LOUISVILLE at CINCY - Keg of Nails Discussion

NYGiants25

NYGiants25

NY Giants fan, anyone?
Louisville at Cincinnati +3.5 o/u50
Kickoff 6:30 Central on ESPN

Weather Report
NOAA.gov
This Afternoon
Rain likely, mainly after 4pm. Cloudy, with a high near 62. Northwest wind 8 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Tonight
Rain. Low around 31. North wind around 11 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New precipitation amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible.


Weather.com
4 pm
Cloudy
<dl style="margin-top: 20px; margin-right: 0px; margin-left: 6px; padding-bottom: 10px; font-size: 14px; line-height: 21px; display: inline-block; zoom: 1; vertical-align: top; width: 65px;"><dt style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; font-size: 11px; color: rgb(153, 153, 153); text-transform: uppercase; vertical-align: top;">FEELS LIKE:</dt><dd style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">42°</dd></dl> <dl style="margin-top: 20px; margin-right: 0px; margin-left: 6px; padding-bottom: 10px; font-size: 14px; line-height: 21px; display: inline-block; zoom: 1; vertical-align: top; width: 65px;"><dt style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; font-size: 11px; color: rgb(153, 153, 153); text-transform: uppercase; vertical-align: top;">HUMIDITY:</dt><dd style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">68%</dd></dl> <dl style="margin-top: 20px; margin-right: 0px; margin-left: 6px; padding-bottom: 10px; font-size: 14px; line-height: 21px; display: inline-block; zoom: 1; vertical-align: top; width: 65px;"><dt style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; font-size: 11px; color: rgb(153, 153, 153); text-transform: uppercase; vertical-align: top;">PRECIP:</dt><dd style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">0%</dd></dl> <dl style="margin-top: 20px; margin-right: 0px; margin-left: 6px; padding-bottom: 10px; font-size: 14px; line-height: 21px; display: inline-block; zoom: 1; vertical-align: top; width: 65px;"><dt style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; font-size: 11px; color: rgb(153, 153, 153); text-transform: uppercase; vertical-align: top;">WIND:</dt><dd style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">WNW at 11 mph</dd></dl>
5 pm
Cloudy
<dl style="margin-top: 20px; margin-right: 0px; margin-left: 6px; padding-bottom: 10px; font-size: 14px; line-height: 21px; display: inline-block; zoom: 1; vertical-align: top; width: 65px;"><dt style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; font-size: 11px; color: rgb(153, 153, 153); text-transform: uppercase; vertical-align: top;">FEELS LIKE:</dt><dd style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">41°</dd></dl> <dl style="margin-top: 20px; margin-right: 0px; margin-left: 6px; padding-bottom: 10px; font-size: 14px; line-height: 21px; display: inline-block; zoom: 1; vertical-align: top; width: 65px;"><dt style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; font-size: 11px; color: rgb(153, 153, 153); text-transform: uppercase; vertical-align: top;">HUMIDITY:</dt><dd style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">69%</dd></dl> <dl style="margin-top: 20px; margin-right: 0px; margin-left: 6px; padding-bottom: 10px; font-size: 14px; line-height: 21px; display: inline-block; zoom: 1; vertical-align: top; width: 65px;"><dt style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; font-size: 11px; color: rgb(153, 153, 153); text-transform: uppercase; vertical-align: top;">PRECIP:</dt><dd style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">0%</dd></dl> <dl style="margin-top: 20px; margin-right: 0px; margin-left: 6px; padding-bottom: 10px; font-size: 14px; line-height: 21px; display: inline-block; zoom: 1; vertical-align: top; width: 65px;"><dt style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; font-size: 11px; color: rgb(153, 153, 153); text-transform: uppercase; vertical-align: top;">WIND:</dt><dd style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">NW at 12 mph</dd></dl>
6 pm
Cloudy
<dl style="margin-top: 20px; margin-right: 0px; margin-left: 6px; padding-bottom: 10px; font-size: 14px; line-height: 21px; display: inline-block; zoom: 1; vertical-align: top; width: 65px;"><dt style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; font-size: 11px; color: rgb(153, 153, 153); text-transform: uppercase; vertical-align: top;">FEELS LIKE:</dt><dd style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">39°</dd></dl> <dl style="margin-top: 20px; margin-right: 0px; margin-left: 6px; padding-bottom: 10px; font-size: 14px; line-height: 21px; display: inline-block; zoom: 1; vertical-align: top; width: 65px;"><dt style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; font-size: 11px; color: rgb(153, 153, 153); text-transform: uppercase; vertical-align: top;">HUMIDITY:</dt><dd