KJ CFB Week 9

KJ

KJ

Bump. Set. Shuma!
-4.51 Week 8
+12.25 ytd

Going to try to get back into it tonight after several days where watching, or even thinking about sports wasn't in the cards.

10/25

Louisville/BC o53.5 -110 2* b365
1h Boise St/UNLV o31 -115 4* b365
live HT Rutgers/USC u68 -105 2* Caesars

10/26

Washington +5.5 -110 2* b365
Washington ML +180 .5* b365
Georgia Tech +11 -110 3* b365
Georgia Tech ML +320 .5* b365
Tulane/N Texas o69 -110 3* b365
UCF/Minnesota ML parlay +161 b365
UCF/TCU ML parlay +148 DK
Minnesota/Arizona ML parlay +121 DK
Illinois/Oregon u54.5 -110 3* b365
Missouri/Alabama u51.5 -115 2* ESPN
Oklahoma St +7 -110 3* b365
Oklahoma St ML +220 b365
live BYU/UCF o54.5 -115
live Texas Tech/TCU o64.5 -115 2*
live HT NW/Iowa o36.5 -105 2*
Oregon St +10.5 -110 2.5* DK
Oregon St ML +340 .5* DK
New Mexico/Colorado St o61.5 -115 3* ESPN
Wisconsin +6.5 -110 2* b365
Wisconsin ML +205 .5* b365
Michigan St/Michigan u39.5 -10 2.5* ESPN
Kentucky ML -120 2.5* DK
Kansas +10 -110 2* b365
Kansas ML +290 .5* b365
Duke +11 -110 2* b365
Duke ML +350 .5* b365
Cincinnati +6 -110 2.5* b365
Cincinnati ML +190 .5* b365

-16.80
 
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10/25

Lousiville/BC o53.5 -110 2* b365
1h Boise St/UNLV o31 -115 4* b365
 
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live HT Rutgers/USC u68 -105 2* Caesars

Don't get me started about clock management by Odom at the end of the 1h in Vegas
 
10/26

Washington +5.5 -110 2* b365
Washington ML +180 .5* b365
Georgia Tech +11 -110 3* b365
Georgia Tech ML +320 .5* b365
Tulane/N Texas o69 -110 3* b365
UCF/Minnesota ML parlay +161 b365
UCF/TCU ML parlay +148 DK
Minnesota/Arizona ML parlay +121 DK
Illinois/Oregon u54.5 -110 3* b365
Missouri/Alabama u51.5 -115 2* ESPN
Oklahoma St +7 -110 3* b365
Oklahoma St ML +220 b365
Oregon St +10.5 -110 2.5* DK
Oregon St ML +340 .5* DK
New Mexico/Colorado St o61.5 -115 3* ESPN
 
jimmymo said:
Good tequila morning bro......have a day
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Usually I'd wait for the 9am games to get to HT and get a feel for the day before going to the 12:30 bunch but decided to just get them both done at the same time this morning. Hope that doesn't bite me in the ass! Got some inklings towards how I want to play the 4pm and later stuff but nothing seems urgent. Usually I want to play the big game of the evening somehow but I don't feel comfy on either LSU or A&M. Maybe more live stuff tonight

Get em today, no tequila to this point..
 
I played over UNM/CSU 65 early this week thinking I was smart. Lol.

I don't see how it doesn't go over UNM has given up at least 35. Look at what AF did to them compared to every other game.

On the other side UNM has put up 50 3 weeks in a row.

I get CSU doesn't play at a fast tempo, but they still have to be in the 30s today.

I jumped on CSU tt over 34.5 later in the week.

GL today.
 
I like udub and wazzu. Just dunno what to do with gtech without king, he is so important to them the way he wills them to 1st downs when they gotta have them! Hokies laying that number w a suspect passer at qb does seem excessive tho. Gl today buddy
 
2daBank said:
I like udub and wazzu. Just dunno what to do with gtech without king, he is so important to them the way he wills them to 1st downs when they gotta have them! Hokies laying that number w a suspect passer at qb does seem excessive tho. Gl today buddy
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My big thing isn't the QB thing, I'm ok with the backup and the line has said it would be him all week but wasn't a fan of the big public dog thing. This blurb from one of the guys I read occasionally at VSiN for that kind of stuff made me feel a LOT more comfortable about all of that.

Georgia Tech at Virginia Tech​

12:00 p.m. ET (ACCN)

With everything that has gone on so far in 2024, is there really a double-digit difference between Georgia Tech and Virginia Tech? Sure, Yellow Jackets’ QB Haynes King missed last week against Notre Dame and is questionable for Saturday, but even still, replacement Zach Pyron looked pretty good against a much better Notre Dame defense. I can see why 62% of the betting public at DK is on the GT side, though, and when the majority number of bets has backed road underdogs for an ATS wager over the past two seasons, this majority group has gone 146-124 ATS (54.1%). This is off to a strong 20-13 ATS start in 2024.

