ksimpsc Week 2

ksimpsc

Pretty much a regular
record
Week 1 - side 9-9-1 ... totals 2-1... 2H 1-1... teaz/par 1-0... net 13-11 +0.34u

Late to the game this week and breaking down the lines. Not really a profitable way to go about betting games regularly but sometimes real life is in your way and more important. Only made two plays so far and will start to fill out.

All plays 1U unless otherwise noted

3u Wake/BC U47
2U Iowa -2.5
2U Buffalo +16.5
2u Gamecocks +3
.5u Gamecocks +125
Lou-10
Wake -1

Jacksonville St +16
BG -2.5
Rutggers -5
Temple -7

.5u UTSA +14.5
.5u UTSA +380
NMSU +7 (buy .5)
.5u NMSU +200
SDSU +3
.5u SDSU +125
.5u Minn +120

Wash St -10
.5u Aub +7 -130

OkSt 1H TT O27.5 -120
OkSt/SOAL O68

Lou/NC O63.5
FAU/wisky O59.5
Duke TT O26
Marshall/NCSt U55
MTSU/Cuse O74
PennSt/Pitt O64

MichSt/WMich U51.5
UAB/Ball ST U54
Neb/Oregon O68
Neb/Oreg 1Q O14 -140
Neb/Oreg 1H O35
Houston/Arizona U69
Aub/Clemson U55


2H Utah -2.5

2u 4team 13pt PennSt -6, Cocks +16, Cocks Mizzou O58, SDSU +16
.5u parlay Gamecocks +125, Auburn +162, SDSU +125 to win 6.14u
parlay Ohio St -280, USC -255 1u
 
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Last night my book had Wake/BC U47 so I took that for 3U. I was assuming that was a mispost and would get pulled off the board as I saw other books with it at 42.5 at the same time. My book has since dropped to 45 so I assume that is just how they lined it. Seems to be some disagreement among the books which can be a treacherous thing to bet on.
 
As for the Gamecocks:

I will take some action on +3. The fade is definitely incoming for the Gamecocks, and if you are on the train already I do not begrudge you for thinking it. That game with NCSt will definitely be filed under the misleading stats category, and that is understandable but I think Muschamp started to pucker up in the fourth when he was leading by two scores. That followed by a Bentley INT late in the game had us with very little production shown in the second half. Gamecocks are now 17-1 on season opener despite venue and Cocks found a way to get it done again in Charlotte against a team that on paper should have killed them. The defense was visibly better than expected and the OLine was also much better than anticipated. The TE have worked hard on blocking abilities as Hayden Hurst was hardly a target in the game. Deebo Samuels was the highlight on offense and looks to be shaping up for another good year. The running game was a bit lack luster but they were facing that NCSt front line.

Against Mizzou I am sure there will be hundreds of plays from scrimmage and later in the game Gamecocks defense is going to be paper thin. I am on the +3 for now and will see where the total settles out before game time.
 
2U Iowa -2.5

I feel like i bet this game every year and this year is no exception. There is some inexperience on the side of Iowa that may catch up with them in this game. I think Iowa will win the west if they can make it through a few tough games. But, as my buddy loves to say, especially when betting on Iowa St and drunk, "You don't just walk into Jack Tryce and expect a victory!"
 
2U Buffalo +16.5

Got to be one of the bigger over reaction lines on the board. I usually don't like betting service academy teams unless it is two of them playing each other, but this one seemed sure to come down.
 
Wake -1
Jacksonville St +16
BG -2.5
Rutggers -5
Temple -7
.5u UTSA +14.5

Marshall/NCSt U55
MTSU/Cuse O74
PennSt/Pitt O64
MichSt/WMich U51.5
UAB/Ball ST U54
Neb/Oregon O68

will have some more later on I am sure. BOL to all today
 
Clean Up from last week:
Record
side 9-9-1 ... totals 2-1... 2H 1-1... teaz/par 1-0... net 13-11 +0.34u

Lost all my big units and push on BC with a bad number.
 
Houston/Arizona U69
NMSU +7 (buy .5)
.5u NMSU +200
SDSU +3
.5u SDSU +125
.5u UTSA +380
.5u Minn +120

my card had too much chalk in it
 
Had Auburn won the game to beat Clemson and make my 6u ML parlay hit would have made for one of the more epic days in a while. Interesting that most of the red on my sheet is chalk or bad overs... hmmmm

Week 2 record
side 13-5 ... totals 8-7... 2H 0-1... teaz/par 0-3... net 21-16 +7.7u
 
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