Las Vegas

stltk

Pretty much a regular
Races won from starting pos 1: 1 [of 18]
Races won from starting pos 2: 2
Races won from starting pos 3: 2
Races won from starting pos 4: 0
Races won from starting pos 5: 0
Races won from starting pos 7: 2
Races won from starting pos 9: 1
Races won from starting pos 11: 1
Races won from starting pos 17: 1
Races won from starting pos 18: 2
Races won from starting pos 19: 1
Races won from starting pos 20: 1
Races won from starting pos 23: 1
Races won from starting pos 24: 2
Races won from starting pos 25: 1
Races won from the top 5: 5 of 18
Races won from the top 10: 8 of 18
 
Looks the winner could come from anywhere. JJ, Harvick & Kenseth will most likely all be fast again.
 
Going to ride Kyle until he loses in the x series.
Kyle .4 = .42
Chase .05 = .45
Betting chase as a little better than a break even. Think eric jones or a Dillion could also win.
 
Kyle over Kez .39 = .1
Chase over eric jones .1= .22
Chase over a dillion .1 = .125
A dillion over eric jones .1 = .15
ty dillion over suarez .1 = .125
Brandon jones over ryan reed .26 = .1

took some big juice on a couple I really like, then basically bet against the other gibbs boys on 3 of the 4
 
Kyle .4 = .42 W +.42
Chase .05 = .45 L -.05
Kyle over Kez .39 = .1 W +.1
Chase over eric jones .1= .22 L -.1
Chase over a dillion .1 = .125 W +.125
A dillion over eric jones .1 = .15 L -.1
ty dillion over suarez .1 = .125 L -.1
Brandon jones over ryan reed .26 = .1 W +.1

Overall good day. The other gibbs drivers showed me I was dead wrong. for the day +.395
new total + .6625
 
On to the cup race:
To Win -
JJ .05 = .25. L -.05
Harvick .05 = .3 L -.05
kenseth .05 = .275 L -.05
Logano .05 = .55 L -.05
Kurt .05 = .5 L -.05
Kez .05 = .5
Edwards .05 = .575 L -.05
Newman .05 = 3.3 (took him as a long shot) L -.05
Bet way to many drivers, need more discipline. top 3 will only minimize my losses. oh well. don't understand the odds on kyle considering where he practiced and qualified
all bets on 5dimes or oddsmaker
 
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Matchups.
JJ over Kyle .17 = .1
Kez over Hamlin .16 = .1
Kurt over Truex .14 = .1
Kahne over Larson .145 = .1
Newman over McMurray .165 = .1
Edwards over Hamlin .15 = .1
Biffle over Bowyer .16 = .1
Kurt over Dale Jr .13 = .1
tons of juice again, couldn't find any underdogs I felt good about.
all bets on 5dimes
put my self in a tough spot, need to go 5-3 to win a little cash.
oh well, you've got to bet what you think.
 
JJ .05 = .25. L -.05
Harvick .05 = .3 L -.05
kenseth .05 = .275 L -.05
Logano .05 = .55 L -.05
Kurt .05 = .5 L -.05
Kez .05 = .5 W +.5
Edwards .05 = .575 L -.05
Newman .05 = 3.3 (took him as a long shot) L -.05
Total +.15

JJ over Kyle .17 = .1 W +.1
Kez over Hamlin .16 = .1 W +.1
Kurt over Truex .14 = .1 W +.1
Kahne over Larson .145 = .1 W +.1
Newman over McMurray .165 = .1 W +.1
Edwards over Hamlin .15 = .1 W +.1
Biffle over Bowyer .16 = .1 W +.1
Kurt over Dale Jr .13 = .1 L -.13
Total +.57
Total for the day +.72
Overall good day and weekend. Kez winning certain helped. If Kyle would have won, I was in trouble, did not have him at all.
On matchups, 5 of my 7 wins were close, 2 were separated by 1 spot, 2 by 2 spots and 1 by 3 spots. JJ passing Kyle at the very end was a plus .27 swing for me. My lose was also close with dale finishing 8 and kurt 9.
New grand total +1.3825
 
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