January 2015

[hugh613]

YTD: 127-133-6, -14.29

Thursday:

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1/1/2015 8:05 PM NBA Basketball 502 Chicago Bulls* -10½ -110 vs Denver Nuggets *2 UNITS*
1/1/2015 8:05 PM NBA Basketball 503 Sacramento Kings/Minnesota Timberwolves* Over 210½ -110 *2 UNITS*
*It was a bad idea last year. It's probably a worse idea this year. It's 80's month (music wise, not how many units I'll be down by the end of the month, at least I hope not... : )

 

[hugh613]

YTD: 128-134-6, -14.49

Friday:

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1/2/2015 7:05 PM NBA Basketball 801 Cleveland Cavaliers/Charlotte Hornets* Under 193½ -110 *2 UNITS*
1/2/2015 7:05 PM NBA Basketball 803 Brooklyn Nets/Orlando Magic* Under 193 -110 *2 UNITS*
1/2/2015 7:35 PM NBA Basketball 807 Dallas Mavericks* -5½ -110 vs Boston Celtics *2 UNITS*

 

[hugh613]

Adding:

1/2/2015 9:05 PM NBA Basketball 816 Phoenix Suns* -14 -110 vs Philadelphia 76ers *2 UNITS*
1/2/2015 9:05 PM NBA Basketball 816 Phoenix Suns* Over 111½ -110 vs Philadelphia 76ers *2 UNITS*
*Nice to know I would've gone 3-0 had I played 1H - probably find a way to lose all 3 now...

 

[hugh613]

Everytime I back the Suns, they end up playing like the Mercury (actually, I shouldn't say that - Britney Griner would put up a better fight than this). SMH...

 

[hugh613]

YTD: 132-135-6, -8.69

Adding:

1/2/2015 10:35 PM NBA Basketball 821 Memphis Grizzlies/Los Angeles Lakers* Under 104½ -110 for 2nd Half *2 UNITS*

 

[hugh613]

YTD: 132-136-6, -10.89

Saturday:

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1/3/2015 7:05 PM NBA Basketball 501 Charlotte Hornets/Orlando Magic* Under 94 -110 for 1st Half *2 UNITS*
1/3/2015 8:05 PM NBA Basketball 505 Miami Heat/Houston Rockets* Over 100½ -110 for 1st Half *2 UNITS*
1/3/2015 8:05 PM NBA Basketball 508 Chicago Bulls* -5½ -110 vs Boston Celtics for 1st Half *2 UNITS*

 

[hugh613]

YTD: 135-136-6, -4.89

Sunday:

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1/4/2015 6:05 PM NBA Basketball 803 Brooklyn Nets* -140 vs Miami Heat *2 UNITS*

 

[hugh613]

Adding:

1/4/2015 1:05 PM NBA Basketball 802 Cleveland Cavaliers* +1½ -110 vs Dallas Mavericks for 2nd Half *2 UNITS*

 

[hugh613]

Adding:

1/4/2015 6:05 PM NBA Basketball 803 Brooklyn Nets* -1 -110 vs Miami Heat for 1st Half *2 UNITS*
1/4/2015 6:05 PM NBA Basketball 805 Sacramento Kings/Detroit Pistons* Under 105 -110 for 1st Half *2 UNITS*
*Have an uneasy feeling about tonight, but the Nets have really transformed since D-Will and (sometimes) Lopez have gone to the bench, and not expecting much resistance from a Heat team that's fading and playing on a B2B. As for the Pistons under, it's steaming over at the moment but I don't know... Hard to trust a team of non-shooters to keep up this sort of offensive output. Guess we'll see.

 

[hugh613]

Adding:

1/4/2015 7:35 PM NBA Basketball 807 Milwaukee Bucks/New York Knicks* Under 97 -110 for 1st Half *2 UNITS*
1/4/2015 8:05 PM NBA Basketball 809 Toronto Raptors/Phoenix Suns* Over 110½ -110 for 1st Half *2 UNITS*
*Nets brought their 'A' game tonight...

