JBs Monday Hoops

JBsNuggets

Pretty much a regular
Tough weekend
YTD: 5-12 -5.15 Units


Big day today! 1st 5U play since posting...


1 Unit Indiana -10.5
2 Units Spurs -3
5 Units Minn +4
 
You do know that Minny without Pekovic and Martin and maybe without Love as well?
 
I handicap games with a formula me and a friend created. Spare you the gory details but it takes recent performance into account. Which means it adjusts a teams expected performance based on how they've played without key players, recently for MINN that's Pekovic Martin and Love. We only finalized the formula a week ago an haven't had much time betting with it until recently an have seen more variance from our expected spread over the past three days, that will turn around. We've back tested it through Dec. 1st and games that fall within limits of a 5 unit play are 10-0-1 YTD. Granted me saying this guarantees a loss, but I wanted you to know I don't pick games out of the air.
 
Yeah, I would consider playing Houston at that number... If Love is somehow ruled out, I will try and weasel out that same line... GL tonight bud
 
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