style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">65%</dd></dl> <dl style="margin-top: 20px; margin-right: 0px; margin-left: 6px; padding-bottom: 10px; font-size: 14px; line-height: 21px; display: inline-block; zoom: 1; vertical-align: top; width: 65px;"><dt style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; font-size: 11px; color: rgb(153, 153, 153); text-transform: uppercase; vertical-align: top;">PRECIP:</dt><dd style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">0%</dd></dl> <dl style="margin-top: 20px; margin-right: 0px; margin-left: 6px; padding-bottom: 10px; font-size: 14px; line-height: 21px; display: inline-block; zoom: 1; vertical-align: top; width: 65px;"><dt style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; font-size: 11px; color: rgb(153, 153, 153); text-transform: uppercase; vertical-align: top;">WIND:</dt><dd style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">NW at 12 mph</dd></dl>
7 pm
Rain
<dl style="margin-top: 20px; margin-right: 0px; margin-left: 6px; padding-bottom: 10px; font-size: 14px; line-height: 21px; display: inline-block; zoom: 1; vertical-align: top; width: 65px;"><dt style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; font-size: 11px; color: rgb(153, 153, 153); text-transform: uppercase; vertical-align: top;">FEELS LIKE:</dt><dd style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">37°</dd></dl> <dl style="margin-top: 20px; margin-right: 0px; margin-left: 6px; padding-bottom: 10px; font-size: 14px; line-height: 21px; display: inline-block; zoom: 1; vertical-align: top; width: 65px;"><dt style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; font-size: 11px; color: rgb(153, 153, 153); text-transform: uppercase; vertical-align: top;">HUMIDITY:</dt><dd style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">73%</dd></dl> <dl style="margin-top: 20px; margin-right: 0px; margin-left: 6px; padding-bottom: 10px; font-size: 14px; line-height: 21px; display: inline-block; zoom: 1; vertical-align: top; width: 65px;"><dt style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; font-size: 11px; color: rgb(153, 153, 153); text-transform: uppercase; vertical-align: top;">PRECIP:</dt><dd style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">70%</dd></dl> <dl style="margin-top: 20px; margin-right: 0px; margin-left: 6px; padding-bottom: 10px; font-size: 14px; line-height: 21px; display: inline-block; zoom: 1; vertical-align: top; width: 65px;"><dt style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; font-size: 11px; color: rgb(153, 153, 153); text-transform: uppercase; vertical-align: top;">WIND:</dt><dd style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">NNW at 11 mph</dd></dl>
8 pm
Rain
<dl style="margin-top: 20px; margin-right: 0px; margin-left: 6px; padding-bottom: 10px; font-size: 14px; line-height: 21px; display: inline-block; zoom: 1; vertical-align: top; width: 65px;"><dt style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; font-size: 11px; color: rgb(153, 153, 153); text-transform: uppercase; vertical-align: top;">FEELS LIKE:</dt><dd style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">36°</dd></dl> <dl style="margin-top: 20px; margin-right: 0px; margin-left: 6px; padding-bottom: 10px; font-size: 14px; line-height: 21px; display: inline-block; zoom: 1; vertical-align: top; width: 65px;"><dt style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; font-size: 11px; color: rgb(153, 153, 153); text-transform: uppercase; vertical-align: top;">HUMIDITY:</dt><dd style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">73%</dd></dl> <dl style="margin-top: 20px; margin-right: 0px; margin-left: 6px; padding-bottom: 10px; font-size: 14px; line-height: 21px; display: inline-block; zoom: 1; vertical-align: top; width: 65px;"><dt style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; font-size: 11px; color: rgb(153, 153, 153); text-transform: uppercase; vertical-align: top;">PRECIP:</dt><dd style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">70%</dd></dl> <dl style="margin-top: 20px; margin-right: 0px; margin-left: 6px; padding-bottom: 10px; font-size: 14px; line-height: 21px; display: inline-block; zoom: 1; vertical-align: top; width: 65px;"><dt style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; font-size: 11px; color: rgb(153, 153, 153); text-transform: uppercase; vertical-align: top;">WIND:</dt><dd style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">NNW at 10 mph</dd></dl>
9 pm
Rain