 

[hugh613]

YTD: 138-139-6, -6.09

Adding:

1/4/2015 9:35 PM NBA Basketball 811 Indiana Pacers* Under 49 -110 vs Los Angeles Lakers for 1st Half *2 UNITS*
*Not sure how smart it is to bet under against the Lakers (with my luck, Indy probably scores 35 in the 1Q), but the Pacers aren't scoring much in the 1H as of late and the Lakers, well, the Lakers are playing somewhat competent defense these days to start games at least. Let's roll the dice...

 

[hugh613]

Leave the room for two seconds and CJ Miles decides to go nuts from 3...

 

[hugh613]

YTD: 139-139-6, -4.09

Monday:

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1/5/2015 8:05 PM NBA Basketball 711 Washington Wizards/New Orleans Pelicans* Under 200½ -110 *2 UNITS*

 

[hugh613]

YTD: 140-139-6, -2.09

Tuesday:

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1/6/2015 8:35 PM NBA Basketball 504 San Antonio Spurs* -8 -110 vs Detroit Pistons *2 UNITS*
*Sure, the Pistons have won five in a row, but look at who they've beaten: Indiana, Cleveland, Orlando, New York and Sacramento. Four of the five have negative point differentials. Three of the five are below the league average in offensive efficiency (with Sacramento right on the bubble). Four of the five are below the league average in defensive efficiency. Four of the five are playing below .500, and each of those teams is dealing with a myriad of issues this season (with the possible exception of the Magic).

Yeah, you can say what you want about Josh Smith, but let's remember that this isn't a team that was supposed to be vying for a playoff spot this season and all of a sudden is making good on that promise. This is more like an average/below average team that still has several fatal flaws (like the Drummond/Monroe pairing up front, the lack of playmakers beyond Jennings, the overall lack of shooters, etc...) that just happens to be playing well at the moment.

If the Pistons manage to prove me wrong, more power to them.

 

[JBsNuggets]

Love it Hugh, GL buddy

 

[Paulie The Vig]

Good Luck hugh, was looking at the Spurs and Bucks and decided on nothing.

 

[hugh613]

Thanks JB and Paulie. As you know, I don't normally do write-ups because well, if it turns out wrong, you look like kind of a dope (that and I'd hate to be the reason why someone on the fence decides to change their mind and ends up losing instead), but I felt this game warranted one.

Good luck and Happy New Year guys.

 

[hugh613]

YTD: 140-140-6, -4.29

Wednesday:

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1/7/2015 7:05 PM NBA Basketball 703 New Orleans Pelicans/Charlotte Hornets* Under 92½ -110 for 1st Half *2 UNITS*
1/7/2015 7:35 PM NBA Basketball 709 Boston Celtics/Brooklyn Nets* Under 96 -110 for 1st Half *2 UNITS*
1/7/2015 7:35 PM NBA Basketball 711 Memphis Grizzlies/Atlanta Hawks* Under 96 -110 for 1st Half *2 UNITS*
*Yeah, I don't think I'll be doing any write ups tonight... ; )

 

[hugh613]

Adding:

1/7/2015 8:35 PM NBA Basketball 716 Dallas Mavericks* -5½ -105 vs Detroit Pistons for 1st Half *2 UNITS*

 

[emkee]

GL tonight, Hugh...

 

[hugh613]

YTD: 143-141-6, -0.39

Adding:

1/7/2015 9:35 PM NBA Basketball 719 Phoenix Suns/Minnesota Timberwolves* Over 108½ -110 for 1st Half *2 UNITS*

Thanks emkee.

