If you like a trend

[pressitup]

Just to put it in one place. One of you smart guys may have already done this.
The divisional away dogs on their third road game. There are 3 out of the 4 games.
I love a good trend up to a point. I typically play dogs first week/faves second. This is a plus in that direction, full disclosure, I'm on all dogs but Iggles(played over).
I may get toasted this weekend. Wanted this trend out of the other threads if not posted.

week = 19 and AD and p:A and pp:A
1-9-0 (-8.40, 10.0%)
4-6-0 (-1.45, 40.0%) avg line: 7.0 +6: 7-3-0 (70.0%) -6: 1-9-0 (10.0%) +10: 9-1-0 (90.0%) -10: 1-9-0 (10.0%)
4-6-0 (-2.25, 40.0%) avg total: 41.5+6: 2-8-0 (20.0%) -6: 6-4-0 (60.0%) +10: 2-8-0 (20.0%) -10: 7-3-0 (70.0%)


Hoping this isn't how it turns out. If it was baccarat , I would pound the fave. God, I love baccarat.

 

[VirginiaCavs]

Can you please translate the trend to Englisch?

 

[pressitup]

the trend is I drink too much in the afternoon

 

[VirginiaCavs]

I don‘t get how some people type so well when drunk

 

[pressitup]

my dog loves me

 

[VirginiaCavs]

Chucky loves me

 

[Zeke]

Not to step on your thread but given you started a trend thread, thought I'd add.

Dogs who win SU in WC weekends have only gone 11-43 SU the following week.

There was something relative to overs hitting at a great clip on Saturday of Divisional weekend also but I don't remember the numbers.

 

[B.A.R.]

Not to step on your thread but given you started a trend thread, thought I'd add.

Dogs who win SU in WC weekends have only gone 11-43 SU the following week.

There was something relative to overs hitting at a great clip on Saturday of Divisional weekend also but I don't remember the numbers.

That trend does make sense.

 

[pressitup]

The original post shows dogs on their 3rd road game, in the divisional round, are 1-9 straight up.
THe format got messed up and I was too buzzed to notice I needed an edit.

Zeke , if I make this as simple for me as possible, I can search the database from 2002, because we have an uninterrupted schedule since that time.
I'm sure the SDQL gurus at CTG can do a better job, but this gets me the result with week 19 being the divisional round.

season >= 2002 and week = 19 and D and p: DW
SU 5-15-0 (-8.60, 25.0%)
ATS 10-10-0 (-0.68, 50.0%) avg line: 7.9
O/U 11-9-0 (1.60, 55.0%) avg total: 44.9

Here are results for dogs on their 3rd road game after a straight up dog win the previous week(from '02). Does not bode well for my plays , but it's a tool not the end all.

season >= 2002 and week = 19 and AD and p:ADW and pp:A
SU 1-5-0 (-8.17, 16.7%)
ATS 2-4-0 (-0.83, 33.3%) avg line: 7.3
O/U 2-4-0 (-5.42, 33.3%) avg total: 39.9

 

[Colin Wynner]

Not to step on your thread but given you started a trend thread, thought I'd add.

Dogs who win SU in WC weekends have only gone 11-43 SU the following week.

There was something relative to overs hitting at a great clip on Saturday of Divisional weekend also but I don't remember the numbers.

You are correct - 67.6% to the Over on Saturday of divisional since 2002.


Sunday, not so good for overs:



I am not sure day of week can be reliably correlated to successful outcomes, but the ATS splits raise an eyebrow on Sunday, visitors covering at ~70% clip since 2002.

 

[Zeke]

Agreed. One reason for the Saturday overs I can explain is how many times have the Pats played on a Saturday in the divisional round? Answer is a whole shitload & they have had plenty of shootouts in those games.

 

[Colin Wynner]

Agreed. One reason for the Saturday overs I can explain is how many times have the Pats played on a Saturday in the divisional round? Answer is a whole shitload & they have had plenty of shootouts in those games.

Good point - Eight times on Saturday, 8-0 SU, 5-3 ATS, 7-1 to the over; some serious beatdowns:



Removing the Pats makes overs 16-10 (61.5%).

 

[B.A.R.]

Good stuff Colin.

 

[emkee]

Good stuff Colin.

He’s a wynner.