KJ Champions League Quarters

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KJ

KJ

Minister of Communication
+2.155 qualies
+11.405 matchday 1
-4.33 matchday 2
+13.30 matchday 3
+.40 matchday 4
+4.12 matchday 5
-3.06 matchday 6
+0.88 KO Playoffs
+24.87 CL total

Futures

Bayern to advance -225 8*
PSG to advance -190 10* DK
Live Atletico Madrid to advance -160 2* Hard Rock

4/7

Bayern Munich pk -130 5* DK
Bayern Munich -.25 +105 2*
Bayern Munich ML +135
Sporting/Arsenal BTTS -134 2*

4/8

PSG ML -134 5*
PSG -.75 +100 2.5*
PSG -1 +130 1.5*
PSG -1.25 +160
PSG -1.75 +255
PSG -2 +380 .5*
PSG -2.5 +475 .5*

4/14

Lewandowski anytime goal +120 1.5* DK
Yamal anytime goal +140 DK
Liverpool/PSG BTTS 2nd half +137 .5*
PSG to score in both halves +185 .25* DK
PSG pk +100 2*
PSG tt o1.5 -120
 
Last edited:
4/7

Bayern Munich to advance -225 8*
Bayern Munich pk -130 5* DK
Bayern Munich -.25 +105 2*
Bayern Munich ML +135
Sporting/Arsenal BTTS -134 2*

Not sure where to even go with Bayern vs RM. One team is good and one is in virtual turmoil. These lines are based on the RM name but these two are in different atmospheres at the moment.

Figure Sporting will go for goal a lot at home, protecting a draw or a short lead next match won't end well for them. Figure they need a 3-1 type result to have a chance but that usually means trouble for the defense.
 
Also getting an insane bargain on Bayern only because they're playing Madrid. The advance line should be closer to -350 and I confidently say that knowing that the PSG line to advance will be wagered as well. Bayern/PSG/Arse best left, Barca can make noise. Any of the four get beat in this round will be a significant upset. Really only upset that could make sense is Sporting over Barca. Pretty fun discount on Bayern only because they're playing RM. Not close to each other right now.

Future

Bayern to advance -225 8*
 
PSG to advance -190 10* DK

Reality is this price is so far off it's uncomfortable. This might well end up with a lot more on it. Liverpool are so far off right now and they've gone down the road of blaming their star striker who in my opinion has done everything right considering he's leaving after the season. What a messed up bunch. If they somehow can win 180 minutes against PSG I doubt I'll even tip my hat and more likely question wtf is wrong in Paris.
 
Not bad today!!!

PSG tomorrow seems too easy, -140 or take -0.5;-1 at home against a team in freefall seems like a trap. Should win this by 2 or 3
 
KJ said:
Any of the four get beat in this round will be a significant upset. Really only upset that could make sense is Sporting Atletico over Barca.
Click to expand...

I don’t understand the odds move on this one. Barca now -333 to qualify. Last year Inter were between +150/+200 to qualify and they beat Barca. I think Atletico as good as last year Inter and often close games between Atletico and Barca

I believe no Raphinha for Barca

I do think Barca the better team but I don’t think they qualify easily if they do
 
Where to go with this one. The love for Pool is the only reason this is priced the way it is. 5-0 wouldn't surprise me. So now how to bet it...

PSG ML -134 5*
PSG -.75 +100 2.5*
PSG -1 +130 1.5*
PSG -1.75 +160
PSG -1.75 +2.55
PSG -2 +380 .5*
PSG -2.5 +475 .5*

Hope I'm right on this puppy
 
KJ said:
Where to go with this one. The love for Pool is the only reason this is priced the way it is. 5-0 wouldn't surprise me. So now how to bet it...

PSG ML -134 5*
PSG -.75 +100 2.5*
PSG -1 +130 1.5*
PSG -1.75 +160
PSG -1.75 +2.55
PSG -2 +380 .5*
PSG -2.5 +475 .5*

Hope I'm right on this puppy
Click to expand...
Woooooo Nelly!!
 
Easy. And should have won by 3 or 4 Liverpool lucky that it was only 2-0

Expecting goals next week. Liverpool will have to go for it, plenty of space on the counters for PSG

Leaning o3;3.5 and PSG pk

They may be the best team again, next round against Bayern will be fun to watch
 
Atletico now -360 to qualify

But not over yet as Barca dominated completely even 10 vs 11 2nd half

Atletico basically scored 2 goals on 1 big chance total while

They had not won at Barca since 2006!
 
Overs are natural inclinations in leg 2 of these things when we're down to teams that are capable of scoring and need to score like Pool and Barca but with PSG to advance already in play significantly I'm only taking a slightly different approach than simply "it should be open and there should be goals". And both matches today may well go over.

4/14

Lewandowski anytime goal +120 1.5* DK
Yamal anytime goal +140 DK
PSG pk +100 2*
PSG tt o1.5 -120

If the price gets to around -150 for Barca tt o1.5 live I'll probably bite but it's hovering in the -225 range now and not adding much value to parlay with either of those guys scoring so just sticking with this prematch.
 
Seems there's value in these so playing for smaller

Liverpool/PSG BTTS 2nd half +137 .5*
PSG to score in both halves +185 .25* DK

Won't add it to the original play here but got a free play on anytime goal scorer today and used it on Lewy. Don't see any way down 2 goals that he doesn't get the call to take any penalty which automatically adds value if there's no discussion.
 
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