KJ Week 3

[KJ]

-12.36 Week 2
+26.695 ytd

Seems like it could have been a LOT worse, tough week.

9/14

Memphis -15.5 -110 4*
HT/FT ML parlay Memphis/Maryland -118 2*
live 1h Miami FL -28.5 -120 2*

9/15

Army/UTSA u44.5 -110 3*

9/16

Louisville -10 -110 2*
Louisville/Wake ML parlay -200 2*
BC +26 -110 3*
BC ML +1300 .5*
Mizzou +3.5 -110 3*
Mizzou ML +142 .5*
live C Connecticut St +27.5 -110 3*
live (HT) Buffalo +9.5 -110 2*
Weber St +27.5 -110 2*
Bama -35 -110 2*
Minnesota +7 -112 4*
Minnesota ML +215
Northwestern +17 -110 2*
ECU +7.5 -110 2*
ECU ML +245 .5*
Rutgers/Tulane ML parlay -118 4*
Florida +5 -110 4*
Florida ML +170 1.5*
Ok State/Troy ML parlay +134 2*
CSU +24 -110 2*
CSU ML +1200 .5*
ASU +3.5 -110 3*
ASU ML +142

 

[KJ]

9/14

Memphis -15.5 -110 4*

 

[B.A.R.]

9/14

Memphis -15.5 -110 4*

Big chalk for you.

I like.

 

[KJ]

Big chalk for you.

I like.

Would have faded Navy this week if they played Annapolis High, didn't expect it to go down but don't really care. Short week for them and Memphis off the bye week...and Navy just simply isn't good. Not sure they'll take to the new coach this season at all.

 

[KJ]

Moar chalk

Louisville -10 -110 2*

 

[KJ]

9/15

Army/UTSA u44.5 -110 3*

 

[B.A.R.]

9/15

Army/UTSA u44.5 -110 3*

Should be perfect pace + clock

 

[B.A.R.]

Thoughts on Memphis at 13?

 

[KJ]

Thoughts on Memphis at 13?

Much rather have it than what I do have, not going to add...yet. No reason to bet into a bad number until after kickoff, think it really comes down to how quickly the Memphis defense can get off the field and keep Navy from draining clock. So far they've been very good at that and the coaching staff has seen the Navy triple option before, think this is a better, more athletic version of past Memphis defenses. Should have guessed that line movement would favor dog/under with the option game but I really bet it early because I didn't want to see this get up over 17. Obviously that was wrong, hope it doesn't matter.

Memphis defense has been spectacular at getting the ball back into the hands of the always versatile offense's hands, not remotely concerned about Henigan stalling drives out or turning it over. The hope is I can count the number of possessions that the CATS don't score on one finger or less. I do NOT expect Navy to score much in the first place so it's pretty easy to dismiss the long 10+ drives that end in TDs that I need to avoid.

Get typical athletic Memphis backfield that should produce plenty in the running game on top of an efficient experienced QB with weapons, I'd be more surprised if this was a game by the late 3rd quarter than if the Tigs were up by 4 scores. Pretty obvious if they can't get Navy's offense off the field and are playing their game by midway through the 2Q it will be panic time, I just don't expect that to be the case. This is a worse version of the Navy team Memphis handled easily last year on the road and imo a much better Memphis defense with the typically talented diverse offense we expect from them.

Memph tt is an option I wouldn't mind, really hoping whether the spread is two TDs or 3 TDs that it doesn't matter. Should see a strong Thur night home crowd to get that defense jacked up, that's what I'm counting on. Didn't really put 2 cents worth of thought into revenge because I don't think this version of the Midshipmen are really capable of exacting it.

 

[KJ]

Did find a creative way to fade Navy and UVA on the MLs, never done one of these before but good way to fade them when they're both laying 2 TDs for the game

HT/FT ML parlay Memphis/Maryland -118 2*

 

[KJ]

live 1h Miami FL -28.5 -120 2*

 

[KJ]

Live UTSA ML +150 3*

 

[KJ]

Shit card

Louisville/Wake ML parlay -200 2*
BC +26 -110 3*
BC ML +1300 .5*

 

[KJ]

Mizzou +3.5 -110 3*
Mizzou ML +142 .5*

 

[KJ]

live C Connecticut St +27.5 -110 3*

 

[KJ]

live (HT) Buffalo +9.5 -110 2*

 

[KJ]

Weber St +27.5 -110 2*

 

[KJ]

Bama -35 -110 2*
Minnesota +7 -112 4*
Minnesota ML +215
Northwestern +17 -110 2*
ECU +7.5 -110 2*
ECU ML +245 .5*
Rutgers/Tulane ML parlay -118 4*

 

[KJ]

Florida +5 -110 4*
Florida ML +170 1.5*
Ok State/Troy ML parlay +134 2*

 

[KJ]

Not going nuts tonight

CSU +24 -110 2*
CSU ML +1200 .5*
ASU +3.5 -110 3*
ASU ML +142