July 9th MLB discussion...Last week till all-star break

[Bushleague]

 

[Bushleague]

Both NY teams have double headers tomorrow. Neither Yanks game has been lined yet. Can’t set those lines high enough against the “unbetable” Orioles

 

[Big daddy naught]

Phillies (with Nola) / Dodgers ML parlay

Strong look at Tigers. Liriano is decent, and that price on Archer is way too high for a guy fresh off the DL and most likely on a PC

 

[mrpickem]

Break up the Rays, A's and Reds...most profitable teams over last 30 days although Astros win the most at 77%(they lay avg -241)

View attachment 33227

 

[aplous]

Suarez has been great, Hendricks dog shit lately

 

[mrpickem]

over 62% ROI on season fading Hendricks, but the question I ask; Is this really sustainable? I don't believe so.
Curiously the under is 11-6 in his starts and opponents avg less rpg so far. Hmmmm

View attachment 33229

 

[mrpickem]

Unders still cashing. Near 10% ROI playing all games under since May 1 with total less than 9 https://goo.gl/1yMbh1

View attachment 33230

Note: The away tag "A" used so only one result for each game

 

[mrpickem]

Rays 12-4 at home since 6/1 as avg +119 dog, by far the most profitable home team bet returning +11.85u or 71% ROI

View attachment 33231

What is even more amazing is they are 16-0 RL +91.5% ROI !!!!

date > 20180600 and H and team = Rays
SU: 12-4 (1.94, 75.0%) avg line: 119.4 / -130.3 on / against: +$1,185 / -$1,280 ROI: +70.9% / -57.5%
RL: 16-0 (2.88, 100.0%) avg line: -109.7 / -110.9 on / against: +$1,830 / -$1,945 ROI: +91.5% / -100.0%
OU: 6-9-1 (-1.03, 40.0%) avg total: 7.5 over / under: -$385 / +$225 ROI: -22.3% / +12.5%

 

[Bushleague]

so many -200 favs, usually we dont see these kind of numbers post trade dead line when teams have packed it in and is starting some AA call up.

 

[Bushleague]

 

[Bushleague]

Big Red Machine could be a live dog

Besides a couple SP Cle team hasn't impressed much

 

[emg2525]

Unders still cashing. Near 10% ROI playing all games under since May 1 with total less than 9 https://goo.gl/1yMbh1

View attachment 33230

Note: The away tag "A" used so only one result for each game

Just confirming I’m reading this correctly. This is for totals under but NOT including 9, right?

 

[Bushleague]

Just confirming I’m reading this correctly. This is for totals under but NOT including 9, right?

8.5 and under

 

[mrpickem]

I played them all for 20 ea today..considerably more on HOU U8 +100 for other reason(not included in this list but my biggest total play today).

• 903 Philadelphia Phillies/New York Mets Under 8 -105
• 905 Milwaukee Brewers/Miami Marlins Under 7½ +106
• 907 Los Angeles Dodgers/San Diego Padres Under 8 -110
• 909 Chicago Cubs/San Francisco Giants Under 7½ +100
• 915 Detroit Tigers/Tampa Bay Rays Under 7½ -110
• 917 Kansas City Royals/Minnesota Twins Under 8½ +100
• 925 Philadelphia Phillies/New York Mets Under 8 -104

 

[mrpickem]

corrupt series prices

View attachment 33238

tony #'s the same with 5 cents on a couple

 

[Bushleague]

corrupt series prices

View attachment 33238

tony #'s the same with 5 cents on a couple

Corrupt is your local book?

 

[tuck321]

There is some reason to like Oakland D based on their holding Cleveland down. That said when Houston scored 2 runs vs WS last game to me that would scare me a lot

 

[tuck321]

This maybe a surprise but these teams really do not like each other

 

[tuck321]

905 would not expect good pitching from their starter
some interest in Miami

 

[Inspekdah]

There is some reason to like Oakland D based on their holding Cleveland down. That said when Houston scored 2 runs vs WS last game to me that would scare me a lot

Astros absolutely mauled this SP for the A's last time.

