JPicks
Pretty much a regular
Going to see how much I time I have to do a small w/up on the games of interest. Need to get back to grass roots level after some unspectacular times. Do yourself a favor and don't tail anything that I'm playing.
Charlotte/Memphis
SF covered the main point of this one. Memphis has covered 15 games this year and has 12 wins. The three covers they didn't win SU they were 12.5 point dogs on opening night and lost by 11, 11.5 point dogs to Phx and lost by 5 (outscoring Phx by 7 in the 4th), 13 point dogs and losing by 3 to the Spurs in OT. The Spurs loss is the highlight of them all as they actually fought to the buzzer. So it's either Grizzlies ML or Cats ATS with that history and the single digit line.
Memphis has now lost 6 straight and 9/10 ATS. They look pathetic in every sense of the word. Last time they played the Cats, Charlotte shot 66% for a franchise record @Mem. Grizzlies might remember that 30 point beating. Can't believe that this Memphis team actually beat Orlando at one point this year.
Sometimes the best thing to get out of a major rut is to hit the road. Charlotte has some old teammates coming into town on Friday before they embark on a huge WC road trip. One could easily argue that this is a game they absolutely have to win, but I see it more as an afterthought for them. It's not as if they're thinking about their playoff positioning and worrying about how a loss could affect them. I may be a sucker for a dog, but I'll be on the Grizz with a 50/50 split on the ML.
Toronto @ Detroit
Raptors look to be completely lost with Bosh calling Moon out for his horrible play lately. Losers of 6 straight they've been consistent in losing by 3-6 points every night. Perfect team to avoid unless they're favored or dogged huge. Teams tend to have a huge win or a blowout loss before working their way out of these kind of "slumps".
Pistons announced that Hamilton will be coming off the bench for the time being and I really don't know how that'll affect them.
Way to many questions in this game to get involved.
Boston @ Miami
Pierce, Perkins and Marion keep a line from being released. Tough spot for the Celtics trying to avoid looking ahead to the Magic on Thursday. Heat also have the Magic to play on Friday, but they certainly can't afford to look ahead. First game home from their successful road trip and Wade looks to be in prime form. Wade himself can't get this done and I don't see a ton of help coming his way. Really see the triangle playing out with Boston covering at Miami, Orlando covering vs Bos, and then Miami covering vs Orlando. Of course injuries can change those thoughts. Boston does look strong finally getting some rest with this being their 4th game in 8 nights and their last 3 games provided comfortable leads to give the big 3 some rest. Lean Boston with a reasonable line.
Phoenix @ NY
Impossible for me not to like the over in this one. Team shot 43% in their first matchup and still rolled up 214 points. Suns coming off of a game where they had 23 TO's and are playing with a day off before and after the game. Knicks have been an under machine lately which gives me great pause on betting any over involving them. Really like the idea of taking the 5 points with the knicks and the over. Not sure either is solid enough to jump on, but would certainly lean that way. Need to look way deeper into this one.
Try to write up the rest tomorrow.
Charlotte/Memphis
SF covered the main point of this one. Memphis has covered 15 games this year and has 12 wins. The three covers they didn't win SU they were 12.5 point dogs on opening night and lost by 11, 11.5 point dogs to Phx and lost by 5 (outscoring Phx by 7 in the 4th), 13 point dogs and losing by 3 to the Spurs in OT. The Spurs loss is the highlight of them all as they actually fought to the buzzer. So it's either Grizzlies ML or Cats ATS with that history and the single digit line.
Memphis has now lost 6 straight and 9/10 ATS. They look pathetic in every sense of the word. Last time they played the Cats, Charlotte shot 66% for a franchise record @Mem. Grizzlies might remember that 30 point beating. Can't believe that this Memphis team actually beat Orlando at one point this year.
Sometimes the best thing to get out of a major rut is to hit the road. Charlotte has some old teammates coming into town on Friday before they embark on a huge WC road trip. One could easily argue that this is a game they absolutely have to win, but I see it more as an afterthought for them. It's not as if they're thinking about their playoff positioning and worrying about how a loss could affect them. I may be a sucker for a dog, but I'll be on the Grizz with a 50/50 split on the ML.
Toronto @ Detroit
Raptors look to be completely lost with Bosh calling Moon out for his horrible play lately. Losers of 6 straight they've been consistent in losing by 3-6 points every night. Perfect team to avoid unless they're favored or dogged huge. Teams tend to have a huge win or a blowout loss before working their way out of these kind of "slumps".
Pistons announced that Hamilton will be coming off the bench for the time being and I really don't know how that'll affect them.
Way to many questions in this game to get involved.
Boston @ Miami
Pierce, Perkins and Marion keep a line from being released. Tough spot for the Celtics trying to avoid looking ahead to the Magic on Thursday. Heat also have the Magic to play on Friday, but they certainly can't afford to look ahead. First game home from their successful road trip and Wade looks to be in prime form. Wade himself can't get this done and I don't see a ton of help coming his way. Really see the triangle playing out with Boston covering at Miami, Orlando covering vs Bos, and then Miami covering vs Orlando. Of course injuries can change those thoughts. Boston does look strong finally getting some rest with this being their 4th game in 8 nights and their last 3 games provided comfortable leads to give the big 3 some rest. Lean Boston with a reasonable line.
Phoenix @ NY
Impossible for me not to like the over in this one. Team shot 43% in their first matchup and still rolled up 214 points. Suns coming off of a game where they had 23 TO's and are playing with a day off before and after the game. Knicks have been an under machine lately which gives me great pause on betting any over involving them. Really like the idea of taking the 5 points with the knicks and the over. Not sure either is solid enough to jump on, but would certainly lean that way. Need to look way deeper into this one.
Try to write up the rest tomorrow.
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