KJ Week 16 Outkicking the Coverage

[KJ]

Rare instance I'm actually catching line drops, why not? Might add as lines settle in but want to get in early in case I'm on the right side.

12/22

108 Titans tt u24 -110 2.5*
2109 Washington +13 -125 3*
123 Ravens ML +170
123 Ravens/Chargers o45.5 -110 2.5*
123 Ravens/Chargers u45 -110 2.5*
123 Ravens +4.5 -110 4*

12/23

101 Buccs +7 -110 2.5*
101 Buccs tt o20 -115
101 Buccs ML +260 .5*
103 Bills/Pats o45 -110 1.5*
106 Pans +3 -120 1.5*
106 Pans ML +128 .5*
109 Jags tt u17.5 -115
110 Dolphins -3.5 -110 4*
112 1h Colts tt o14.5 -120 3*
112 1h Colts -6.5 -120
112 2h Colts tt o14.5 -120 8*
112 2h Colts -7 +100 3*
114 Eagles -2 -110 1.5*
116 Lions +6.5 -115
116 Lions ML +225 .5*
118 Jets +3 -120 1.5*
120 Browns -6.5 -120 4*
119 Bengals/Browns o46 -110 2.5*
120 Browns tt o26.5 -130 3*
127 Steelers +6.5 -110 2*
127 Steelers +7 -110 2*
127 Steelers ML +230
126 Niners +3.5 -110 3*
126 Niners ML +185
122 Cardinals +14 -110 3*
121 Rams tt u29.5 +110 1.5*
130 Seahawks +1 -110 6*
130 Seahawks +1.5 -105 4*
130 Seahawks +3 -116 15*
129 Chiefs/Seahawks u54.5 -115 3*

12/24

131 Broncos/Raiders o42 -115 1.5*

 

[KJ]

12/22

123 Ravens/Chargers o45.5 -110 2.5*

12/23

110 Dolphins -3.5 -110 4*
127 Steelers +6.5 -110 2*
130 Seahawks +1 -110 6*

 

[KJ]

Add

127 Steelers +7 -110 2*

 

[KJ]

Ugh waited on it and went 4.5 to 3.5

126 Niners +3.5 -110 3*

 

[KJ]

130 Seahawks +1.5 -105 4*

 

[KJ]

Stupid initial bet, lands on 45 fugit but gonna buy off

123 Ravens/Chargers u45 -110 2.5*

 

[KJ]

118 Jets +3 -120 1.5*
120 Browns -6.5 -120 4*
119 Bengals/Browns o46 -110 2.5*

 

[KJ]

Nothing like the feeling when you get bad numbers on a game

123 Ravens +4.5 -110 4*

 

[B.A.R.]

Good luck. Ravens, Raccoons and John Flacco.

 

[KJ]

K

This Chiefs team is getting bet like the 2007 Pats. In Seattle. Who I believe are a better team than KC...before the obvious HFA and prime time stuff.

Not a stretch to think the SEA QB is better than the KC QB, he's proven it in big games, big situations, virtually more than he needs to

Do not think KC reach 20 pts, think Seahawks do. O Line is much better than perceived, running game is much better than perceived, Baldwin is much better than perceived yet all you hear about is the QB and the defense. This is a very large play, I don't care to understand the line...I'd like to understand the public as KC is taking 2/3 of tickets. Please.

130 Seahawks +3 -116 15*

The handicap is much more valuable than the ML where they're at right now imo, no need for fans of either to tell me it's right or wrong. Don't care if it loses by 20, it's right.

 

[Capaholic]

Good luck. Idk where you see 2/3. 3 places I have that track wagers KC is 51%, 52% and 62%. Maybe the third one is what you are using.

No need for me to tell you as you’ve made it clear but I’m going to do it anyways. Chiefs have not scored less than 26 in a game all year and this is the 4th worst defense they will have played all year (only Oak, Cincy and SF worse) per DVOA.

GL. Hope the chiefs win by 2. I’m not playing this one.

Edit: win by 1. Forgot your initial wager.

 

[Marsski]

Thoughts on Ohio over if you have a minute

 

[KJ]

Thoughts on Ohio over if you have a minute

Real quick line has obviously moved against an it may well be a loser, but I do think the Browns can score on almost every possession if they want. Both teams played what I consider as well as their defenses can play last weekend and as we all know that's tough to duplicate. Will be on Browns team total as well but won't have it until Sunday so I played it that way. Love the CLE defense but no chance they're as honed in against Bungles, I don't overly rate state rivalries in the pros as most aren't from anywhere near Ohio, I think it's set up to be a little loose from both D's. Think CLE gets say...34, need Cinci to chip in the difference against a defense that just balled out at Mile Hi under the lights.

