KJ Champions League 12/11-12 Groups Finale

[KJ]

-29.705 CL thru 11/28
-28.85 Europa thru 11/29
-.500 UEFA Super Cup
-58.555 total thru 11/29 (will add futures in after group stage)

Futures

Juventus to win Champions League +700 2.5*
Liverpool to win Champions League +1000 .5*
Dortmund to qualify from group A -165 4*
Dortmund to win group A +325
Inter Milan to qualify from group B +130 2*
Liverpool to win group C +140 2*
Napoli to qualify from group C +600 .5*
PSG to win group C -200 3.5* (after MD5)
Schalke to win group D +190
Ajax to qualify from group E +120 2.5*
Shakhtar Donetsk to qualify from group F +200 3*
Juventus to win group H -190 4*

12/11

20426 1h Lokomotiv Moscow +.25 -118 8*
20426 1h Lokomotiv Moscow ML +380
20426 Lokomotiv Moscow +.5 +102 4*
20426 Lokomotiv Moscow ML +320 .5*
20428 Galatasaray/Porto u2.75 -119 3*
20429 2h Porto pk -120 4*
20431 Club Brugge/Atletico Madrid u2.25 -102 3*
20434 Monaco/Dortmund o2.75 -123 4*
20435 Dortmund tt o2 -110 2.5*
20437 Barcelona/Spurs o3.25 -102 4*
20437 1h Barcelona/Spurs o1.25 -113 2*
20440 1h Inter Milan/PSV o1.25 -110 7*
20440 Inter Milan/PSV o3 -113 3*
20440 Inter Milan tt o2.5 +130 2.5*
20440 Inter Milan ML -233 5*
20443 Liverpool/Napoli o2.75 -119 6*
20443 1h Liverpool/Napoli o1.25 +100 2*
20444 Napoli tt o1 +110 2.5*
20447 Red Star/PSG o3.5 -119 3*

12/12

20401 Viktoria Plzen +25 -109 4*
20403 Viktoria Plzen/Roma draw +255
20404 Real Madrid tt o2.5 -115 2.5*
20404 Real Madrid/CSKA o3.25 -119 2*
20404 1h Real Madrid ML -147 3*
20408 Manchester United pk +113 2*
20411 1h Juventus ML -113 4*
20411 Juventus tt o2 -105 2*
20413 Ajax/Bayern Munich o3 -119 4*
20413 1h Ajax/Bayern Munich o1.25 +100 3*
20413 Ajax tt o1 -155 2.5*
20414 Bayern Munich tt o1.5 -135 1.5*
20416 Benfica/AEK Athens o2.75 +102 2.5*
20416 1h Benfica/AEK Athens o1 -129 2*
20416 Benfica tt o2 +105 2.5*
20419 Man City tt o2.5 -115 2.5*
20422 Shakhtar -.25 -101 3*
20422 Shakhtar tt o1.5 -120 2.5*
20422 1h Shakhtar/Lyon o1.25 +105 2*

 

[KJ]

Typically most comfortable day for capping groups and always very little time so this will virtually all be based on situations. Going to try to just do the first couple then spend at least a couple more minutes on the later matches.

 

[KJ]

20426 1h Lokomotiv Moscow +.25 -118 8*
20426 1h Lokomotiv Moscow ML +380
20426 Lokomotiv Moscow +.5 +102 4*
20426 Lokomotiv Moscow ML +320 .5*
20428 Galatasaray/Porto u2.75 -119 3*

Pretty simple bets here, group 1st and 2nd are set, only thing in question is who gets the #3 Europa spot and Lokomotiv must win this to finish 3rd, hope for Gala loss. Thinking Schalke should be nothing but focused on league play, this game means zilch to them. Lokomotiv should come out with some fire, so more on 1h than full game with Gala match going at the same time. Porto have nothing to play for, Gala on the other hand have to think draw should get them on to Europa so gonna guess (that's all this is clearly) they play for 0-0. Might come in for more at HT, If Gala get stuck having to go for it at some point, I could see Porto getting a couple or more on the counter.

 

[KJ]

Not a happy hedger here but must be done, only way Pool win the group is if PSG lose to Red Star and I can't see that, if Napoli and PSG both win at least I get a little on Italians but the Pool wagers are punted. After this wager, I'm hoping the Napoli future loses. PSG win and Napoli draw wouldn't suck either.

