Jags/Fins Thoughts...?

[emg2525]

Fins are the biggest public play on the board.

Jags are a huge sharp play today, with a big disrecpancy between the public and sharp sides (I believe biggest discrepancy on the board)

Line has moved down 2 points.

Anything can happen this late in the season, but this appears to be a large auto-play on Jax today.

Hold your nose!

 

[KJ]

I took Fins at open at -3.5 and alas it's back down there, won't worry about movement between 3.5 and 5.5 or whatever it was (although moving back across 4 is a little concern, not like 3 though). Honestly think Fins play for their coach, he's a very good coach in a very bad job...probly should take Jags under team total @17.5 now also, I just see no reason Jags show up here. I do pay attention to consensus (ironically MIA is the only of the top 10 consensus plays I have today atm) although it's not even 70% so of very little concern there.

GL w/the Jags...just the way I see it.

 

[VirginiaCavs]

GTBets has 2.5 now but pinny 3.5

 

[VirginiaCavs]

Jax very good at early 1 o‘clock games according to austinhous and Miami just lots its season. Could see this being like a 15-14 type game

 

[KJ]

Miami season was gone long ago, they weren't a legit playoff team. Like saying Cleveland is playing for their playoff lives today. Could be lower scoring, think Gase opens it up tho

 

[VirginiaCavs]

Miami season was gone long ago, they weren't a legit playoff team. Like saying Cleveland is playing for their playoff lives today. Could be lower scoring, think Gase opens it up tho

I agree but I doubt Miami saw it that way they were 7-6 and mathematically very in it. I doubt they thought they were garbage and weren‘t gonna make it anyways. They missed key defensive players and got killed by Minny in home sweet dome

 

[VirginiaCavs]

Does anyone have one of those betting tool things that locate sharp money?

 

[BJPLAYER]

One way to follow sharp money is by going to scoresandodds.com and watch line moves. They follow the largest offshore book (can't remember the name but I know a guy that works for them and I book on one of his sites) and they move their lines based on the sharp money. They are very arrogant in that they tell me that when books move in a consistent manner with their line moves it's because those books are following them. I bust his balls but I think he's right from watching them over the years.

 

[emg2525]

Here’s a decent read. Heck, sharp money aside, just the fact that the numbers came in so strong from the public on the dolphins is enough for me to fade them.

https://www.bangthebook.com/market-watch-who-are-the-sharps-betting-nfl-week-16/

 

[austinhous]

Nice job!

:cheers3:

 

[KJ]

Well done

 

[austinhous]

One way to follow sharp money is by going to scoresandodds.com and watch line moves.

Dang, didn't even realize, but out of all today's wagers at S&O Dolphins ATS is currently the #1 consensus wager in their top-10. Ahead of the Patriots even. Nice catch. Hopefully the losers all chase with the Bears!

 

[emg2525]

49ers seem like the play this afternoon. That’s where some of these profits will be going. Hopefully it’s a good piggyback. Thx

 

[KJ]

Pretty sure betting against consensus plays in the NFL cost me a relationship a few years ago, it was no way to live

It's something tho

 

[austinhous]

NCAA team totals had sex with my wife.

 

[austinhous]

only thing Fins can clinch now is their butt cheeks

 

[VirginiaCavs]

only thing Fins can clinch now is their butt cheeks

Yuck