<dl style="margin-top: 20px; margin-right: 0px; margin-left: 6px; padding-bottom: 10px; font-size: 14px; line-height: 21px; display: inline-block; zoom: 1; vertical-align: top; width: 65px;"><dt style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; font-size: 11px; color: rgb(153, 153, 153); text-transform: uppercase; vertical-align: top;">FEELS LIKE:</dt><dd style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">34°</dd></dl> <dl style="margin-top: 20px; margin-right: 0px; margin-left: 6px; padding-bottom: 10px; font-size: 14px; line-height: 21px; display: inline-block; zoom: 1; vertical-align: top; width: 65px;"><dt style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; font-size: 11px; color: rgb(153, 153, 153); text-transform: uppercase; vertical-align: top;">HUMIDITY:</dt><dd style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">76%</dd></dl> <dl style="margin-top: 20px; margin-right: 0px; margin-left: 6px; padding-bottom: 10px; font-size: 14px; line-height: 21px; display: inline-block; zoom: 1; vertical-align: top; width: 65px;"><dt style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; font-size: 11px; color: rgb(153, 153, 153); text-transform: uppercase; vertical-align: top;">PRECIP:</dt><dd style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">70%</dd></dl> <dl style="margin-top: 20px; margin-right: 0px; margin-left: 6px; padding-bottom: 10px; font-size: 14px; line-height: 21px; display: inline-block; zoom: 1; vertical-align: top; width: 65px;"><dt style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; font-size: 11px; color: rgb(153, 153, 153); text-transform: uppercase; vertical-align: top;">WIND:</dt><dd style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">NNW at 9 mph</dd></dl>
10 pm
Rain
<dl style="margin-top: 20px; margin-right: 0px; margin-left: 6px; padding-bottom: 10px; font-size: 14px; line-height: 21px; display: inline-block; zoom: 1; vertical-align: top; width: 65px;"><dt style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; font-size: 11px; color: rgb(153, 153, 153); text-transform: uppercase; vertical-align: top;">FEELS LIKE:</dt><dd style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">33°</dd></dl> <dl style="margin-top: 20px; margin-right: 0px; margin-left: 6px; padding-bottom: 10px; font-size: 14px; line-height: 21px; display: inline-block; zoom: 1; vertical-align: top; width: 65px;"><dt style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; font-size: 11px; color: rgb(153, 153, 153); text-transform: uppercase; vertical-align: top;">HUMIDITY:</dt><dd style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">76%</dd></dl> <dl style="margin-top: 20px; margin-right: 0px; margin-left: 6px; padding-bottom: 10px; font-size: 14px; line-height: 21px; display: inline-block; zoom: 1; vertical-align: top; width: 65px;"><dt style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; font-size: 11px; color: rgb(153, 153, 153); text-transform: uppercase; vertical-align: top;">PRECIP:</dt><dd style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">70%</dd></dl> <dl style="margin-top: 20px; margin-right: 0px; margin-left: 6px; padding-bottom: 10px; font-size: 14px; line-height: 21px; display: inline-block; zoom: 1; vertical-align: top; width: 65px;"><dt style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; font-size: 11px; color: rgb(153, 153, 153); text-transform: uppercase; vertical-align: top;">WIND:</dt><dd style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">NNW at 9 mph</dd></dl>
11 pm
Rain
<dl style="margin-top: 20px; margin-right: 0px; margin-left: 6px; padding-bottom: 10px; font-size: 14px; line-height: 21px; display: inline-block; zoom: 1; vertical-align: top; width: 65px;"><dt style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; font-size: 11px; color: rgb(153, 153, 153); text-transform: uppercase; vertical-align: top;">FEELS LIKE:</dt><dd style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">32°</dd></dl> <dl style="margin-top: 20px; margin-right: 0px; margin-left: 6px; padding-bottom: 10px; font-size: 14px; line-height: 21px; display: inline-block; zoom: 1; vertical-align: top; width: 65px;"><dt style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; font-size: 11px; color: rgb(153, 153, 153); text-transform: uppercase; vertical-align: top;">HUMIDITY:</dt><dd style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">76%</dd></dl> <dl style="margin-top: 20px; margin-right: 0px; margin-left: 6px; padding-bottom: 10px; font-size: 14px; line-height: 21px; display: inline-block; zoom: 1; vertical-align: top; width: 65px;"><dt style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; font-size: 11px; color: rgb(153, 153, 153); text-transform: uppercase; vertical-align: top;">PRECIP:</dt><dd style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">70%</dd></dl> <dl style="margin-top: 20px; margin-right: 0px; margin-left: 6px; padding-bottom: 10px; font-size: 14px; line-height: 21px; display: inline-block; zoom: 1; vertical-align: top; width: 65px;"><dt style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; font-size: 11px; color: rgb(153, 153, 153); text-transform: uppercase; vertical-align: top;">WIND:</dt><dd style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">NNW at 9 mph</dd></dl>