 

[Johnnyonthespot]

Yanks are batting 5 dudes today. 6-9 not good. Machado sees CC well

 

[Johnnyonthespot]

Bautista and Reyes hitting combined .319

 

[tuck321]

That is true. The guy has a good record on 6+ but when I went through his game logs he did not look good. The result were mostly at home against weak teams
Skipping back to Cleveland the game scares me too but it is a 8-2 day for Cleveland and Clevinger is a very solid 6+ pitcher. His opponent tends to pitch well on 5 but has over a a 7 night ERA so for me its a total or Cleveland

 

[tuck321]

Most ways I like Sabathia but inferior catcher and terrible recent history but playing a starter its hard to look at

 

[tuck321]

Eflim history bad but may play with good ump

 

[tuck321]

Archer has been inconsistent on 6+ but 7-2 team record on Monday

 

[tuck321]

National starter seeems----to be a joke? Are they really this desperate?

 

[Bushleague]

Runline for Sabathia down to -140 from -165

 

[tuck321]

Ump in Baltimore this season has snuffed all hiome dogs and has a limited good history with Sab
Ump in Mets has 4 terrible innings with Efim and is a large over

 

[mrpickem]

Corrupt is your local book?

caribsport online book, me and a couple friends nicknamed it corrupt ears ago. online book that had phone service in early 90's before online

it's one of 3 i use, all online
5dimes aka tony and matchbook the other 2

 

[tuck321]

Freaky. In the second game Nola has a 13.50 ERA also based on 4 innings with the ump Cuzzi. Weird accident

 

[tuck321]

Chase has a new catcher. Not usually a good thing

 

[Bushleague]

Classic CC pitch well thru 5 then wheels fall off in the 6th

 

[tuck321]

Hate this umps really bad it seems for Berrios. First half bet on Duffy

 

[Hollywood Beaker]

Archer apparently on a pitch count of 75.

 

[Warhorse]

so many huge dogs today, eyeing reds, marlins and either royals or padres right now

 

[Timh]

National starter seeems----to be a joke? Are they really this desperate?

Can't be any worse than Roark and Gonzalez have been lately....and yes they are desparate with Strasburg and Hellickson injuries really messing up their rotation....can't expect Max to carry the entire load.

 

[mrpickem]

Didn't have balls to play O's earlier even though I had them picked...now what

O's 11-5 in game 2 of DH after winning 1st at home

team = Orioles and p:W and double header = 2 and H
SU: 11-5 (0.56, 68.8%) avg line: -122.8 / 110.2 on / against: +$477 / -$532 ROI: +23.1% / -30.2%


meanwhile nyy a pedestrian 7-5 in game 2 after losing 1st
team = Yankees and p:L and double header = 2
SU: 7-5 (2.00, 58.3%) avg line: -147.4 / 128.3 on / against: -$126 / +$36 ROI: -7.4% / +3.0%

 

[mrpickem]

public loving nyy game 2, careful you don't get sucked in

View attachment 33246

 

[tuck321]

Small bet Oakland first 5
Why? No way to hit the Manager.
He is forcing the new catcher on Cole again. 5 inning delight he has a 7.20 ERA with on 5 innings

 

[T-Rex]

Damn Mr P, I followed Balt only because of that stat you posted! Thank you very much for that, but sorry you didn’t follow yourself.

 

[T-Rex]

I went on both yanks game 2 and Phillies game 2 along with a few others

 

[tuck321]

Gave Suarez the wrong catcher 4.77 instead of 2.88

 

[tuck321]

GREAT hit for Kershaw
19 innings .75 ERA

 

[T-Rex]

Gave Suarez the wrong catcher 4.77 instead of 2.88

Damn, so no go on Suarez?

 

[T-Rex]

I rolled Kershaw with that stat and seeing as the Pads played 16 innings yesterday. Still threw something small on SF though. Good luck everyone! Praying for these Royals to hang on!!! Haha. LETS GO