BlitzBandit
Friend of CTG
4-1 last week... let's keep it going...
Gonna do things just like I did last weekend... one game at a time...
Seattle +9 @ Green Bay ( 2 units )
The Packers like to run a lot of slant patterns with their receivers. They use it to attack man coverages. Against Seattle, I don't think that will work too well since Seattle mainly uses the Tampa Cover 2 zone. But it will be key for Seattle to pressure Favre with their front seven, which is underrated and not given much credit by alot of folks out there. They were able to pressure Collins last weekend, the thing is, Favre gets rid of the ball quickly. He may be old, but he still knows how to avoid sacks when the pressure is on. Green Bays' offensive line is also very solid at pass blocking for him, so that makes things a bit harder for the Hawks, but I think that's something they can overcome.
The Packers line is actually a bit weaker at run blocking and Seattle is good at stopping the run. The problem for Seattle there is that they have a tendency to give up long runs once a running back gets past their front line. Ryan Grant has been playing great and is very capable of getting past that front line plenty, so they will have their hands full. Grant was such an improvement to their running game that the Packers rushing value over average ranked 15th through the first eight games and jumped to 4th through the second half of the season. Seattles' rush defense, however, also made the exact same kind of jump through the season. Their value over average ranking at stopping the run through the first eight games was 15th... their ranking also went to 4th through the second half. With that said, I think Grant is going to have his work cutout for him.
Defensively, the Packers had the most defensive penalties in the league this season. And it is their secondary that has been the most responsible. They led the league in defensive pass interference and illegal contact penalties. Not something to be proud of. They would need to avoid these kind of mistakes this week or they may end up losing this one straight up.
Seattle has only lost by this many points twice this season. The first was a 21-0 loss AT PIT in which Seattle was off a 23-3 win AT SF when they entered that game and PIT came off a loss to the Cardinals (of all teams). Winning back to back road games is tough enough... playing the second road game against a pissed off PIT team on their turf is that much tougher... that's why PIT had no problems covering the 5.5 pts. The second time the Seahawks lost by this many points was the week following that PIT game where they lost to the Saints at home. They lost by 11 ( just barely over that 9 ).
The thing is, even if the Packers win this game like they are supposed to, I don't see a blowout. Seattle has a great passing attack and if GB goes up on them, they are still good enough to get the backdoor cover.
I'll be back before the Jac/Pats game to throw out what will end up being my biggest play for this weekend.
gl to everyone this weekend... and I hope we can all cash.
Gonna do things just like I did last weekend... one game at a time...
Seattle +9 @ Green Bay ( 2 units )
The Packers like to run a lot of slant patterns with their receivers. They use it to attack man coverages. Against Seattle, I don't think that will work too well since Seattle mainly uses the Tampa Cover 2 zone. But it will be key for Seattle to pressure Favre with their front seven, which is underrated and not given much credit by alot of folks out there. They were able to pressure Collins last weekend, the thing is, Favre gets rid of the ball quickly. He may be old, but he still knows how to avoid sacks when the pressure is on. Green Bays' offensive line is also very solid at pass blocking for him, so that makes things a bit harder for the Hawks, but I think that's something they can overcome.
The Packers line is actually a bit weaker at run blocking and Seattle is good at stopping the run. The problem for Seattle there is that they have a tendency to give up long runs once a running back gets past their front line. Ryan Grant has been playing great and is very capable of getting past that front line plenty, so they will have their hands full. Grant was such an improvement to their running game that the Packers rushing value over average ranked 15th through the first eight games and jumped to 4th through the second half of the season. Seattles' rush defense, however, also made the exact same kind of jump through the season. Their value over average ranking at stopping the run through the first eight games was 15th... their ranking also went to 4th through the second half. With that said, I think Grant is going to have his work cutout for him.
Defensively, the Packers had the most defensive penalties in the league this season. And it is their secondary that has been the most responsible. They led the league in defensive pass interference and illegal contact penalties. Not something to be proud of. They would need to avoid these kind of mistakes this week or they may end up losing this one straight up.
Seattle has only lost by this many points twice this season. The first was a 21-0 loss AT PIT in which Seattle was off a 23-3 win AT SF when they entered that game and PIT came off a loss to the Cardinals (of all teams). Winning back to back road games is tough enough... playing the second road game against a pissed off PIT team on their turf is that much tougher... that's why PIT had no problems covering the 5.5 pts. The second time the Seahawks lost by this many points was the week following that PIT game where they lost to the Saints at home. They lost by 11 ( just barely over that 9 ).
The thing is, even if the Packers win this game like they are supposed to, I don't see a blowout. Seattle has a great passing attack and if GB goes up on them, they are still good enough to get the backdoor cover.
I'll be back before the Jac/Pats game to throw out what will end up being my biggest play for this weekend.
gl to everyone this weekend... and I hope we can all cash.
