KJ CL Groups MD6 + Europa

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KJ

Bump. Set. Shuma!
-4.40 MD1
-.55 MD2
+22.55 MD3
-5.15 MD4
-.35 MD5

+12.10 groups

Futures

Group A: Ajax to qualify +100 3*
Group C: InterMilan to qualify +110
Group C: Bayern to win -140 8*

Group G: Seville to qualify +160 2*
Napoli to win CL +1800


11/1

Leverkusen ML/ match o2.5 +115 2*
2h Leverkusen ML -115

Porto pk -110 4*
Ajax tt o2.5 +210 2*

Ajax tt o3.5 +550 .5*

Liverpool/Napoli o3.25 +100 3*
Liverpool tt o2.5 +210

11/2

Real Madrid -1.75 -130 3*
Real Madrid tt o2.5 -125 2*
Real Madrid tt o3.5 +205
Shakhtar/RB Leipzig o2.75 -115 4*

Shakhtar/RB Leipzig o3 +115
Chelsea tt o2.5 +150 2.5*
Chelsea tt o3.5 +400 .5*

Maccabi Haifa/Benfica o2.75 -115 2*
Juventus/PSG o2.75 -125 2*


11/3 Europa

Real Sociedad/Man United u2.25 -110 2*
Real Sociedad/Man United u2 +135

Feyenoord/Lazio o3 -115

Feyenoord tt o1.5 -115 3*
Feyenoord tt o2.5 +280 .5*
Lazio tt o1.5 +115 2*
Feyenoord/Lazio BTTS no draw +115
Qarabag/Freiburg o2.5 -120 2*

Qarabag/Freiburg o2.75 +105
Rennes/AEK Larnaca o3.5 -105 2*

Dynamo Kiev/Fenerbahce o2.75 -110
Dynamo Kiev/Fenerbahce o3 +125
Roma tt o2.5 +125 2*
Roma tt o3.5 +330 .5*
Roma/Ludogorets BTTS -110 2*
Roma/Ludogorets BTTS no draw +150

Braga -1.75 -125 2*

Braga -2 +105
Braga tt o2.5 -110 2*
 
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11/1 Early

Leverkusen ML/ match o2.5 +115 2*
2h Leverkusen ML -115
Porto pk -110 4*


Brugge and Porto have already clinched knockout but there's still a lot going on in this group. Porto win and Brugge don't, Porto wins the group. Leverkusen draw or win keeps them in play for Europa next season...and gets them there if Porto beat Atletico at home. Just riding with the two home teams this morning that actually have something to play for...technically all 4 teams this morning have plenty to play for and will be scoreboard watching the other match at the same time.
 
Group A matches today would take quite a bit of crazy for anything to change (Rangers need to beat Ajax by more than 4 when they've only scored 1 in 5 games, Pool needs to beat Napoli by more than 3 to win the group) which means a couple glorified exhibition matches.

Ajax tt o2.5 +210 2*
Ajax tt o3.5 +550 .5*
Liverpool/Napoli o3.25 +100 3*
Liverpool tt o2.5 +210
 
Group C no plays, nothing can possibly change regardless of results there thus a bunch of players sitting. Still enough talent to see goals in both matches but not worth it to me with so much talent out. Barca team total over 2.5 is only a lean and that's because of how willing Plzen are to give up goals. Maybe live if anything seems legit, not touching Bayern/Inter even live.
 
Lots going on in group D

Sporting can play for a draw but if Marseille beat Spurs at home, would be a 3 way for 2nd in the group, I believe they hold the tb over both Frankfurt and Spurs. Meanwhile Frankfurt need to beat Sporting since they're behind against those two. Frankfurt win, they're through. Marseille win, they're through also, Spurs tie and they're through. 9+ pts gets you through in this group and all can get there.

Think I'm gonna wait til HT and reassess, if either Spurs or Sporting fall behind, roles could instantly be reversed. At some point it looks as though there will be some bus parking in both matches, just the question of who is in position to do it.
 
Group F

Pretty straight forward, Leipzig draw, they're through. Shakhtar win, they're through. Madrid beat Celtic, they win the group but are already through. Celtic nothing to play for in Madrid.

11/2 Early

Real Madrid -1.75 -130 3*
Real Madrid tt o2.5 -1252*
Real Madrid tt o3.5 +205
Shakhtar/RB Leipzig o2.75 -115 4*
Shakhtar/RB Leipzig o3 +115
 
Group E

Chelsea have won the group, Milan/Salzburg is for CL or Europa unless Dinamo somehow win at the Bridge. Milan need draw or better, Salzburg need to go for victory. Tough to predict that match, will change dramatically if Salzburg score first.

Chelsea tt o2.5 +150 2.5*
Chelsea tt o3.5 +400 .5*
 
Group F

Completely set, results won't change a thing. No bets.

Group G

Interesting, PSG beat Juve they win the group most likely, TB is they are up 4 in GD over Benfica if both win. Juve taking a point or more at home over PSG wouldn't be shocking, nor would Maccabi at home v Benfica. Both will be trying to maximize for a spot in Europa. Going to play overs in both matches, pretty sure neither Juve nor Maccabi can just hope a scoreless draw gets them the 3rd place finish so should see some opportunities.

Maccabi Haifa/Benfica o2.75 -115 2*
Juventus/PSG o2.75 -125 2*
 
Nice day yesterday, Chelsea had plenty of chances to score the 3rd goal but just couldn't quite connect.

11/3 Europa early, only playing 3 of the 8 matches but multiple wagers on those 3

Real Sociedad/Man United u2.25 -110 2*
Real Sociedad/Man United u2 +135
Feyenoord/Lazio o3 -115
Feyenoord tt o1.5 -115 3*
Feyenoord tt o2.5 +280 .5*
Lazio tt o1.5 +115 2*
Feyenoord/Lazio BTTS no draw +115
Qarabag/Freiburg o2.5 -120 2*
Qarabag/Freiburg o2.75 +105
 
Late games

Rennes/AEKk Larnaca o3.5 -105 2*
Dynamo Kiev/Fenerbahce o2.75 -110
Dynamo Kiev/Fenerbahce o3 +125
Roma tt o2.5 +125 2*
Roma tt o3.5 +330 .5*
Braga -1.75 -125 2*
Braga -2 +105
Braga tt o2.5 -110 2*
 
Ludogorets has only been shutout once in groups, to the best team in the group last week. Roma also has to win to advance, going to hope it doesn't get to Roma 1-0 and they just park it, Ludogorets needs a draw at least and hard to see this 0-0, hoping it's open.

Roma/Ludogorets BTTS -110 2*
Roma/Ludogorets BTTS no draw +150
 
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