANEERS should be full of piss and vinegar after losing to the Steelers ...Gave Tampa Bay a big ratings boost for this soft spot off a bad loss .....Pass for me ATS , but it's almost a given I bet Succop over 1
5 FG and Fournette TD ...
 
Some Week 7 MADDEN 23 SIMULATIONS will be posted tonight...The Friday injury report has clarified enough for 4 of Sundays matchups to be simulated....

While I hate waiting until Saturday or even hours before kickoff on some games it might be key for accurate results..( or at the least accurate active rosters )


Sorry for the delay Brothers !!
 
Madden 23 Simulations
Week 7


BENGALS 6.5. FALCONS

FALCONS COVER in 11 of 20 = NO ATS WAGER is SUGGESTED!!

Reccomended player props ..BENGALS FG OVER 1.5 +107 ( 15 of 20 ) ....MARIOTA OVER 15.5 completions -110 ( 14 of 20) ....

FALCONS would clearly like to to run the rock, but they're usually forced to play from behind and throw more than they would like ..Mariota should be brimming with confidence coming off a statically historic performance ( albeit a low number of attempts ) ..
.....
MONEY MCPHERSON at plus money to kick 2+ is a insta bet..$$
 
Vapster said:
Good stuff! I was leaning Washington. Thanks for taking the time to do this! I love reading it too!
Click to expand...
Don't thank me Brother ...The appreciation is for you reading my degen ramblings ...Please excuse all the errors , typos, run-ons, etc ...

While anything can happen in the nfl ( legally a sports entertainment business) , the COMMIES appear to have value catching 5+ ...At most I think the Quackers should be laying is 3 ...Maybe the wrong team is the chalk though.???

Best of luck Brother
 
MADDEN 23 SIMULATION

PACKERS. 5 *COMMIES

COMMIES COVERED in 13 of 20 ...
COMMIES are a SUGGESTED PLAY ....

Couldn't wait to do these Sims....
The MADDEN 23 game has successfully FADED the PACKERS 3 times already( last 2 weeks ) ...
No shocker that it's right back on the horse here ..
In the 13 COMMIES covers they WON outright 7 times ...

Only current suggested player prop is Robinson TD SCORED at +165 ....Sims have him scoring 13 of 20 .....

Waiting on Heinicke rushing yards props as the Sims have him with 16+ yards in 15 of 20 ..
 
Love seeing great cappers like you and bookie posting over here. Been reading your stuff for years. Following this thread closely though not tailing. Anxious to see if it holds up this well the entire season. Thanks for sharing.
 
Madden 23 Simulations

BUCCS 13. * PANTHERS

BUCCANEERS COVER IN 11 OF 20 , and PUSH once ...

NO ATS play is suggested on this game..

Reccomended prop plays ...BUCCS FG OVER 1.5 (15), RACHAAD WHITE OVER 19.5 RUSHING (13) ..FOURNETTE TD SCORED. (13) .....

No suprise here SUCCOP over FG and FOURNETTE TD has been Reccomended by the sims every week so far ..
 
Good stuff. I'm also seeing a trend of "no suggested wager" in almost every game. Smart advice. If I did this for each game I'd have a lot more $$ in my account, haha.
 
MADDEN 23 SIMULATION

JAGUARS. 3. GIANTS

GIANTS COVER IN 10 of 20 and push 2 ...

NO ATS play is suggested on this game ....

A little suprised the Giants were not suggested ..The Madden 23 Sims have been on the G Men 4 times already .....Oddly 3 of the 10 GIANTS covers were in games where they lost by 1 or 2 points ....


Reccomended prop plays. BELLINGER OVER 2.5 CATCHES , DANIEL JONES UNDER 33.5 RUSHING YARDS ..
 
Madden 23 simulation

RAVENS. 6.5. BROWNS

BROWNS COVERED IN 10 OF 20 ( even split) ..

NO ATS PLAY is suggested on this game...


Reccomended prop plays RAVENS FG OVER 1.5 -122 ...No other current prop on this board hits the required 13+..
 
lvmike32 said:
Love seeing great cappers like you and bookie posting over here. Been reading your stuff for years. Following this thread closely though not tailing. Anxious to see if it holds up this well the entire season. Thanks for sharing.
Click to expand...
Thank you very much for the kindness !!! Very rare thing in today's world ....
I'm anxious as well to see if the Madden Sims hold up , I was expecting a regression after the first couple weeks but it's thankfully just kept rolling to this point ...
Best of luck this weekend Brother...Sweep your slate $$$
 
Zeke said:
Good stuff. I'm also seeing a trend of "no suggested wager" in almost every game. Smart advice. If I did this for each game I'd have a lot more $$ in my account, haha.
Click to expand...
Know that story all to well ...Used to bet every game on the board ( every sport lol ) ....

On average the Madden 23 Sims usually have between 5-7 weekly ATS plays and my point spread ratings usually suggest 2-3 ATS plays per week ..

BEST OF LUCK BROTHER !!
 