More to follow ... just trying to get things started ... :shake:
 
Appears that everyone and their mom is loving Cinnci and the points. I did initially as well. Weather can't be considered great for Cinnci though. Louisville seems to play a conservative keep in front defense. Really needs this win and has been doing good in these spots late in the season through Teddy's career.
 
I don't understand the Bearclits love tonight at all. I stayed away from the side and played under, but at -2.5 it would be Ville or nada for me...
 
I am starting to agree with you doggy. I think it's the perception these teams are even and you get plus money on a home dog. Bearcats have won 8 in a row? Vs a Louisville team that has appeared bored and unimpressive for 2 months.
 
For what its worth, this rain isn't going to hit until well into the second half according the the latest weather reports. I went ahead and bought off my under I played yesterday. I don't see much wind, and with a slight line drop I'll just root for this to land directly on 50....

GL if you play it Spec... Hard for me to really find any value either way.
 
Anything to the cards outscoring opponents to the tune of 82-6 in the first qtr this year? Line is cards -.5 (+$). Haven't played it but interested in others thoughts....
 
RECAP OF LOUISVILLE'S SEASON (10-1)
W 49-7 Ohio ... Home opener against a team that finished 7-5, Louisville only ranked team Ohio played, ohio back half ranked offense and middle of the pack defense
W 44-7 Eastern KY ... lined Louis -42 ... nough said
W 27-13 @Kentucky ... Bottom of the barrel offense and defense, held their own for the 1H, but went 0-13 on converting 3rd downs, 3-1 TO margin, and lost their QB in 3rd qtr ... too many hurdles for such a shitty team, but Louisville didn't make many mistakes and played the ground game well to get the W
W 72-0 Florida Int'l ... lined Louis -41 ... only win against Southern Miss ... nough said
W 30-7 @Temple ... another shitty team on both sides of the ball, composing a record of 2-10, wins against shitty army & memphis ... another cupcake for Louis
W 24-10 Rutgers ... another team with both offense and defense in the bottom half, however their defense ranks 7 in rushing yards allowed, louis had 3 TOs and 7 penalties for 70 yds, along with other stats they could have won this game by more, Rutg threw 4 INTs
L 35-38 UCF ... only ranked opp they played as 14 pt fav ... lost this game in 2H, outscored 31-21 w/ UCF scoring the go ahead TD w/ 23 seconds left, offensively played decent, didnt get as much as they're use to on the ground but had 341 in the air, UCF dominated the running game 196yds vs 104, obviously similiar schedule as Louis, only loss to Gamecocks, good passing team and #18 defense in ypg (#16 in rush def)
W 34-3 @South Flo ... #123 in offense, although deceptively decent on defense #21 ... i say deceptive cause they still were giving up over 28 ppg #75 ... anyways another cupcake win
W 31-10 @Conn ... another 2-9 team with wins against shitty teams (in the list above!) ... Louis dominated TO margin 5-1, not much to this game, another one going through the motions
