KSimp Week 12

ksimpsc

ksimpsc

Pretty much a regular
Week 11 Record:
23-12 ATS
17-9 Totals
0-2 ML
2-4-2 2H or live
5-4 Teaser
3-2 Parlay
+68.82u

Overall Record:
373-320-17 ATS including totals
20-33 ML
58-62-4 2H or live
57- 65 Teaser
52-61 Parlay
+91u

ATS
4u UNC -6 & 2u NC -2.5 (b1)
4u Washington -14 (b1)
3u Navy -10 (b1.5)
2u Indiana +3.5 (b.5)
2u Sou Miss -19.5 (b1.5)
2u Midd Tenn St -23 (b1)
2u SDSU -16 & SDSU -13 (b1.5)

WKU -16(b.5)
CMU -6 (b2)
Clemson -28(b1)
Duke +3.5 (b1.5)
Wisconsin -9 (b1)
USF +3.5 (b1.5)
GaSou +14.5 (b1)
Penn St +4 (b1)
Army +6(b1.5)
Ohio St -13(b1)
South Carolina -21 v Citadel
Colorado +14.5
ULL -13(b1.5)
New Mexico +3.5(b.5)
UTSA -2.5(b.5)
OU -16(b1.5)

.5u LSU +4.5
.5u BG -6.5
.5u Ohio -9
.5u CMU -10
.5u AFA +13 (b2)
.5u Mizzou +7.5
.5u Miami OH +10.5 (b1)
.5u Memphis -1 (b1)
.5u GT -1(b1)
.5u FAU +31 (b1)
.5u AZSt -6

Totals
MichSt/OhioSt O51
USF/Cinci O61(b1.5)
AFA TT O21
AFA TT 1H O10
GaSou/Ga U52 (b1.5)
Rutgers/Army U56(b1.5)
Rutgers/Army U58(b2)
NT/MTSt U64
Cal/Stanford O61(b2)
Washington/OregSt O48(b1.5)
NMSU/ULL O61(b2)
MissSt/Ark O57(b2)
Tulane/SMU O54(b2)
TCU/OU O62(b1)
Baylor/OKSt O75(b1)
Cal/Stanford O14 1Q
Cal/Stanford O32.5 1H

.5u CMU/Kent St U43 (b1)
.5u BG TT 1H O20.5
.5u Toledo 1H TT O16
.5u WMU/NIU O59 (b1)
.5u WMU TT O28.5
.5u WMU TT 1H O14.5
.5u WMU/NIU 1H O30.5
.5u WMU/NIU 1Q O13.5
.5u USF/Cinci 1Q O14 EV
.5u USF/Cinci 1H O31 -105
.5u USF TT O 31 -120
.5u USF TT 1H O15 -115
.5u AFA/Boise O53 (b2)
.5u Mich/Penn St O40(b2)
.5u Memphis TT 1H O14
.5u Memhpis/Temple 1Q O13.5
.5u Penn St TT O18.5
.5u Penn St TT 1H O8.5
.5u OU TT O41
.5u OU TT 1H O21

ML
.5u USF +110
Maryland -140

2H or live
.5u 2H BG -7 -105
2H NIU pk -105
2H CMU -3 +105
2H ULM/TX St U26.5
.5u 2H Boise -6
2H FAU/Florida U21.5
2H Rutgers -0.5
2H Rutgers/Army O28
2H Memphis/Temple O28EV
.5u 2H Illi/Minn O23.5
2H SOAL/GaSt U28
2H Fresno/BYU U26
.5u 2H Michigan St +7
2H Utep +12
2H Wake +11.5
2H Stan/Cal U29.5
2H Wazzu -6.5
.5u 2H Colo/Wazzu O28

