Bet This MLB Parlay at (+244) on Monday
Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Angels
Monday, April 25, 2022 at 9:38 p.m. ET at Angel Stadium in Anaheim, California
Shane Bieber
Cleveland starter Shane Bieber is obviously very good. But he's even at his best at the start of the season.
In his career, Bieber boasts a 2.98 ERA in March/April.
So, his current success -- he is 1-0 with a 2.25 ERA after three starts -- must come as no surprise and, since it is still April, we have another reason to expect his success to continue.
Bieber has pitched once in Angel Stadium. He is 1-0 with a 1.29 ERA here given that one start.
While one game is a tiny data sample by itself, it creates a very favorable picture next to Bieber's current form and career-long success in the first month of the season.
Bieber's Stuff
Bieber has two primary pitches, the fastball and slider.
He throws both pitches with a combined frequency of nearly 80 percent.
Both primary pitches play well off each other.
As heat maps show, he likes to elevate his fastball. He'll often follow an elevated fastball with a slider located around the batter's knee.
Thus, he gladly changes the batter's eye level.
He'll also use these pitches to keep batters off balance. Their velocity differential is strong enough -- around six mph -- to achieve this effect.
One Angel batter who won't touch Bieber's stuff today is Shohei Ohtani.
In 10 career at-bats versus Bieber, Ohtani has twice as many strikeouts (four) as hits (two).
Cleveland Hitters' Situation
Cleveland last played on Sunday in New York.
It does not get a day of rest as it starts this four-game series in Anaheim.
The lack of rest will hurt Guardian batters as they try to battle travel fatigue.
This situation should induce us to expect a low-scoring Guardian output.
Angel starter Michael Lorenzen had a solid opening start against a Marlin team that was a much easier test than his last opponent Houston.
Lorenzen has plenty of strikeout potential, as evident in his opening start.
He just needs his command to bounce back, which it will, against this unintimidating Cleveland lineup.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
Monday, April 25, 2022 at 9:40 p.m. ET at Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona
Walker Buehler
It's only a matter of time until Dodger starter Walker Buehler rediscovers his potential.
A lot of pressure was placed on him at the start of the season as he was the Opening Day ace, whereas Clayton Kershaw typically received the honor of starting on Opening Day for the Dodgers.
Buehler has been fine for the most part, only his results look slanted because he had one poor outing against Atlanta.
Diamondback Batters
Buehler's results today will easily exceed the Opening Day success that he found in Colorado because he faces a significantly easier opponent.
Arizona objectively has one of the worst offenses in baseball. The Diamondbacks rank 28thin averaging 3.06 runs per game.
Chase Field is a great place not for Diamondback batters today but for Buehler.
In his career, he is 2-0 with a 2.63 ERA in four starts in Arizona's home ballpark.
Expect little from David Peralta, for example. He's 5-for-24 (.208) with five strikeouts in his career facing Buehler on the mound.
Merrill Kelly vs. Dodger Batters
His success against another statistically subpar lineup not withstanding, Arizona starter Merrill Kelly is vulnerable.
As heat maps show, he is too inclined to leave his fastball in dangerous parts of the plate.
This problem with location is particularly problematic because his fastball is his favorite pitch, he doesn't throw it hard at all, and its movement is nothing special.
Kelly's fastball only begins to explain Dodger hitters' great success against him.
To give two examples, Cody Bellinger and Mookie Betts each slug well over .800 in at least 10 career at-bats with Kelly on the mound.
The Verdict
Cleveland will struggle to score in Anaheim, but it has Shane Bieber to keep Angel scoring similarly low.
The Dodgers will ride Buehler to a dominating win over the Kelly-led Diamondbacks in Arizona.
For the above reasons, parlay the Guardians/Angels "under" with the Dodgers run-line for your Best Bets.
Be sure to use our trusty parlay calculator for your parlay betting needs.
