KJ Champions League MD4 (and Europa)

[KJ]

YTD
CL +3.13
Europa -1.47*

Futures

Bayern Munich to win CL +700 2*
Man City to win group A +110 3*
Atletico Madrid to win group B +160 1.5*
Ajax to win group C +225
Inter Milan to win group D +175 2*
Benfica to advance from group E +240
Man United to win group F -165 3*
Man United to win group F -175 3*
Villareal to advance from group F -125 2*
Salzburg to advance from group G +150

11/2

Chelsea o1.5 corners both halves -200 3*
Chelsea -3 corners v Malmo +110 2*
Wolfsburg/RB Salzburg draw +225
Wolfsburg/RB Salzburg 1st goal inside of 30 minutes -143 3*
Wolfsburg/RB Salzburg 1st goal inside of 15 minutes +180 1.5*
Sevilla ML and keep clean sheet +140 3*
Juve/Zenit 2h o1.5 goals +110 3*
Juve/Zenit goal 75 minutes to full time -110 2*
Juve/Zenit goal 80 minutes to full time +130
Atalanta/Man United o3.5 +138 2*
Bayern tt o2.5 -167 4*
Bayern tt o3.5 +138 2*
Villarreal/Young Boys BTTS -150 4*
Villarreal 1h ML -118 2*

19.02

11/3

AC Milan/Porto u2.5 -110 3*
AC Milan/Porto 1h draw -105
Real Madrid 2h -1 +180 2*
Real Madrid to win to nil -110 3*
Dortmund/Ajax o2.5 -225 5*
Dortmund/Ajax o3.5 +115 2*
Dortmund/Ajax BTTS -225 3*
Liverpool o1.5 corners in both halves -167 3*
Atletico Madrid +.5 +130 2*
Man City tt o2.5 -175 4*
Man City tt o3.5 +138 2*
Man City tt o4.5 +300
Man City tt o5.5 +600 .5*
PSG tt o1.5 -118 5*
PSG tt o2.5 +275
RB Leipzig/PSG o2.5 -187 3*
RB Leipzig/PSG o3.5 +138 2*
RB Leipzig/PSG o4.5 +300 .5*
Inter -1.5 -130 3*
Sporting 1h ML +100 3*
Sporting/Besiktas 1h o1.5 +150

23.96

11/4 Europa

Brondby/Rangers u2.5 -135 3*
Genk/West Ham penalty will be taken +200 2*
Napoli goal minute 75 to full time +120 2*
Napoli goal minute 60 to minute 75 +175 2*
Lyon tt o2.5 +130 3*
Lyon tt o3.5 +333
Monaco/PSV BTTS -143 3*
PSV tt o1.5 +175
Olympiacos/Eintracht Frankfurt o2.5 -115 4*
Antwerp 1h tt o.5 +100 3*
Antwerp pk -125 2*
Leverkusen/Betis o3.5 +138 2*
Leverkusen tt o1.5 -125 4*
Red Star Belgrade pk -275 2*
Dinamo Zagreb 1h ML +155 2*
Rapid Vienna 1h tt u.5 -187 3*
Celtic to score 1st goal -150 3*
Marseille/Lazio 2nd half no goals +280 2*

1.26

 

[KJ]

11/2

Chelsea o1.5 corners both halves -200 3*
Chelsea -3 corners v Malmo +110 2*
Wolfsburg/RB Salzburg draw +225
Wolfsburg/RB Salzburg 1st goal inside of 30 minutes -143 3*
Wolfsburg/RB Salzburg 1st goal inside of 15 minutes +180 1.5*
Sevilla ML and keep clean sheet +140 3*
Juve/Zenit 2h o1.5 goals +110 3*
Juve/Zenit goal 75 minutes to full time -110 2*
Juve/Zenit goal 80 minutes to full time +130
Atalanta/Man United o3.5 +138 2*
Bayern tt o2.5 -167 4*
Bayern tt o3.5 +138 2*
Villarreal/Young Boys BTTS -150 4*
Villarreal 1h ML -118 2*

Thought I'd get all 8 games in today but no clue how to treat Barca, Kiev has yet to score in CL and Barca have 1 goal...last match at home against Kiev. Now they play the return in Kiev, guess I think it stays under, Barca desperately needs the 3 points but they're nowhere close to a typical Barcelona team. Heavy pass unless something live makes sense.

 

[KJ]

Tough for me to do much with traditional wagers when these are all turnaround matches so they just played recently and g4 in a 6 game group stage really is only setting up the next matches for proceeding to KOs, favorites seem significantly favored and as mentioned, no clue what to do with Barca. Same can be said about Man United really.

