June 6th MLB Discussion

[Gaius.T]

Giants, Brewers, Cubs, Astros after their loss yesterday.
Dodgers seem to be coming around.

 

[Inspekdah]

Splits seem to definitely favor Orioles. Not sure I can bet on these bums though.

Line seems short for Giants considering where Clay’s been lined previously.

Carrasco a big favorite but he sucks at day and at home. On the road 3 weeks ago though he did punk this lineup down with a CG where he fanned 14.

 

[tuck321]

Stratton is pitching in the day over 8 ERA

 

[mrpickem]

Stratton is pitching in the day over 8 ERA

Edit: I see he has 8.74 this year but 4.89 for career of 2+ years

I'm only seeing 4.89 and a lot of that came in one inn vs LAD where he gave up 6
View attachment 32762

His ERA for June is 0.00 Also I see he is the 4th most profitable starter over last 12 months at 15-7 +12u
View attachment 32763

 

[Big daddy naught]

Liking the over in sf/az

 

[Johnnyonthespot]

ATL(-128) @ SD(118)Nic LentzHome Record (ML)29-33 (-8.54 units)Under Record31-29 (0.02 units)
ARI(120) @ SF(-133)Bill WelkeHome Record (ML)229-196 (-4.67 units)Under Record193-213 (-33.01 units)
LAD(-114) @ PIT(104)Bruce DreckmanHome Record (ML)164-149 (-17.45 units)Under Record153-149 (-5.39 units)
COL(-133) @ CIN(123)Adrian JohnsonHome Record (ML)178-161 (-13.80 units)Under Record146-176 (-37.15 units)
PHI(119) @ CHC(-132)Victor CarapazzaHome Record (ML)115-113 (-18.44 units)Under Record125-91 (26.14 units)
MIA(179) @ STL(-200)Jansen ViscontiHome Record (ML)4-2 (-0.55 units)Under Record3-2 (0.74 units)
NYY(-140) @ TOR(126)Todd TichenorHome Record (ML)163-146 (-9.96 units)Under Record149-141 (0.71 units)
DET(188) @ BOS(-210)Mike DiMuroHome Record (ML)156-141 (-20.20 units)Under Record139-140 (-8.71 units)
OAK(-112) @ TEX(102)David RackleyHome Record (ML)96-59 (17.65 units)Under Record60-84 (-27.56 units)
SEA(175) @ HOU(-195)Paul NauertHome Record (ML)219-204 (-26.47 units)Under Record211-194 (5.63 units)
CHW(159) @ MIN(-174)CB BucknorHome Record (ML)221-198 (-15.36 units)Under Record201-195 (-5.56 units)
KC(209) @ LAA(-235)Jerry MealsHome Record (ML)228-213 (-18.72 units)Under Record196-217 (-32.29 units)
TB(147) @ WAS(-172)Ted BarrettHome Record (ML)256-188 (27.05 units)Under Record217-209 (-7.07 units)
BAL(104) @ NYM(-114)Alfonso MarquezHome Record (ML)227-167 (20.66 units)Under Record184-193 (-17.27 units)
MIL(150) @ CLE(-175)Quinn WolcottHome Record (ML)80-63 (0.32 units)Under Record61-75 (-17.25 units)

 

[Inspekdah]

Hard to cap these Rays with the way the manager starts relievers. Fading Nats against a lefty is smart but this guy might only go 1 inning.

Mets have scored 1, 0, 1 in their last 3 games or 32 innings.

 

[tuck321]

Right now I am not ready to make picks on the in the morning games so I am passing them. Small lean against the Mets because of a 7 game trend of losing after a loss by the starter but while I am sure there are correct bets I do not have them

 

[tuck321]

2 in
Braves ML 2 units Braves RL 1 UNIT
Foty on 4 is on his best rest .71 ERA He is backed up by a very good ref 6-0 with the Braves
That is just the way it is
Giants game is tough
Arizona is 2-7 on Wednesday Clay is excellent in the day
Stratton is playing at home after a home loss bad on this rest and in the day
Betting against him at home after a home loss is VERY dangerous
I made a small bet on Arizona first half and a small RL play on the Giants
If Stratton plays well I will bet in on Giants live. If he screws up I probably cash Arizona first half
Not a ideal spot but the best I can do

 

[tuck321]

Going to skip on a game Angels.
Kennedy is not on 5 where he is a monster fade but his night ERA 7.49 0-5 makes him a major target
still thinking but RL of some sort seems obvious
by the way Braves 7-2 Padres 3-5 on the DAYS

 

[tuck321]

At the moment doubt I will be making any bet on Yankee Toronto. Seems a solid pitcher for Toronto and Sonny pitching for a great Wednesday team like Yanks in the night. Will he be able to repeat his last game. No money at the moment for this game so far

 

[tuck321]

Bought into SF after the first 2 outs just hated not being on them

 

[tuck321]

Still musing over Boston. Its not that I love chalk but have a high tolerance for it with good teams and good ump. See nothing wrong with the other pitcher here but a major homer ump in Boston

 

[Inspekdah]

Gray hasn't gone into the 5th in 2 starts vs. Jays this season.

 

[Inspekdah]

Quintana can't pitch in Chicago, plain and simple. Should get shelled tonight.

 

[tuck321]

Played over in Reds major over ump 12-60 ERA 8.5???

 

[tuck321]

I am not sure what is true with Quintana
What we know is if you bet on him after his team has won you are very brave. We know his pitches very well at night . This at night after a loss
We know he has bad history vs Philadelphia and with this ump 19 innings 2.84 ERA

 

[tuck321]

Kudos to the Padre pen. It ls looking like Stratton just stinks in the day. At least I get the first half bet

 

[tuck321]

Ok In the Astro game LeBlanca is on inferior rest but still very good. Very solid pitcher.
I would not dare bet the game under even with a major under ump but he has a very good catcher and I did try it first half as well as Astros ML and RL
I put in a parlay of Boston and Angels RL. I am leaning toward a pass in the Texas game. This is not a good spot for Colon. He likes 6 days rest and the day and is getting neither but he has guts and a decent history with the ump. No interest in Pitt game.
Santiago may be a fade.. Not sure what to do with Philadelphia. Would like to play Nola but would like more. If I hit him it will be small
Nor seeing any mistakes in catcher so far

 

[tuck321]

Ok SF ties it up

 

[tuck321]

Hector new catcher

 

[tuck321]

Really starting to like the Reds over

 

[tuck321]

If you look at Kennedy You see a Lot of 3 run losses

 

[tuck321]

After 2 innings 40 pitches for LeBlanca
31 for Lance

 

[tuck321]

He seems to be cracking 2 hits and 2 walks now and the pitch count keeps going uo

 

[tuck321]

Guys have to bump up the Angels
Perez is Kennedy's catcher 7 games ERA 9.09 big mistake

 

[tuck321]

Just barely got the under