Best Bet: Parlay Guardians/Angels Under 8 at -110 & Dodgers RL (-1.5) at -125 at +244 odds with BetOnline
Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Angels
Monday, April 25, 2022 at 9:38 p.m. ET at Angel Stadium in Anaheim, California
Shane Bieber
Cleveland starter Shane Bieber is obviously very good. But he's even at his best at the start of the season.
In his career, Bieber boasts a 2.98 ERA in March/April.
So, his current success -- he is 1-0 with a 2.25 ERA after three starts -- must come as no surprise and, since it is still April, we have another reason to expect his success to continue.
Bieber has pitched once in Angel Stadium. He is 1-0 with a 1.29 ERA here given that one start.
While one game is a tiny data sample by itself, it creates a very favorable picture next to Bieber's current form and career-long success in the first month of the season.
Bieber's Stuff
Bieber has two primary pitches, the fastball and slider.
He throws both pitches with a combined frequency of nearly 80 percent.
Both primary pitches play well off each other.
As heat maps show, he likes to elevate his fastball. He'll often follow an elevated fastball with a slider located around the batter's knee.
Thus, he gladly changes the batter's eye level.
He'll also use these pitches to keep batters off balance. Their velocity differential is strong enough -- around six mph -- to achieve this effect.
One Angel batter who won't touch Bieber's stuff today is Shohei Ohtani.
In 10 career at-bats versus Bieber, Ohtani has twice as many strikeouts (four) as hits (two).
Cleveland Hitters' Situation
Cleveland last played on Sunday in New York.
It does not get a day of rest as it starts this four-game series in Anaheim.
The lack of rest will hurt Guardian batters as they try to battle travel fatigue.
This situation should induce us to expect a low-scoring Guardian output.
Angel starter Michael Lorenzen had a solid opening start against a Marlin team that was a much easier test than his last opponent Houston.
Lorenzen has plenty of strikeout potential, as evident in his opening start.
He just needs his command to bounce back, which it will, against this unintimidating Cleveland lineup.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
Monday, April 25, 2022 at 9:40 p.m. ET at Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona
Walker Buehler
It's only a matter of time until Dodger starter Walker Buehler rediscovers his potential.
A lot of pressure was placed on him at the start of the season as he was the Opening Day ace, whereas Clayton Kershaw typically received the honor of starting on Opening Day for the Dodgers.
Buehler has been fine for the most part, only his results look slanted because he had one poor outing against Atlanta.
Diamondback Batters
Buehler's results today will easily exceed the Opening Day success that he found in Colorado because he faces a significantly easier opponent.
Arizona objectively has one of the worst offenses in baseball. The Diamondbacks rank 28thin averaging 3.06 runs per game.
Chase Field is a great place not for Diamondback batters today but for Buehler.
In his career, he is 2-0 with a 2.63 ERA in four starts in Arizona's home ballpark.
Expect little from David Peralta, for example. He's 5-for-24 (.208) with five strikeouts in his career facing Buehler on the mound.
Merrill Kelly vs. Dodger Batters
His success against another statistically subpar lineup not withstanding, Arizona starter Merrill Kelly is vulnerable.
As heat maps show, he is too inclined to leave his fastball in dangerous parts of the plate.
This problem with location is particularly problematic because his fastball is his favorite pitch, he doesn't throw it hard at all, and its movement is nothing special.
Kelly's fastball only begins to explain Dodger hitters' great success against him.
To give two examples, Cody Bellinger and Mookie Betts each slug well over .800 in at least 10 career at-bats with Kelly on the mound.
The Verdict
Cleveland will struggle to score in Anaheim, but it has Shane Bieber to keep Angel scoring similarly low.
The Dodgers will ride Buehler to a dominating win over the Kelly-led Diamondbacks in Arizona.
For the above reasons, parlay the Guardians/Angels "under" with the Dodgers run-line for your Best Bets.
Be sure to use our trusty parlay calculator for your parlay betting needs.
Best Bet: Parlay Guardians/Angels Under 8 at -110 & Dodgers RL (-1.5) at -125 at +244 odds with BetOnline