The Hokies come off strong back-to-back wins, but let’s be honest: the BC game score of 42-21 was quite misleading, as Tech gave up all of a 21-0 early lead and benefitted late from turnovers. Anyway, Virginia Tech is 6-20 (23.1%) ATS in the last 26 games following up a SU win. This head-to-head series has virtually seen no home-field advantage, as road teams are on a 14-2 ATS surge in the Georgia Tech/Virginia Tech ACC series. Also, keep in mind that GT is on an 8-4 ATS surge as double-digit dogs for head coach Brent Key, with four outright wins.

College Football Week 9 Best Bet: Let’s go Georgia Tech +10 in Blacksburg
 
That is pretty shocking public dogs have done that well, they typically scare shit out of me. Now I like byu more!

I didn’t get a chance to see any of vtech backup last week, his numbers early on in particular looked really good. Think it was @CPA-hole who mentioned to me it was special teams fuck ups that did gtech in more than the qb last week. I’m just such a king fan it tough for me to like them without him. That said I doubt Hokies qb is any better than Gtech backup, prob a worse thrower! The special teams do concern me tho, Hokies known for making special teams play and last week wasn’t the only game special teams total killed Gtech, for all intensive purposes they were better than ville and the d only gave up 2 tds but the special teams were awful that game as well. Still couldn’t picture any world where id lay 10 w Hokies. Gl brotha
 
CPA-hole said:
I like Pyron. Should be better this week. Just need to them to clean up the STs and they can win outright.
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The special teams have been a problem more than one occasion if that what cost them last week, totally lost them the ville game. Scary against Hokies who known for elite special teams.
 
2daBank said:
That is pretty shocking public dogs have done that well, they typically scare shit out of me. Now I like byu more!

I didn’t get a chance to see any of vtech backup last week, his numbers early on in particular looked really good. Think it was @CPA-hole who mentioned to me it was special teams fuck ups that did gtech in more than the qb last week. I’m just such a king fan it tough for me to like them without him. That said I doubt Hokies qb is any better than Gtech backup, prob a worse thrower! The special teams do concern me tho, Hokies known for making special teams play and last week wasn’t the only game special teams total killed Gtech, for all intensive purposes they were better than ville and the d only gave up 2 tds but the special teams were awful that game as well. Still couldn’t picture any world where id lay 10 w Hokies. Gl brotha
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I like this UCF QB WAYYY more than what Gus threw out there before him and watched it first hand all game last week against ISU. He's got the chops and I think BYU been one of the luckiest teams in the country. Reason I only took UCF in ML parlays though, I don't mind BYU pass defense like years past but I still think UCF salvages their season today.
 
KJ said:
I like this UCF QB WAYYY more than what Gus threw out there before him and watched it first hand all game last week against ISU. He's got the chops and I think BYU been one of the luckiest teams in the country. Reason I only took UCF in ML parlays though, I don't mind BYU pass defense like years past but I still think UCF salvages their season today.
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Agree w byu luck just have the feeling it continues. I’m torn on whether to buy what ucf did at isu (which shocked me, maybe even more defensively) or just think it was them catching isu in tough spot/bad day? Maybe you right this kid playing qb will make big difference from Jefferson taking 10 yard losses all the time! Either way it be small but think I gotta stick on byu.
 
2daBank said:
Agree w byu luck just have the feeling it continues. I’m torn on whether to buy what ucf did at isu (which shocked me, maybe even more defensively) or just think it was them catching isu in tough spot/bad day? Maybe you right this kid playing qb will make big difference from Jefferson taking 10 yard losses all the time! Either way it be small but think I gotta stick on byu.
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They got the Clones for 9.1 ypc on the ground because the QB kept the LBs kinda stuck in the mud. Worst running defense in a game I've seen from the LBs in years for the Clones
 
Stupidest thing I heard on gameday today. Desmond Howard said BYU was sustainable because they cause so many turnovers. Lol
 
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Reactions: KJ
Dogs need to start barking for me this evening

Wisconsin +6.5 -110 2* b365
Wisconsin ML +205 .5* b365
Michigan St/Michigan u39.5 -10 2.5* ESPN
Kentucky ML -120 2.5* DK
Kansas +10 -110 2* b365
Kansas ML +290 .5* b365
Duke +11 -110 2* b365
Duke ML +350 .5* b365
 
Probably last one, not sure I want to get involved in Hawaii late

Cincinnati +6 -110 2.5* b365
Cincinnati ML +190 .5* b365
 
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