Madden 23 simulation

BRONCOS 1. JETS

BRONCOS COVER IN 14 OF 20 SIMS ..

BRONCOS -1 ARE A SUGGESTED WAGER ...

Madden Sims are switching it up as they've already backed the JETS 2 times this season and faded the Broncos twice with success on all 4 ....


Reccomended props plays. BRONCOS OVER 19.5 TT ( 14) Breece Hall under 71.5 rushing (15) ..






POINT SPREAD RATINGS

JETS . 90.55

BRONCOS 92.13. HF +3.56. PSR -5.14

BRONCOS -1 are a suggested wager

Tough spot for the Jets back on the road again after last week's huge upset in Green Bay ....Denver's offense has been an utter abomination, but this is do or die time imo ....Latavius Murray TD at a juicy +245 is also intriguing...
 
Madden 23 Simulation

RAIDERS 7. TEXANS

RAIDERS COVER in 11 of 20 and push once ...

NO ATS PLAY is suggested in this game..

Texans win out right only only once in their 8 covers ....Tempted to wheel the Raiders ML in a few cheap 5+ leg parlays....

Reccomended player props. RAIDERS FG OVER 1.5 ( 17 ), juice sucks but Carlson is automatic!! ......MOREAU over Receptions (15) if ever Posted, as he had 3+ catches in 15 of 20 , and 5+ catches in 8 ..









Point Spread Ratings

RAIDERS. 91.42 . HF +3.21. PSR -8.02.

TEXANS. 86.61.

NO ATS PLAY is suggested on. RAIDERS -7 ...

CAN'T get anymore desperate than the Raiders should be in this spot ...My gut wants to sell them up to -14 , and possibly higher ...Then again I've never been a big fan of their HC ...Probably just using them ML in 5 leg parlays with Carlson over attached..
 
KJ said:
Dak isn't even on the injury report

Love this kinda stuff, never had bet on simulations but will be an enjoyable follow!
Click to expand...
Meant to say DAK and D Swift above, sorry Brother ...Swift sounds iffy ...I like J Williams but Swift adds another much needed dimension...

Thank God DAK is playing , my fantasy teams want him back..Can't believe so many owners dropped him prematurely after the injury...Excellent waiver wire IR stash ....

Might hold off on Simulating this one until the inactives are announced tomorrow 90 minutes before kickoff..

In the preseason the sims loved the Cowboys in this spot , with them winning by double digits un 14 of final 20 ..

Appreciate you reading , posting and following the sims !!!
Sweep your slate Brother $$$
 
Thread to DATE

MADDEN 23 SIMULATION SUGGESTED ATS WAGERS

COMMIES +5
BRONCOS -1



POINT SPREAD RATINGS SUGGESTED ATS WAGERS

COMMIES +5
BRONCOS. -1




MADDEN 23 suggested prop plays

KAMARA over 4.5 catches winner ..
HOPKINS over 61.5 rec yards Winner ..
CARDINALS over 1.5 FG winner

BENGALS FG OVER 1.5 +107

MARIOTA OVER 15.5 completions -110

B ROBINSON TD SCORED at +165 .
Waiting on Heinicke rushing yards props as the Sims have him with 16+ yards in 15 of 20 .

BUCCS FG OVER 1.5

RACHAAD WHITE OVER 19.5 RUSHING Y..

FOURNETTE TD SCORED

BELLINGER OVER 2.5 CATCHES

DANIEL JONES UNDER 33.5 RUSHING YARDS

RAVENS FG OVER 1.5 -122

BRONCOS OVER 19.5 TT

Breece Hall under 71.5 rushing

RAIDERS FG OVER 1.5

MOREAU over Receptions if ever Posted, as he had 3+ catches in 15 of 20 , and 5+ catches in 8 ..


 
Injuries are holding up MADDEN SIMS, and Point Spread Ratings for

COWBOYS vs LIONS

TITANS vs COLTS ( PSR is in post #24)

CHIEFS at. 49ERS

CHARGERS vs SEAHAWKS

DOLPHINS vs STEELERS






* Monday night football PATRIOTS vs BEARS will be posted Sunday night ..
 
BRONCOS are CANCELED on the MADDEN SIMS until I use Brett Rypien for a full 20 SIMULATIONS...


BRONCOS become a stronger play on the POINT SPREAD RATINGS because my opinion is Russell Wilson has looked like absoulte POOP on game film ..Often not seeing wide open receivers 5-15 yards directly in front of him
 
POINT SPREAD RATINGS

JETS . 90.55

BRONCOS 92.13.. HF +3.56. * WILSON OUT +0.76
PSR -5.90
BRONCOS +1.5 are a suggested wager

Might be a big upgrade with Rypien at QB ...

I Would have FIRED Hackett 3 times already !!!

Tough spot for the Jets back on the road again after last week's huge upset in Green Bay ....Denver's offense has been an utter abomination... ....Latavius Murray TD at a juicy +245 is also intriguing..
 
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