January-February 2020

[mrpickem]

[110-121 -15.87u]
Tough week 17, hopefully can do better going into playoffs

• 142 Houston Texans -2½ -110
• 142 Houston Texans 1st Half -135
• 141 Buffalo Bills/Houston Texans Under 43 -105
• 143 Tennessee Titans/New England Patriots Under 45 -105

randoms...

​

• Since the NFL expanded to 32 teams in 2002, QB's making 1st ever post season start have gone 10-28 SO and (11-27 ATC when facing a non-first time playoff starting QB. Since 2013, those first-time playoff quarterbacks are just 2-13 (3-12 ATS) in those spots. On the road, QBs in that spot have fared slightly better, going 6-13 both SU & ATS, but those teams have gone 1-6 SU and ATS since 2011. In all these games with a 1st time starter, the under has cashed 28 times in those 38 games.
• Also of note, teams that did not make playoffs the previous year facing a team that did are a mere 34.2% ATS
• Lastly, in all 1st round playoff games since expansion in 2002, the total has stay under for 60.6% (11-5 under last 4 years)

 

[B.A.R.]

GL bud

 

[mrpickem]

3-1 yesterday :breakdance:

• 145 Minnesota Vikings/New Orleans Saints Under 50 -105
• 146 New Orleans Saints 1st Half -5 -104
• 148 Philadelphia Eagles +100
• 147 Seattle Seahawks/Philadelphia Eagles Under 44½ -102
• 148 Philadelphia Eagles +½ -125

randoms...

• 
  PHI +100 - Really I just cant see SEA going into Philly and getting the W. They wont be able to run other than Wilson scrambles so I really cant see where their points come from. Looks like it could easily be a 24-6 type of game.
• NO -5 1H - In the 2017 NFL Playoffs, NO led the Vikes 24-23 with 10 seconds left in the game in the 2nd round after coming all the way back to take the lead. The Saints then gave up a 61 yard TD pass as time expired with an inexplicable missed tackle, and the play is now known as the “Minneapolis Miracle”. Since then, the Saints have been laughed at and forced to watch the replays of this play over and over. The Saints have watched the replay of that play daily for the last week since this game was announced, and the Saints have all the motivation in the world to not only win this game, but absolutely blowout the Vikings. The Saints are the 3 seed and the Vikings are the 6 seed, and I'm thinking the Saints, led by future HoF QB Drew Brees and WR Michael Thomas, to come out hot on offense and jump all over the Vikings. Also, did I mention the Saints are playing at home in their Superdome, known around the NFL as one of the loudest stadiums and toughest places to play, especially in the playoffs? I have little doubt the Saints lead by at least a touchdown at halftime, and maybe even closer to 10.

 

[mrpickem]

Of note:
Favs in the playoffs since 2006 are barely 25% covering when line is from 7 to 9.5
Last 5 years(shown: 3-11 21% and also the total was only 4-10 28.6%



23.8% for week 19(Divisional round)

 

[mrpickem]

Early game:

• 301 Minnesota Vikings +7 +100
• 301 Minnesota Vikings/San Francisco 49ers Over 44½ -105

​

 

[B.A.R.]

Good luck

 

[mrpickem]

I'm guessing the bookies did pretty good yesterday :moneyoutofhand:

Sunday action:

• 305 Houston Texans/Kansas City Chiefs Under 51 -109
• 306 Kansas City Chiefs 1st Half -6½ -110

 

[mrpickem]

I'm on a shut roll...fade away

• 307 Seattle Seahawks/Green Bay Packers 1st Half Under 22½ -105
• 307 Seattle Seahawks +4½ -109

 

[mrpickem]

TENN +7
TENN +4 +100 1H

 

[B.A.R.]

Post 7

GL today

 

[mrpickem]

SF +108
SF +103 1Q
UNDER 53'