 

[KJ]

Young Boys got VAR'd on a questionable foul, woulda been nice to hit that one. Gonna work on some of this stuff tonight for tomorrow, they've already changed times in Europe so it gives an extra hour on match days which is helpful.

 

[KJ]

11/3

AC Milan/Porto u2.5 -110 3*
AC Milan/Porto 1h draw -105
Real Madrid 2h -1 +180 2*
Real Madrid to win to nil -110 3*
Dortmund/Ajax o2.5 -225 5*
Dortmund/Ajax o3.5 +115 2*
Dortmund/Ajax BTTS -225 3*
Liverpool o1.5 corners in both halves -167 3*
Atletico Madrid +.5 +130 2*
Man City tt o2.5 -175 *
Man City tt o3.5 +138 2*
Man City tt o4.5 +300
Man City tt o5.5 +600 .5*
PSG tt o1.5 -118 5*
PSG tt o2.5 +275
RB Leipzig/PSG o2.5 -187 3*
RB Leipzig/PSG o3.5 +138 2*
RB Leipzig/PSG o4.5 +300 .5*
Inter -1.5 -130 3*
Sporting 1h ML +100 3*
Sporting/Besiktas 1h o1.5 +150

Hope it pays off, spent a bit of time and found plays in all 8 matches Wednesday. Not going to type out reasoning on them unless asked so feel free. Lots of great trends to go on tomorrow.

 

[Ryno14]

11/3

AC Milan/Porto u2.5 -110 3*
AC Milan/Porto 1h draw -105
Real Madrid 2h -1 +180 2*
Real Madrid to win to nil -110 3*
Dortmund/Ajax o2.5 -225 5*
Dortmund/Ajax o3.5 +115 2*
Dortmund/Ajax BTTS -225 3*
Liverpool o1.5 corners in both halves -167 3*
Atletico Madrid +.5 +130 2*
Man City tt o2.5 -175 *
Man City tt o3.5 +138 2*
Man City tt o4.5 +300
Man City tt o5.5 +600 .5*
PSG tt o1.5 -118 5*
PSG tt o2.5 +275
RB Leipzig/PSG o2.5 -187 3*
RB Leipzig/PSG o3.5 +138 2*
RB Leipzig/PSG o4.5 +300 .5*
Inter -1.5 -130 3*
Sporting 1h ML +100 3*
Sporting/Besiktas 1h o1.5 +150

Hope it pays off, spent a bit of time and found plays in all 8 matches Wednesday. Not going to type out reasoning on them unless asked so feel free. Lots of great trends to go on tomorrow.

Would love to hear Man City thoughts. I already played O3.5 for the match, but may dabble in those large TT overs

 

[KJ]

Would love to hear Man City thoughts. I already played O3.5 for the match, but may dabble in those large TT overs

Pretty easy for me with City, I simply think it's more of the same as the match in Belgium 3 weeks ago and one that City needs to get confidence with

Not scoring against West Ham and Palace this last week, this is the perfect team in this group to play to get back into gear. Wouldn't be surprised to see another 5-1 type score line.

One thing to watch is the ref, Luhoz from Spain, has quite the history of making calls against Pep including sending him off once. Pep is Catalonian so that divide is real, thankfully the match we get him as ref is against Brugge.

Only Bayern has more goals coming into yesterday than City in this competition, no striker...no problem against this club. Be nice to get City qualified through sooner than later to see how they approach the Winter transfer window, make it through groups and probably over pay for someone in January but they aren't winning this trophy without one.

 

[KJ]

11/4 Europa early matches

Brondby/Rangers u2.5 -135 3*
Genk/West Ham penalty will be taken +200 2*
Napoli goal minute 75 to full time +120 2*
Napoli goal minute 60 to minute 75 +175 2*
Lyon tt o2.5 +130 3*
Lyon tt o3.5 +333
Monaco/PSV BTTS -143 3*
PSV tt o1.5 +175
Olympiacos/Eintracht Frankfurt o2.5 -115 4*

Real Sociedad most likely won't lose but can't find any way to play it, even the 1h is too heavily juiced to feel comfortable about it.

 

[KJ]

Late matches

Antwerp 1h tt o.5 +100 3*
Antwerp pk -125 2*
Leverkusen/Betis o3.5 +138 2*
Leverkusen tt o1.5 -125 4*
Red Star Belgrade pk -275 2*
Dinamo Zagreb 1h ML +155 2*
Rapid Vienna 1h tt u.5 -187 3*
Celtic to score 1st goal -150 3*
Marseille/Lazio 2nd half no goals +280 2*