W 20-13 Houston ... trailed 13-10 at half after going up 10-0, shutout Houston in 2H to get the W, dominated TOP 38min/22, Hou w/ a middle of the pack offense and back half defense
W 24-17 Memphis ... game was 24-3 before memphis put up 14 in the 4th qtr ... another TO battle won 2-0 and grinding the rush and lots of short passes


RECAP OF CINCI SEASON (9-2)
W 42-7 Purdue ... home opener against a team that finished the season 1-11, not much here, total domination
L 17-45 @Illinois ... Illy with a final 4-8 record, but averaged 30ppg, they've got a shitty defense, Cinci offense couldnt convert on 3rd downs 3 of 13, defense couldnt hold on 3rd downs allowing 9 of 15 conversions, no turnovers in favor of Cinci, bad loss for cincy overall ... on the road
W 66-9 NW State ... lined Cinci -29.5 ... not much here, got the job done
W 14-0 @Miami Ohio ... anyone know MOhio's record??? ... should be enough said ... 14 points not very impressive against a team that game up an average 35ppg
L 20-26 @South Flo ... should have been cupcake for dinner ... bad bad loss ... on the road
W 38-20 Temple ... shitty just as noted with Louis
W 41-16 Conn ... shitty just as noted with Louis
W 34-21 @ Memphis ... not much here, played solid on offense across the board, momentum heading in their favor
W 28-25 SMU ...after going up 10-0, Cincy rattled off all 28 of their points in 2/3 qtrs, SMU scored 15 in 4th but too late, SMU won TOs 3-1, cincy gave up 400+ passing yds but held run game to 48 ... Cinci was efficent on offense and did enough to get the W
W 52-17 @Rutgers ... this game was a pickem!!! ... cinci lit up the airways with 507 passing yards ... threw for 6 TDs among 3 passes recording at least 1 TD ... Rutgers #124 pass defense lived up to the hype!
W 24-17 vs Houston ... cinci FG dog here ... played a good offensive second qtr the difference here ... solid defensive answer by Cinci to hold onto the win ... cincy was stopped on 4th and goal from the 2 ... houston missed 2 FGs in 4th qtr ... houston scored 1 TD off a fumble recovery and also "benefited' from 2 INTs although they only got 3 pts off them


ALL AND ALL, TWO TEAMS THAT HAVEN'T FACED MUCH IN TERMS OF COMPETITION THIS YEAR ... I've leaned Cinci and the under apparently like most people ... I'm on the under regardless of weather :shake:
 
I follow UofL a bit as I went to school there. I feel as though they have regressed as the season has gone on and I feel the opposite about Cincy. I took the 3 and the under at 50.5. Two good defenses and I think Cincy will try to run as much as they can to keep the UofL offense off of the field. These teams hated each other during my time there, I don't think the rivalry is a bad as it used to be but it could be a chippy one tonight.
 
These are the games I've watched Teddy B win...riding him tonight -2.5
Also under 51 larger.
GL to all
 
Left a dinner party seeing uc up 14-10 in the 4th. Got home to 24-21. Thought I might get a push/win, then loss/win, then I got loss/loss. That ended as horribly as possible
 
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