PSG to win group C -200 3.5* (after MD5)

 

[KJ]

20431 Club Brugge/Atletico Madrid u2.25 -102 3*

Brugge already in Europa, nothing to play for. Atletico need the victory to win the group, another match that could change depending on Dortmund match. For my future, hoping for a draw which I think 0-0 or 1-1 is feasible.

 

[KJ]

20434 Monaco/Dortmund o2.75 -123 4*
20435 Dortmund tt o2 -110 2.5*

Prolly should lay -227 on Dortmund ML since they need the win and help to win the group but if Atleti get an early lead, just not sure how this plays out. Monaco been comfortable giving up at least 2 goals at home though, so will play that angle. Another team that's just expected to treat this like an exhibition, they can't go anywhere and need to focus on the weekend for league play.

 

[KJ]

20437 Barcelona/Spurs o3.25 -102 4*
20437 1h Barcelona/Spurs o1.25 -113 2*

Really thought about the draw here but if Inter are winning the last 10 minutes should see Spurs going nuts trying to score and have a hard time believing if that happens there won't be a ton of chances both ways. Not like Barca have anything to play for so they should be out to have some fun

 

[KJ]

20429 2h Porto pk -120 4*

 

[KJ]

20440 1h Inter Milan/PSV o1.25 -110 7*
20440 Inter Milan/PSV o3 -113 3*
20440 Inter Milan tt o2.5 +130 2.5*
20440 Inter Milan ML -233 5*

Lots to go on in this one. First, PSV ain't afraid to give up goals. Second, Inter need to win (to start anyway). PSV have nothing to gain from this game and I have to assume they are 100% focused on winning Eredivisie now with a battle against Ajax at hand, but Ajax gotta travel and deal with knockout stage in the near future. Reason for the 1h press is that if they see Barca with an early lead on Spurs, no doubt Inter will change tactics to preserve a win or draw. But PSV should give up scoring chances if even by accident.

 

[KJ]

Match of the day and get to watch in Spanish!

20443 Liverpool/Napoli o2.75 -119 6*
20443 1h Liverpool/Napoli o1.25 +100 2*
20444 Napoli tt o1 +110 2.5*

Too many scenarios here, hard time not seeing Napoli get at least a goal. But just too much to play out in the head even when assuming PSG take care of biz.

 

[KJ]

20447 Red Star/PSG o3.5 -119 3*

Thought about just going with PSG tt over 3 but 3-1 type match wouldn't be surprising either. If that happens, I want it to win.

 

[Pyppurs]

GL.... Agree with most but see opposite with Spurs/Barca game total.

 

[KJ]

GL.... Agree with most but see opposite with Spurs/Barca game total.

All in all Pypp there is so much up in the air I guess I was afraid to take sides and opted for totals

Which means gotta be sharp come HT of these matches today, there's a lot going on

 

[KJ]

Safe to call yesterday a disaster, pretty lazy capping with so many eggs in the over basket but time was a bit tight last couple days and it showed. Not sure it woulda mattered much, never could have seen Barca/Spurs, Napoli/Pool or especially Inter/PSV results coming from a mile away. Maybe the Spurs but Napoli looked like bums with everything to play for, Inter zero excuse for that.

12/12

20401 Viktoria Plzen +25 -109 4*
20403 Viktoria Plzen/Roma draw +255
20404 Real Madrid tt o2.5 -115 2.5*
20404 Real Madrid/CSKA o3.25 -119 2*
20404 1h Real Madrid ML -147 3*

 

[KJ]

20408 Manchester United pk +113 2*
20411 1h Juventus ML -113 4*
20411 Juventus tt o2 -105 2*
20413 Ajax/Bayern Munich o3 -119 4*
20413 1h Ajax/Bayern Munich o1.25 +100 3*
20413 Ajax tt o1 -155 2.5*
20414 Bayern Munich tt o1.5 -135 1.5*
20416 Benfica/AEK Athens o2.75 +102 2.5*
20416 1h Benfica/AEK Athens o1 -129 2*
20416 Benfica tt o2 +105 2.5*
20419 Man City tt o2.5 -115 2.5*
20422 Shakhtar -.25 -101 3*
20422 Shakhtar tt o1.5 -120 2.5*
20422 1h Shakhtar/Lyon o1.25 +105 2*