Teaser
1.5u 2 team 7pt BG -1, Ohio -2.5
3 team 10pt Midd Tenn St -13, Sou Miss -10, La Tech -13
3 team 10pt UNC +3.5, La Tech -13, SDSU -3
.5u 2team 7pt CMU -4, CMU/KENT U49
2team 7pt CMU -2.5, CMU/Kent O33.5
3team 10pt USF +13, AFA +22.5, Indiana +13
.5u 4team 7pt teaser +200 Toledo +14, Ohio -2.5, NIU +4, CMU -4
.5u 4team 7pt teaser +200 BG pk, Ohio -2.5, NIU +4, CMU -4
2team 7pt WMU +10, WMU/NIU O53
2team 7pt WMU +10, WMU/NIU U68
2team 6.5pt TxSt pk, ULM/TxSt U67
3team 10pt ECU/UCF O43.5, ULM/TXSt O48, AFA +21
3team 10pt ECU -4, ULM/TXSt O48, TxSt +4.5
3team 10pt ULM +15.5, ULM/TEX St O48, Navy -2
2team 7pt USF +9, AFA +18
3team 10pt USF +12, Cinci/USF O52.5, AFA/Boise O45
2team 7 pt USF +9, Cinci/USF O55.5
2team 7pt AFA +18, O AFA/Boise O48
4team 7pt +200 USF +9, Cinci/USF O55.5, AFA +18, AFA/Boise O48
2team 7pt Army+11.5, Rutgers/Army U62.5
2team 7pt Army +10.5, Rutgers/Army U63
2team 7pt Army+10.5 O49.5
2team 7pt GaSou +21, GaSou/UGA U57.5
4team 7pt +200 GaSou +21, GaSou/GA U57.5, Army+11.5, Army/Rutgers U62.5
.5u 4team 7pt +200 GaSou +20.5, GaSou/GA U57.5, Rutgers +3.5, Rutgers/Army U63
2team 7pt GaSou+20.5, GaSou/Ga O44
2team 7pt Georgia -6.5, GaSou/Ga O44
.5u 2team 7pt Penn St +10.5, Michigan/PennSt O35
.5u 2team 7pt Kst +3, IowaSt/Kst O46.5
2team 7pt MTSt -16.5, NT/MTSt U70.5
3team 10pt GaSou +23.5, Tulsa +23, Washington -5
3team 10pt Okie St +13, Penn St +13, Washington -5
3team 10pt Houston +1.5, Houston/UConn O39, SOAL/GaSt O50.5
3team 10pt SOAL +13, SOAL/GaSt O50.5, Houston/Uconn O39
4team 7pt +200 SOAL +10 SOAL/GaSt O53.5, Houston -1.5, Houston/UConn O42
2team 7pt Wisconsin -4, Wisconsin/NW U49
2team 7pt Cal +16.5, Cal/Stanford O56
2team 7pt Tulane +10, Tulane/SMU O48.5
2team 7pt New Mex +10, ColoSt/NewMex U63
2team 7pt Washington -7, Washington/OregonSt O42.5
2team 7pt Colorado +21, Colo/WashSt U68.6
4team 7pt +200 Washington -7, Wash/OregSt O42.5, Colorado +21, Colo/WashSt U68.5
3team 10pt Washington -4, Washing/OregSt O39.5, Colorado +24
2team 7pt ULL -7.5, NMST/ULL O56
3team 10pt New Mex +13, Washington -4, UTSA +7
3team 10pt OU -7.5, Baylor/OSU O65.5, TCU/OU O53
4team 7pt +200 Cal/Stan O56, Stan -3, SDSU -7.5, SDSU/UNLV O44
2team 7pt SDSU -7.5, SDSU/UNLV O44
.5u 6team 7pt +475 Stanford -3, Cal/Stan O57, SDSU -7.5, SDSU/UNLV O44, SJSU -1, SJSU/Hawaii O45

Parlay
parlay 1u to win .776u BG, Ohio ML
parlay post #55
parlay post #66
parlay 1u to win 9.83u UNC, Wisconsin, navy, Washington -13, UTSA, SDSU -14
parlay 1u to win 1.55u Houston, Mississippi , Wisconsin, Navy
parlay .5u to win 7.859 Akron, SOAL, Houston, Duke, Navy, UTSA, ND
 
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Futures:
Clemson U 9 (10-0)
Houston O 8 (10-0)
Georgia U 9 (7-3) looking grim for a win, dont think auburn is a very good football team wishing now I had bet GA as a hedge to this bet and got lucky haha (was leaning Auburn but laid off)
Ok St O 7.5 (10-0)
BYU O 8 (7-3) should be able to beat Fresno St for the push but they handed a few away this year
Pitt O 6 (7-3)
Virginia U 4 (3-7) I am actually worried about this one now
Indiana O5.5 (4-6) likely dead
Boise O 10 (7-3) possibly winning out, also dropped some bad games *cough* NM, at least I was on NM
Iowa U 7.5 (8-0)
Florida O7 (8-1)
Vandy U3.5 (4-6) undeserved even if it hit, they were solid this year
 
another 2u on UNC -6.5

already on the move. no reason that line should have been hung under a TD, VT got a lot to play for but their offense vs UNC offense alone should have made that a TD
 
ksimpsc said:
another 2u on UNC -6.5

already on the move. no reason that line should have been hung under a TD, VT got a lot to play for but their offense vs UNC offense alone should have made that a TD
Click to expand...


