ksimpsc week 6

ksimpsc

ksimpsc

Pretty much a regular
Week 1 side 9-9-1 ... totals 2-1... 2H 1-1... teaz/par 1-0... net 13-11 +0.34u
Week 2 side 13-5 ... totals 8-7... 2H 0-1... teaz/par 0-3... net 21-16 +7.7u
Week 3 side 10-5... totals 7-6... 2H 1-0... teaz/par 0-4... net 18-15 +7.14u
Week 4 side 12-7... totals 11-16... 2H 2-0... teaz/par 3-7... net 28-30 -0.78u
Week 5 side 15-12-1... totals 7-9... 2H 1-4... teaz/par 2-3... net 25-28 -4.14u
Season side 59-38-2... totals 35-39... 2H 5-6... teaz/par 6-17... net 105-100-2 +10.26u

Plays locked:
Fresno St -16
CSU -7
WVU +14
Miami -3
SDSU -9
Kentucky -13.5
Ohio -12
Toledo -13
Akron -7
Buffalo +7 -115
SMU +7
Penn St -13
SouMiss +13
Gamecocks +3
.5u Gamecocks +135
MiaOH -14
ND -13
Indiana -26
Utah +4
.5u Utah +150
.5u Illi +16
.5u OU -30


Lou/NCSt O65.5
.5u Lou/NCSt 1H O33
VT/BC O45
ISU/OU U68
Duke/UVA O53
Kst/Texas U49.5
Illi/Iowa O42
Temple/ECU O59
SMU/Houston O62
WMU/Buff U50
SouMiss/UTSA U50
KU/TT O78
ND/UNC U63
Wake/Clemson 1H U26
MiaOH/BG 1H O25

2h Lou/NCSt O33.5
2H Mem/UConn U40
.5u 2H Oregon +0.5

4team 13pt ECU/Temple O46, Gamecocks +16, CSU +3.5, Fresno St -4
 
Last edited:
Buffalo +7 -115

was going to wait to see if it went back up some but not worth it any more
 
BOL this week fellas. Sorry for no SCAR thoughts already, didn't realize anyone would miss them haha. I have been slammed this week and have not been able to be as active this week as I would like. SCAR/ATM was a decent game and I thought Cocks played pretty well but the flaws are obvious and have been for some time. The OL is getting beat up and ATM logged 7 sacks and 12 TFL which is very painful to watch. We only ended up having 23 running yards in the stat line with Bentley being accounted for -46 rushing yards with all the sacks but Ty'Son again emerged as the only back producing with 73y on 14car which again has me scratching my head about the Kentucky game. Despite 7 sacks Bentley still went 17/30 for 256 and 2TDs and no INT this game. Tough to think what Bentley would be like with an actual OL, or maybe not Kurt Roper at OC. Again we see that the play calling is lack luster and puckers up with any sign of a lead, though that worked earlier in the season. Hard to do that though when anyone with a pulse can move the ball against you. (This could be a separate discussion but a few buddies were miffed that we threw in the towel before half time when we had plenty of time and timeouts which looking back is an actual stinger) Also it is pretty telling that some of Bentley's best plays this season have come from broken plays and going off script.

As for Arky the questions you probably need to answer if they are the bet you are considering are: Will they do the same damage to our OL? Will they be able to stop our O? Will they score consistently?

Will Ark score consistently? Yes.

Will they do the same damage to our OL? Not so sure they will. DL unit has logged 7 sacks all season FAMU 3, TCU 1, ATM 1, NMSU 2. Granted this is one of the worse OL they will have faced this season.

Will they be able to stop the Gamecocks? I honestly think the Gamecocks will have a decent time scoring here. Ark defense is not horrible but Gamecocks have shown that the skill positions are not the problem. Hurst 6 for 76, Shi Smith 3 for 86, Edwards 4 for 68 against ATM. The drop off in production has not been that bad since losing Debo to injury, but the light depth at the other positions is starting to show.

At the current line I am not going to bet it as I do not even have a ML available at my book. Was +1.5 yesterday and back to +2.5 today. I know that Willie B will be rocking this game as everyone took their out of town weekend during the LaTech game. I would not begrudge anyone for betting Arky here but that certainly feels like a trap.
 
47 feels low for the Gamecocks line, but I could also see that game going something in the 30s as final as well
 
Kentucky down to -9. Am I an idiot for wanting to jump on that again or did I just have that game way wrong?
 