 

[hugh613]

YTD: 143-142-6, -2.59

Thursday:

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1/8/2015 7:30 PM Props Basketball 5013 K.Walker points over 22½* -110 vs K.Walker points under 22½ *2 UNITS*
*That was a spectacular 5 minutes back in the plus zone last night... Plus, how about those Suns and T-Wolves? Can't hit a fucking thing while I'm watching, then turn around for 75 in the 4th quarter. Anyways, I'm not usually very good at these player props, but both the early games seem like coin flips and, really, 22.5? Kemba's gone off for 30+ in each of his last three games, for 23+ in five of his last seven overall, and for 23+ in six of his last eight on the road. Yeah, he logged some major minutes last night but, according to basketball reference, he's averaging 19.1 in the second of B2B's this season, so its not like we're talking about a major drop off here. Plus, and here's the big thing, with Jefferson on the shelf, the offense is flowing squarely through him right now. As for the Raptors, they're coming off a roadie where they got hit pretty good by the opposing guards, so one more game doesn't seem out of the question.

Like I said, I'm not usually very good with these player props, but seems like Kemba should be in position to still be on the floor right up until the end of this one, so hopefully it's a productive night.

 

[hugh613]

YTD: 144-142-6, -0.59

Adding:

1/8/2015 10:35 PM NBA Basketball 505 Miami Heat/Portland Trail Blazers* Under 99½ -110 for 1st Half

 

[CASH]

look at you with 2 wins in a row... show off ...... love the music.... i am in a 50's and 60's kick right now--- listening to sha na na..

 

[hugh613]

YTD: 145-142-6, +0.41

Friday:

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1/9/2015 7:35 PM NBA Basketball 803 Philadelphia 76ers/Brooklyn Nets* Under 96 -110 for 1st Half
1/9/2015 8:05 PM NBA Basketball 810 Oklahoma City Thunder* -6½ -115 vs Utah Jazz for 1st Half
1/9/2015 8:05 PM NBA Basketball 811 Memphis Grizzlies/New Orleans Pelicans* Under 96 -110 for 1st Half

Thanks Cash (Bowzer? LOL...)

 

[tipyerbartender1]

Hadn't thought about the Go-Go's in a while. Thanks (?) hugh.

 

[hugh613]

Hadn't thought about the Go-Go's in a while. Thanks (?) hugh.

I still think about Belinda Carlisle every once in a while... when I'm in the shower. : )

 

[hugh613]

Adding:

1/9/2015 7:05 PM NBA Basketball 801 Boston Celtics* Over 50 -110 vs Indiana Pacers for 2nd Half *2 UNITS*

 

[hugh613]

YTD: 148-143-6, +3.26

Adding:

1/9/2015 8:05 PM NBA Basketball 811 Memphis Grizzlies/New Orleans Pelicans* Under 104 -110 for 2nd Half

 

[Paulie The Vig]

Nice to see you back on the Plus. I didn't have time to say more about the Under on the Indy game but you put it very well.
Also from memory it's late and to lazy to look again I think the last 10 times these two teams play Indy broke a 100 twice. My personal feeling is Indy's team total should never well almost never be over 100. Things have been breaking a little bad right now for me not that bad but now I hope your bad streak is behind you and back where you should be. :cheers3:


The way I see it, some trends carry a lot of weight (two teams that constantly go under against one another because of slow pace and tough defense, an Eastern team that can't handle the faster style of the Western teams, etc...), while others I would say are more happy coincidence than anything else. Doesn't mean it's wrong to take a look, just that it might not be as instructive as some others might be.

 

[hugh613]

YTD: 148-144-6, +2.16

Saturday:

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1/10/2015 1:00 PM Props Basketball 7013 K.Walker points over 22½* -115 vs K.Walker points under 22½ *2 UNITS*
*Might as well ride with Kemba again as he looks to nail down EC Player Of The Week. And like I said the other night, I'm not usually very good at these player props, but 22.5 is kind of ridiculous with the week he's been having. Four games with 28+ for an average of 30.8. Plus with Al Jefferson down, he is the offense right now: during his four game scoring streak (which just happens to coincide with the Hornets four game winning streak), he's accounted for 30.5% of the Hornets overall scoring (30.8/100.8) and has taken 29.1% of the Hornets overall shots (24.0/82.5). Both Allen Iverson and Carmelo Anthony would be proud...