That's all I got

 

[Marsski]

Real quick line has obviously moved against an it may well be a loser, but I do think the Browns can score on almost every possession if they want. Both teams played what I consider as well as their defenses can play last weekend and as we all know that's tough to duplicate. Will be on Browns team total as well but won't have it until Sunday so I played it that way. Love the CLE defense but no chance they're as honed in against Bungles, I don't overly rate state rivalries in the pros as most aren't from anywhere near Ohio, I think it's set up to be a little loose from both D's. Think CLE gets say...34, need Cinci to chip in the difference against a defense that just balled out at Mile Hi under the lights.

That's all I got

Yeah, I was looking at it...I think Cleveland gets 30...but Cincy running a bunch of backups out there on offense with Mixon. This spread starting to get out of hand @ 8.5...thanks for the thoughts

 

[Hulu]

Nice get on the Steelers. I would love to have a 7 in that game

 

[KJ]

Yeah, I was looking at it...I think Cleveland gets 30...but Cincy running a bunch of backups out there on offense with Mixon. This spread starting to get out of hand @ 8.5...thanks for the thoughts

Honestly I like CLE offense as the best of the 4 major units on the field, CIN defense should deflate a bit after last week, CIN offense vs what I believe is a very good but situationally handicapped defense. When I put it all in the magic 8 ball, it spits out over, moreso because of the Browns

 

[KJ]

Not much I like about favorites come this time of year

108 Titans tt u24 -110 2.5*
123 Ravens ML +170

 

[TW66]

Coming from a huge Ravens fan …..think they may run into a buzzsaw….I would be happy if im wrong on this one also.....bol this week bud

 

[KJ]

Coming from a huge Ravens fan …..think they may run into a buzzsaw….I would be happy if im wrong on this one also.....bol this week bud

Lol and I'm someone who still thinks regardless how ridiculous, that the Ravens can win the big one if they choose QBs wisely. And I basically pull for the Chargers when I can, they're still SD to me.

 

[KJ]

Interesting, getting an alt line workable so gonna do it

2109 Washington +13 -125 3*

 

[TW66]

nice yesterday KJ

 

[KJ]

101 Buccs +7 -110 2.5*
101 Buccs tt o20 -115
101 Buccs ML +260 .5*
126 Niners ML +185

 

[KJ]

120 Browns tt o26.5 -130 3*

 

[wiseplayer]

Not much I like about favorites come this time of year

108 Titans tt u24 -110 2.5*
123 Ravens ML +170

Outstanding

 

[KJ]

Outstanding

Except for that final play in NashVegas :angrytomato:

I know there's a large fraternity of Butler haters out there today, that f'n prick

 

[wiseplayer]

I was out. You're talking about that last score? That was crazy

 

[KJ]

I was out. You're talking about that last score? That was crazy

Well it killed that team total and a ton of under money in general

 

[KJ]

103 Bills/Pats o45 -110 1.5*
106 Pans +3 -120 1.5*
106 Pans ML +128 .5*
109 Jags tt u17.5 -115
112 1h Colts tt o14.5 -120 3*
112 1h Colts -6.5 -120
114 Eagles -2 -110 1.5*
116 Lions +6.5 -115
116 Lions ML +225 .5*

 

[rambler882]

Have a day

 

[KJ]

Dumbass play on the 1h off the huge win last week and Luck is just made for the 4th qtr comeback anyway

112 2h Colts tt o14.5 -120 8*
112 2h Colts -7 +100 3*

 

[KJ]

122 Cardinals +14 -110 3*
121 Rams tt u29.5 +110 1.5*

 

[Mitur Binisdirty]

Nice call on 2H Indy plays!

 

[KJ]

127 Steelers ML +230

 

[KJ]

129 Chiefs/Seahawks u54.5 -115 3*

 

[geopackiv]

Nailed the Seahags...ty

 

[KJ]

Only because it's going to be on at this thing I'm going to, not sure whether Oak care to leave the city on a win or maintain draft position and flip em the bird on the way out. Two shitty teams, maybe see some shenanigans.

131 Broncos/Raiders o42 -115 1.5*