Jordy Prop

[smith1051]

This is different from last weeks prop bet on Tate where he had to see the targets. Jordy IS going to get the looks:

Last season last game of regular season (against CHI) 16 targets (10 catches)
WK 1 14 targets (9 catches)
WK 2 16 targets (9 catches)
WK 3 7 targets (5 catches)

The key in this matchup is Lacy getting the shitty run game going of GB. If they have some semblance of a ground attack it will open up the already depleted secondary.

Take a look at the leading receivers against the Bears the 1st 3 weeks.

Robert Woods snag 4/6 in WK 1
Crabtree 7/9 in WK 2
Jeremy Kerley 7/11 in WK 3

So the prop bet today is Jordy O6.5 receptions at +105. I played that pretty damn large (for me)

 

[Schrute]

Tailed ya...got O6 -115

 

[smith1051]

:shake:

Really like the even 6 but at plus money I'd rather have the 6.5 catches. Shouldn't be a big deal today. After I placed my bet the line was moved from +105 to -115

 

[Johnnyonthespot]

I like how this depends on GB running well. Barnwell had a nice writeup suggesting they would have more success as first three teams had strong run Ds. Just stay from Fuller. GL

 

[Johnnyonthespot]

played LAcy over 67.5/-125 Lets hope this correlation works.

 

[smith1051]

I like it Johnny. My book doesn't have a Lacy prop.

With news that Jared Allen is out today I'm tempted to bite some more on the Jordy prop

 

[ProV1Colt]

Tailed as well, good eye, thanks smith!

 

[B.A.R.]

Tailed ya...got O6 -115

+1, need an action play anyways.

GL

 

[VANGIO]

Got it at 5.5 Rec -120...GL to us

 

[smith1051]

Just took some more at even money - so I'm heavily heavily invested. Here is to seeing a bunch of this today

View attachment 37023

so we can :money:at 3pm

 

[Toronto_Mike]

right on track

 

[ProV1Colt]

What a nice call. 6 in the 1H so far.... 1 more to cash.

 

[E.T.G.]

Good call man

 

[smith1051]

Fuck yeah. Huge huge huge play for me

 

[B.A.R.]

Chicken dinner, thanks for the analysis on this. Glad you hit it big.

 

[smith1051]

To say I was confident about this bet was an understatement

1. BET#: 448971444
STRAIGHT WAGER09/28/14 11:10 CDT
Bet $ 778.54 to win $ 778.54Result: Pending
Jordy Nelson (Packers) Total Receptions - Must Play
Receptions vs Receptions09/28/14 12:00 CDT
Over 6.5 (even)

2. BET#: 448927406
STRAIGHT WAGER09/28/14 09:13 CDT
Bet $ 952.38 to win $ 1,000.00Result: Pending
Jordy Nelson (Packers) Total Receptions - Must Play
Receptions vs Receptions09/28/14 12:00 CDT
Over 6.5 (+105)

 

[kobe911]

:shake: Tailed as well. Nice hit for ya!

 

[Toronto_Mike]

well done, I had o87.5 and was more confident once I read your analysis. Now make sure you don't blow that on teams like the Rams or Raiders

 

[smith1051]

Going to take 1 more prop on the afternoon games and that is another K-State guy. Wanted to take it this morning when it was -115 but wanted to get Jordy's prop in 1st.

Sproles Rushing+Receiving Yards O60.5 -130


I see the Eagles being behind most of the game (hell it's been the mo for the entire season) so those little dumpoffs to Sproles will be available. If he can get 20yds rushing this should go over IMO

 

[HUNT]

what book do u use bro?

 

[smith1051]

Sportsbook.ag I know most people think it is shitty but I've personally not had an issue with them so I've stuck with them

 

[smith1051]

Another prop that I put a little something on was Foles O30 completions +700

This is somewhat correlated to the Sproles prop. If I'm expecting the Eagles to play from behind and for the Niners to shut down the running game then this is good odds. Foles has completed 27/21/27 in the 1st 3 weeks when throwing nearly 41 attempts. Can he hit 75% of his passes?

 

[HUNT]

good job bro..just wondered where i could get limits that high for props.

 

[smith1051]

I was floored I was able to get down nearly 2K on the prop. Most other places I've seen will top out at 500-1K

 

[twinkie13]

Going to take 1 more prop on the afternoon games and that is another K-State guy. Wanted to take it this morning when it was -115 but wanted to get Jordy's prop in 1st.

Sproles Rushing+Receiving Yards O60.5 -130


I see the Eagles being behind most of the game (hell it's been the mo for the entire season) so those little dumpoffs to Sproles will be available. If he can get 20yds rushing this should go over IMO

Nice on Jordy bro


I assume this by natire of the rush/rec, but returns DO NOT count ?

gl on that one as well

 

[twinkie13]

and yea on the book

I get 250 max by my local on those