VirginiaCavs said:
What's the big deal about a little line movement? It's just some other people's opinion
Click to expand...
Yea generally I do not mind line movement as it usually fluctuates back and forth. 13.5 to 9 is past a few key numbers and is a bit more than a little line movement. I have done it a few times in the past and once this season where I like a favorite and the line drops and I hit them again. I generally do not think this is a good strategy long term but sometimes I will do it if I feel I am getting some good value.
 
In two games vs P5 teams (TCU and aTm), Allen has been sacked 9x and is only 44% completions.

What is SCar's pass rush like?
 
s--k said:
In two games vs P5 teams (TCU and aTm), Allen has been sacked 9x and is only 44% completions.

What is SCar's pass rush like?
Click to expand...
Decent. On the season they have 8 sacks 28 TFL with the highlight being 4 sacks 11 TFL in the NC St. game. Also 4 INTs on the season. Similar to a lot of the team there are a number of good players and then filler along with some injuries.
 
adds

SMU +7
Penn St -13
SouMiss +13
.5u OU -30

Illi/Iowa O42
Temple/ECU O59
SMU/Houston O62
WMU/Buff U50
SouMiss/UTSA U50

will have more later
 
I'm on live 89.5 from in the first half. Maybe they ge 31-39 and we both win
 
Week 6 side 14-8... totals 5-10... 2H 1-3... teaz/par 0-1... net 20-22 +0.7u

Didnt come with any big units this week and kind of treading water at this point. Totals are still a problem so going to scale that back next week, was hoping it was short term and I would power through. Most of the side losses are bad favorites that did not have a chance aside from SMU who I thought was in that game until the end. I also had 2 unposted plays that I have left unposted and out of record. Sloppy week for me. Next week I may just focus on sides since I am doing well there.

Week 1 side 9-9-1 ... totals 2-1... 2H 1-1... teaz/par 1-0... net 13-11 +0.34u
Week 2 side 13-5 ... totals 8-7... 2H 0-1... teaz/par 0-3... net 21-16 +7.7u
Week 3 side 10-5... totals 7-6... 2H 1-0... teaz/par 0-4... net 18-15 +7.14u
Week 4 side 12-7... totals 11-16... 2H 2-0... teaz/par 3-7... net 28-30 -0.78u
Week 5 side 15-12-1... totals 7-9... 2H 1-4... teaz/par 2-3... net 25-28 -4.14u
Week 6 side 14-8... totals 5-10... 2H 1-3... teaz/par 0-1... net 20-22 +0.7u
Season side 73-46-2... totals 40-49... 2H 6-9... teaz/par 6-18... net 125-122-2 +10.96u
 
booksbestfriend said:
...but the cocks won. Congrats on the team victory.
Click to expand...
haha definitely not complaining about the weekend although really not that many great games to watch this weekend. The couple games I thought were going to be the best games of the weekend were pretty boring. Always nice when your team wins and you had them ML dog. Gamecocks looked pretty solid, granted benefiting from another game of multiple turnovers by the opponent but I thought, as s--k alluded to, we got into the backfield well and disrupted the QB. Gamecocks - Ark 358 to 330 total yards, 19 to 19 first downs, 4-13 to 6-14 3rd down conversions, TOP 29:36 to 30:25. 0-2 INTs, 1-2 fumbles. Two scoop and scores on top of some actual offensive production, I'll take it. It was nice to see Roper finally calling some plays to work around the weakness of the team. This is the first game this season we actually used some screens and some creative plays like Hurst coming accross the back field for a jet sweep. I guess Ty'Son Williams has been getting carries in the last few games because Dowdle has been hurt, but it seems that the offense produces better with Ty'Son in for some reason.

Now for Bowl Game Gamecocks need to win 2 of @tenn, Vandy, @UGA, Florida, Wofford, Clemson. Going to be tough sledding for the Bowl Game. Wofford is 1 but will need to beat either Tenn vandy or Florida as I do not see us competing with UGA and Clemson.
 
booksbestfriend said:
Benefited from turnovers? Eventually, you just have to see them for what they are. Opportunist. Take them how you can get'em.
Click to expand...
TRob did say they had an emphasis on takeaways this game, and it obviously showed. I am going to look back for the actual stat numbers but the last few years Gamecocks have been very opportunistic on the turnover front with scores on something like 75% of turnovers collected. So, yes, I will take being opportunists.
 
2017 Gamecocks have score 9 times on 12 turnovers including 8TDs, 1 fg, 1 missed fg, 1 punt, 1 INT. A cool 75% scoring off turnovers this year so far.
 
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