Just listened to smart well informed total idiot

[tuck321]

Runs bang the book and it was his Monday Pod
He was speculating that Tampa might be looking ahead to the Yankees so taking plus 1.5 might be a good play
OH MY GOD. Tampa wants wins and they tend to win by monster margins 2 run wins are VERY rare unless they are playing quality margin. This is true home and away but lets just look at their last 20 home wins by more than 1 run.
6-2
5-2
9-4
6-2
14-3
3-1
8-3
8-1
7-2
6-3
12-1
5-2
Lost my place
The only home series where they had any 2 run wins was with Houston the next series was Colorado
7-1
4-0
and that is pretty much what they do on the road as well
They do not look ahead they insist on BIG LEADS ALL THE TIME
Last 10 road wins 9-1 3 run wins
a few 1 run wins but really it is just MUCH better to lay 2.5 all the time

 

[cashflowmatters]

Always good infoTuck, thank you!

 

[tuck321]

NP locking in Reds based on 4-1 home record of Starter and very strong home ump one unpleasant trend though

 

[tuck321]

Bet yes and bet over in Tampa. Ump a big over who loves chalk Stanek with him a ERA of 20;25 based on 1.1 innings

 

[peelpub94]

Randazzo umping in SD, 0-7 for the home team.. lol

At what point does that record no longer become coincidence? Guess I'd have to go back and look at his game logs.

 

[mrpickem]

fukn reds crapd da bed onus

 

[tuck321]

If anyone has information about Urquidy I would like to hear it. I know he has been pitching in the minors and recently been pitching with a 1.80 ERA but he is going to be tested very hard, Colorado after being hit by 10 plus runs is 8-3. That game screams over to me

 

[tuck321]

Someone now like Ben May just likes to torture home teams perhaps

 

[tuck321]

Want to read more but Morton has a very good ump in Tampa

 

[tuck321]

I was surprised to see Jurado a dog but he is on 4 which I believe is about a 7 ERA--

 

[tuck321]

Detroit road fav may be bogus

 

[tuck321]

In the Reds game tomorrow Chase is on 4. Last year 5.30 ERA. This season 7.20. Lets just say I want to look at the facts about the ump when they made settle down and make sense

 

[tuck321]

Paxton on 5 1-2 6.75 ERA
Boston on Tuesday 4-10
Kyle Hendricks on 6 its been better in the past but 1-2 4,42 ERA based on 18.1 innings
With ump 4.91 11 innings
Mougrove on 5 6.02
Took WS small plus 16 after I gave up trying to make sense of it

 

[tuck321]

Looking at that ump again. He looks like he is good with Anderson but Baseball reference keeps saying 6.28 ERA based on 14.1 innings

 

[tuck321]

Skipping back briefly to Astro game The Astros are 10-3 on Tuesday and 10-0 after a day off. Are they really going to stop fighting?
Colorado is 13-3 in this favorite range and also the 8-3 after getting hit with 10 or more runs. WHO STOPS

 

[tuck321]

Price is on 6 in what he will regard a must win
3-1 2.48 ERA 29 innings
Will play if possible

 

[tuck321]

Strahm is ugly but live
Possible RL. A true measure of how bad Beedle is
I really do not want to wait on this till 7
What I know about Asher
30 games 6.64 ERA If I am missing something please inform me meanwhile I will study more

 

[JROCK1966]

Detroit road fav may be bogus

Tigers are 0-7 lifetime @ White Sox when Boyd starts a game for a -100% ROI. Not sure how anyone can lay money backing the Tigers tonight......

 

[tuck321]

Joined: Jan, 2012

Posts: 31876



Posted: 5 hours ago #1
Atlanta: Keuchel 5-1 $ home in July ... Texas: 11-3 home in Game Two of a series this season ... White Sox” Lopez 1-6 $ career team-starts in July ... Mets: Wheeler 10-1 $ home career team-starts in July ... Colorado: Marquez 8-1 $ career team starts in July, including 5-0 at home.

 

[tuck321]

Thought Astros were in low 40"s. Perhaps I am kidding myself

 

[tuck321]

Over 9 minus 20 cents Mets smaller bet Mets ml