KJ Week 1 CFB

KJ

KJ

Bump. Set. Shuma!
-5.28 ytd

8/31

170 UCF -17 -110
136 Minnesota -26 -105 2*
134 Indiana +20.5 -110 3*
139 New Mexico St +23.5 -110 5*
139 New Mexico St/ASU u70.5 -110 2*

9/1

143 U Washington -30.5 -110 2*
146 Florida Atlantic +11.5 -115 5*
146 FAU tt o28.5 -115 10*
146 FAU ML +290 2*
148 Wisconsin -28 -105
150 Northern Illinois +3 -113 2*
152 Colorado -6.5 -105 4*

9/2

156 Iowa -12.5 -105 3*
163 Akron +33 -120 2*
173 Ball St +7.5 -120
177 Cal +11 -110
198 NC State -5 -120 4*
171 Nevada/Northwestern o55.5 -110 2*
175 UTEP +44.5 -110
187 Temple +17 -105
201 Michigan/Florida u45 -110 5*
182 USC -27.5 -110 3*
191 Appalachian State +14 -125
158 Marshall pk -115 3*
157 Miami (O)/Marshall o50.5 -110 1.5*
196 UTSA +11 -102
165 Louisville/Purdue o67.5 -110 2*
205 Florida St +7 -115
183 Brigham Young +12 -110 4*
307 BYU/LSU u48 -110 2*
241 Youngstown State +14 -110 2*
290 Iowa State -8.5 -110 6*
296 SDSU -35 -110
303 NAU +24.5 -110 3*

9/3

210 VTU tt o28.5 -130 3*
212 UCLA -3 -128
212 UCLA tt o31.5 -120 2*
16428 Rosen o2.5 TD/Int -110 3*
16402 Starkel o17.5 completions -110 1.5*

9/4

Georgia Tech +4 -110 5*
 
Last edited:
170 UCF -17 -110
136 Minnesota -26 -105 2*
134 Indiana +20.5 -110 3*
139 New Mexico St +23.5 -110 5*
139 New Mexico St/ASU u70.5 -110 2*
 
Thanks mate

Want this number before I crunch the rest of the weekend...

9/4

Georgia Tech +4 -110 5*
 
9/1

143 U Washington -30.5 -110 2*
146 Florida Atlantic +11.5 -115 5*
148 Wisconsin -28 -105
150 Northern Illinois +3 -113 2* (I will ML this as well)
 
9/2

156 Iowa -12.5 -105 3*
163 Akron +33 -120 2*
173 Ball St +7.5 -120
177 Cal +11 -110
198 NC State -5 -120 4*
171 Nevada/Northwestern o55.5 -110 2*
175 UTEP +44.5 -110
187 Temple +17 -105
201 Michigan/Florida u45 -110 5* (obv missed the good number but don't think it matters)
182 USC -27.5 -110 3* (this should be a killin, nice to get value after WMU last season)
191 Appalachian State +14 -125
158 Marshall pk -115 3*
157 Miami (O)/Marshall o50.5 -110 1.5*
196 UTSA +11 -102
165 Louisville/Purdue o67.5 -110 2*
205 Florida St +7 -115
183 Brigham Young +12 1-110 4*

9/3

210 VTU team total will be a play but don't have it yet
212 UCLA -3 -128

Break time
 
BOL on the season KJ, see you are on two that I have been eyeballing Fla under and NCST.
 
Thanks timmy, I'll likely lay a hefty number on NCSU ML as well, just don't have it available yet. That UM/Fla game I see as a 13-7 type game and don't think the number matters
 
I am somewhat low on Colorado and a bit high on CSU this year...so this one is against the grain. I care much more about the situation than anything and CSU will be overvalued this week after OSU and Colorado is getting zero love from anyone, like last year was just a fluke. And while I might agree and they lost the best part of their defense, they have absolutely no business being a TD underdog to little brother. UC straight up, don't have the ML but this is damn near a super situation.

9/1

152 Colorado -6.5 -105 4*
 
Thanks, appears I whiffed on some of this line movement which I expect to beat most normally. Totals look good and usually that's not my wheelhouse.

Hope it doesn't matter.
 
With FAU, unfortunately didn't even see the game but in this effort sometimes you have to throw and hope it finds its target and clearly that one did not. I'm a little miffed and gonna have to now look at the box score, not that it will probably give me the full story but really thought they'd put up a number. Obv Navy is a different animal to defend but that score line looks a bit odd compared to what I expected of course. Also without watching it I'm gonna be at a disadvantage of not knowing even how talented the Owls are, really expected it to be coached up regardless but the box isn't gonna give me that info. Might have to reassess and really figure out if they're a team that can be coached up as the year goes on as it would take more than one crap game for me to change my opinion on Freshwater who I believe to be one of the best offensive minds out there.
 
Thanks coge, you as well...volume betting can be really tough early on, feel like I can beat the line moves and it's a mixed bag this week. Tough to gauge anything situationally when there aren't much in the way of situations week 1 although I might have found a couple...I think. CSU was a clear fade for me last not but obviously the rest of the night was shit. I enjoy the discussion and it can be difficult to come by at times, not really sure what to think of the BYU/LSU game as neither team has much affiliation with South Texas (of course individual players for LSU probably do) but I'm more into the attitude of the team. For all I know the SuperDome may be absolutely rocking or not close to what we normally would expect with the Tigers playing there. Think the defenses do well, probably well above normal thus the under but that one is very questionable to me. BYU could get KO'd early or it could be just ugly. Doubt they do much against that D regardless but having a game under their belts won't hurt I don't think.
 