opened at -8 at a lot of shops....shocked it dropped to -6
 
cxbbum said:
opened at -8 at a lot of shops....shocked it dropped to -6
Click to expand...
hope I am not hanging myself here but as a VT fan I felt like UNC would continue the crush train to keep form before ACC championship if they could. What is your though BUM? I also felt the more winnable game for VT would be the UVA game
 
big play on the Heels for me man, no doubt....hopefully the Heels do the same thing as in recent weeks and jump that ass from the start and build that significant lead....if they can, the Hokies won't be able to keep up and they know it....next week's the game they need to be thinking about
 
M.W. said:
It's low because this is Coach Beamer's last home game.
Click to expand...
Yea i can dig that and VT has won 2 of the last 3 against NC no less, just feel like they are on the warpath this year. What is your thoughts M.W.?
 
line moved to 3 so I will bite

2u Indiana +3.5 (b.5)

took Michigan to the brink last week and need the last two wins to make a bowl, and also to hit my season wins O5.5 lol. These next two are winnable games and hopefully bowl motivation counter acts any let down from the michigan game.
 
Awesome week last week, Ksimp! Card shaping up to be pretty solid again. My only pass would be on IND. Maryland actually better in the trenches/running match ups by my numbers, I'm not surprised the number is creeping up on that one. Indiana will have the passing advantage, though, even with Maryland getting marginally better at that.
 
ksimpsc said:
Yea i can dig that and VT has won 2 of the last 3 against NC no less, just feel like they are on the warpath this year. What is your thoughts M.W.?
Click to expand...

I think UNC's still underrated, and I've been bearish on VPI for four years now. But Beamer's last home game is a once-in-a-lifetime thing. I think I'll pass.
 
M.W. said:
I think UNC's still underrated, and I've been bearish on VPI for four years now. But Beamer's last home game is a once-in-a-lifetime thing. I think I'll pass.
Click to expand...
haha good point feels weird to call myself a Hokie and bet against the birds in Beamer's last home game.
 
M.W. said:
That USM line last week was absurd. This one is not as far off, but it's still too low.
Click to expand...
haha i was shocked that thing did not get any higher honestly, felt like a walk looking at the line. a buddy took convincing to take it because the line stunk so bad
 
TheSportsCruncher said:
Awesome week last week, Ksimp! Card shaping up to be pretty solid again. My only pass would be on IND. Maryland actually better in the trenches/running match ups by my numbers, I'm not surprised the number is creeping up on that one. Indiana will have the passing advantage, though, even with Maryland getting marginally better at that.
Click to expand...
Thanks cruncher, considered taking some buy back at -2.5 if I saw it again. Your thoughts and numbers always appreciated. I hope you had a good week too, would assume so from what I remember on your numbers.
 
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M.W. said:
I think UNC's still underrated, and I've been bearish on VPI for four years now. But Beamer's last home game is a once-in-a-lifetime thing. I think I'll pass.
Click to expand...


that's the only thing bothering me (from a fan standpoint)....how I wish they were on the road this week and home to the wahoos next week....shame Frank won't wait until after next year, when they are vastly improved
 
wow bg got hit to -8, taking another hit on the BG/OHIO teaser taking it to 1.5u

BG -1, Ohio -2.5
 
2u Midd Tenn St -23 (b1)
<!--[if !supportLineBreakNewLine]-->WKU -16(b.5)
<!--[if !supportLineBreakNewLine]-->made it 2u on Sou Miss -19.5(b1..5)
<!--[if !supportLineBreakNewLine]-->made it 3u on Navy -10 (b1.5)
<!--[if !supportLineBreakNewLine]-->.5u CMU -10
<!--[endif]--><!--[endif]--><!--[endif]--><!--[endif]--><!--[endif]-->
 
.5u 4team 7pt teaser +200 BG pk, Ohio -2.5, No Ill +4, CMU -4

got a big 14pt middle on the BG/Toledo game for these +200 teasers
 
BG was definitely the wrong side in that game, they got outplayed across the baord. Guess Toledo was still mad about the NIU flop.
 
.5u WMU/NIU O59 (b1)
.5u WMU TT O28.5
.5u WMU TT 1H O14.5
WMU/NIU 1Q O13.5
.5u WMU/NIU 1H O30.5
2team 7pt WMU +10, WMU/NIU O53
 
-1.41 between Tuesday and today. made some money back hitting everything on the CMU game and kicking myself for not playing NIU straight up but got that 2h money

*record edit after one of the losing teasers registered
 
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just a little jenk for me tonight, dont really like the feel of these games

 2team 6.5pt TxSt pk, ULM/TxSt U67
<!--[if !supportLineBreakNewLine]-->3team 10pt ECU/UCF O43.5, ULM/TXSt O48, AFA +21
3team 10pt ECU -4, ULM/TXSt O48, TxSt +4.5
3team 10pt ULM +15.5, ULM/TEX St O48, Navy -2
<!--[endif]-->
 
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