Of course, he's bound to slow down at some point (and there's always the risk of a Hornets blowout which would put him on the bench in the 4Q), but being matched up against Jose Calderon or Pablo Prigioni shouldn't slow him down at all.

And one more thing: while basketball reference doesn't have specific numbers as to how he's done at the Garden vs. the Knicks (18.2 PPG Overall during his career), I seem to remember him having a good game or two (or three, or four) at the Garden during the Big East Tournament a few years back...

Thanks Paulie - you need a ticket to get on this ride (LOL)

 

[CASH]

Keep it going!!

 

[hugh613]

Keep it going!!

I'm trying!!

 

[hugh613]

Kemba being a little passive on offense to start the game. Might need the Knicks to jump out to a lead to force his hand...

 

[hugh613]

10 points after one, although he'll probably sit most of the second. Hopefully he can get to 14 or 15 by the half and take it from there.

 

[hugh613]

20 at the half, but I get the inescapable feeling I'm about to get fucked here...

 

[CASH]

1 more layup...

 

[hugh613]

1 more layup...

Look at the score though. I'm guessing the odds are pretty good he's not coming back onto the floor after this timeout...

 

[hugh613]

Spoke too soon. BOOM!

Thanks Cash.

 

[CASH]

Spoke too soon. BOOM!

Thanks Cash.

Was rooting hard for you !!!
i didn't think he would be on the court past the 6 minute mark..

 

[hugh613]

Was rooting hard for you !!!
i didn't think he would be on the court past the 6 minute mark..

Thanks Cash! I was shocked he was still on the floor, but good thing he was. Looks like he goes up against Tony Parker at home on Wednesday, so this could be the end of his run.

On a side note, Kemba does love the Garden...

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[hugh613]

YTD: 149-144-6, +4.16

Adding:

1/10/2015 7:35 PM NBA Basketball 505 Indiana Pacers* Over 97 -110 vs Philadelphia 76ers

 

[hugh613]

YTD: 149-145-6, +3.06

Sunday:

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1/11/2015 3:35 PM NBA Basketball 803 Miami Heat/Los Angeles Clippers* Under 200 -110

 

[Grind_4_Mine]

BOL hugh :cheers3:

 

[hugh613]

YTD: 149-146-6, +1.96

Adding:

1/11/2015 6:05 PM NBA Basketball 805 Phoenix Suns/Memphis Grizzlies* Under 100½ -110 for 1st Half
*The one game all week the Heat decide to run...

Thanks Grind.

 

[hugh613]

YTD: 151-145-6, +5.06 (EDIT: Looks like I jumped the gun on grading the Heat total as a loss...)

Adding:

1/11/2015 6:05 PM NBA Basketball 805 Phoenix Suns/Memphis Grizzlies* Over 107 -110 for 2nd Half
*Managed to get to 92 without the benefit of very many foul shots. That should change in the 2H...

 

[hugh613]

YTD: 152-145-6, +6.06

Adding:

1/11/2015 9:35 PM NBA Basketball 809 Portland Trail Blazers/Los Angeles Lakers* Over 101 -110 for 1st Half

 

[hugh613]

Well, I guess there's not much point in watching the 2nd quarter...

 

[hugh613]

YTD: 152-146-6, +4.96

Monday:

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1/12/2015 7:35 PM NBA Basketball 706 Toronto Raptors* -5½ -120 vs Detroit Pistons

 

[hugh613]

Adding:

1/12/2015 7:35 PM NBA Basketball 702 Brooklyn Nets* Under 48 -110 vs Houston Rockets for 2nd Half