To anyone who reads this garbage I tend to spew out and watched Navy/FAU, I'd love to hear the takes from that game. I have it stored but likely won't watch til midweek and I prefer to hear opinions before I watch and formulate my own opinion. I know, that's a different approach but it's important to me. Also, if they couldn't defend the option it's time to figure out if that's just a one week deal and an anomaly or just how it translates against more traditional offenses. Going to be interesting to say the least and yes I'm in the dark after they were an expensive and absolutely terrible investment tonight. Already have made it a point that I'm probably one of Kiffin's biggest fans (hope ProV still likes me) but that game, don't know if it's a sign or just a tosser.
 
From what I saw of the game (did not watch the entire thing), the QB missed a lot of throws and they had a couple of bad snaps in key situations. Just looked like they did not execute well. I think they should have been better prepared than they were, LK was busy tweeting out pictures of the new Yeezys that Kanye sent him pregame instead of firing his guys up (totally serious) I may have the outlying opinion here, but I just think LK is a loser and there's a reason he's bounced around so much. The Middies wore them down and those lightning delays did not help at all, took all of the air out of the building.

I can't make anything of LSU/BYU either. BYU really looked like shit last week, but the Tigers have a bunch of suspensions and lost a couple OL guys from what I saw. I like the under too, whatever happens neither of these teams is backing down from each other so a slugfest could be in order. Probably the only way to bet it, and just hope LSU takes a while to get going. I could see 28-10 or something around there. Gluck with the rest of your plays bud, am on a lot of similar stuff today.
 
Appreciate it, I do expect some Lane hate lol...situations possibly caused them to fail offensively? Again I'll probably watch the game on Wed so plenty of time but opinions really matter to me before I draw my own conclusion. Simply bad snaps or something? If so that's a sign of not being prepared accordingly obviously. Very curious because this is a team I kind of expect to be invested in somewhat heavily this season.

And don't get me wrong, I can be a brutal bitch and turn on Lane very quickly if my eyes tell me to do so.
 
Navy was strong on 3rd down and occasionally 4th down to keep drives alive and they can run their O in their sleep, even the new guys. There was a moment in the 3rd with it 28-13 and FAU stopped them on 3rd, Navy converted a 4th and short it was good night after that.

Looked to me that FAU wasn't quite comfortable, their game film for the coaches is going to be full of mistakes - lots more than ones I saw, game 1 with some new players and all new coaches and philosophy (and pressure?). They got a couple chunk plays and then would stall out, weren't very good actually. I expect FAU to get better as the season goes on, the potential is there, but they are going to have growing pains.
 
thanks, to know me I do not like watching replays

feedback important to me on this one
 
Add:

241 Youngstown State +14 -110 2*
290 Iowa State -8.5 -110 6*
296 SDSU -35 -110
303 NAU +24.5 -110 3*
 
I really really want to add EWU against TT but can't, problem is what projects to be a high scoring game that number means nothing to me
 
Thanks mate, let's get crunk

For those who don't know, I'm a very big Iowa State fan. But rarely bet on them, easier to bet against them for me. Yes it's a sizable wager and week one, never really know but I feel it's correct. Doubt you see me bet them all that often although this season I do think they're gonna be undervalued moreso than usual...just do think they statement the hell out of UNI who are not only an in-state rival but a thorn in the side and for good reason. They're one of the best in FCS, we should all know that at this point. But while I've found it easy to beat against the Clones in the past in situations, this is a bet on them and not against UNI. Complete bet on what's going on there, seems to be positive and if it loses so be it, don't know that I've gone in on them so much but I like it.
 
Thanks bud, hope I've made it abundantly clear I'm a volume bettor and don't know any other way
 
KJ said:
Thanks mate, let's get crunk

For those who don't know, I'm a very big Iowa State fan. But rarely bet on them, easier to bet against them for me. Yes it's a sizable wager and week one, never really know but I feel it's correct. Doubt you see me bet them all that often although this season I do think they're gonna be undervalued moreso than usual...just do think they statement the hell out of UNI who are not only an in-state rival but a thorn in the side and for good reason. They're one of the best in FCS, we should all know that at this point. But while I've found it easy to beat against the Clones in the past in situations, this is a bet on them and not against UNI. Complete bet on what's going on there, seems to be positive and if it loses so be it, don't know that I've gone in on them so much but I like it.
Click to expand...

Wanted to thank you for your confidence in this game, and the comment in the IAA beating IA thread...while I would've wanted to play it, I may not have without some of your optimism in it!
 
Glad it worked out man, watched the game online (seriously, gotta pay for a power 5 game just to have access this day and age?) really didn't think that spread was in much trouble.

210 VTU tt o28.5 -130 3*
 
212 UCLA tt o31.5 -120 2*
16428 Rosen o2.5 TD/Int -110 3*
16402 Starkel o17.5 completions -110 1.5* (this just from the concept that I think they're gonna have to pass a lot in the 2h)
 
Mora and Sumlin, two coaches on the hot seat, this one should be good. One thing I firmly believe is for Mora to save his job, he needs to showcase Rosen and start the Heisman campaign today, not tomorrow, and on national tv nonetheless. I expect the play calling in that could be insane...going 7-5 this year or whatever won't fly but a good year (9-3 works) with Rosen putting up monster stats will. Just have that feeling and I'm sticking with it.
 
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