KJ Week 4 CFB

KJ

KJ

Bump. Set. Shuma!
+11.59 ytd thru 9/24

9/22

307 Utah ML -174 3*
307 Utah tt o30.5 -110 5*

9/23

321 NC State +11 +105 2*
327 UMass/Tenn o62.5 -105
375 Texas Tech/Houston o68.5 -110 3*
382 Tulane ML -155 2*
316 Georgia Tech -7 -135
334 Maryland ML -180
394 Texas A&M -2.5 -108 4*
365 UNM/Tulsa o69 -115 3*
311 Duke/UNC o63.5 -110 2*
384 Oklahoma St -12.5 -110 2.5*
384 Ok State tt o40 -115 5*
324 Georgia ML -135 4*
363 Hawaii +7 -105 2*
353 Washington -10 -132 8*
353 2h UWashington -7 +105 10*

9/24

421 ECU/UConn u64.5 -120 3*
421 ECU +4.5 -118 1.5*
 
Last edited:
Typically wait until game day to get a feel for games but have a couple I want early at numbers, will try to get UW at -10 but afraid I missed the boat and gonna have to buy it at this point.

394 Texas A&M -2.5 -108 4*
311 Duke/UNC o63.5 -110 2*
384 Oklahoma St -12.5 -110 2.5*
 
Thx

With UW, it's moved to 11.5 which isn't in that danger zone of numbers for me, I really want 10 and since that doesn't appear like it will be available to even purchase I'm at that uncomfortable point of avoiding 13. Which I'll do. I really think Browning goes off for 4 bucks...and I guess that might not be enough to cover if you think the Buffs put up a number, but the best unit on the field will likely be the UW front 7, not really positive CU scores more than 10. This is kinda a showcase game for Browning and Pettis, I expect big numbers from them and will bet accordingly.
 
307 Utah ML -174 3*

I've been wrong about Bear Down to this point, really thought they'd suck and they haven't. By a long way. And gotta pay the price now. But the value to me is with the extra 55 cents basically to get the ML as opposed to lay 3, it's a Friday night home game for Arizona so I'd expect the crowd to be crazy and drunk, which is what I'd expect on a Tuesday afternoon lol....but no reason to lay 3 imo for that difference, I expect the Utes to completely control this game, the clock, hell possibly score when they want to. But taking the points out of play makes it more ideal to me with that price tag. Will be on team total as well once available.

Mort Down!
 
73% on Utes at this point, hard to disagree and I'm a contrarian

Honestly thought when it opened at 3 it might drop but nope, so gotta do it this way I guess
 
As with any large wager there is concern and the first qtr on a Friday night is certainly that. Defense creates a couple turnovers and this one is in jeopardy but I firmly believe over the course of 60 minutes, if the game is well-played, this hits fairly easily. Unfortunately that's a big if, we all know how ridiculous this sport can get but Utes should dominate the LOS from both sides, and maybe it yields even a defensive TD...but this is a mismatch.

Can't wait to eat crow after this one that ends 9-6 or something but I can't find the advantage that AZ has on the field.
 
Rich Rodriguez versus Kyle Whittingham. Rich Rod owns more straight up wins versus Whittingham than any other head coach in college football. It's only four wins but it's true!
 
Appreciate it Austin, do realize I honestly don't take but a couple things from the past into predicting the future with my wagers but fuck I swing a miss frequently...situational wagering, I really only look into the last couple weeks although I realize season revenge is a thing...but not a big thing to me. This one isn't even situational. It's who I think will dominate on the field.
 
austinhous said:
Rich Rodriguez versus Kyle Whittingham. Rich Rod owns more straight up wins versus Whittingham than any other head coach in college football. It's only four wins but it's true!
Click to expand...
You are absolutely right, he has known how to attack Utah's defense better than anyone. Utah has made some adjustments with how their DE's and DT's play their gaps the last two games and I think they have found a way to limit AZ's run game.

This game worries me just off the history you mention but I think this year's Utes are a little different and even if it does get to a shootout I think Utah pulls away late. I like the over in this game and Utes -points if I had to take a side.
 
What a kick in the dick with that team total last night

321 NC State +11 +105 2*
327 UMass/Tenn o62.5 -105
375 Texas Tech/Houston o68.5 -110 3*
382 Tulane ML -155 2*
316 Georgia Tech -7 -135
334 Maryland ML -180

That's my story and I'm sticking to it til this afternoon
 
Alright, I'll play ball if available but got a thing today so whatever...buying UW to 10 is feasible

353 Washington -10 -132 8*
 
Well this might be the situational darling of the week but gonna play it

324 Georgia ML -135 4*
 
Thanks to jimmy, the drunkest person I think I've ever talked to for suggesting that 2h bet...we were watching that UW/Buff game and at 10-7 HT kinda knew UW was wearing them down but I really didn't feel like making a halftime wager. He talked me into it, well slurred me into it actually. But that game just kinda had that feeling about it.

9/24

421 ECU/UConn u64.5 -120 3*
421 ECU +4.5 -118 1.5*

A Sunday early game while NFL is kicking screams dog/under correlation, don't care how shitty ECU is...get the game over, go home.
 
You must log in or register to reply here.

Similar threads

KJ
KJ Week 4
Replies
17
Views
600
KJ
KJ
mrpickem
WEEK 5
Replies
8
Views
400
mrpickem
mrpickem
mrpickem
1️⃣3️⃣th WEEK
Replies
7
Views
595
mrpickem
mrpickem
KJ
KJ CFB Week 8
Replies
17
Views
1K
KJ
KJ
KJ
KJ CFB Week 13
Replies
24
Views
1K
KJ
KJ
Back
Top