BiffTFinancial
Pretty much a regular
Got a wager insurance bonus offer for up to a nickle from a book I wasn't using and since I'm hardly running hot, wondering what someone smarter than me would do.
Louisville
bet it on a ml dog you think is live
On Gophers already so that sounds like a real option. Also eying PSU TT under 28' - pace will be slow, weather will cooperate, Gophers off bye and stout defensively, Penn State showing very little explosiveness. PJ Fleck 9-4 ATS off a bye.Gophers +11.5. No freaking way they don’t cover this number, I think it more likely they pull the upset than lose by more than this.
Great suggestion. Duke, BC, Kansas all on my list and like the idea of turning nickle into ~600 or so rather than 450bet it on a ml dog you think is live
Good stuff!Thanks a lot for all of the input and discussion guys. Was a fun evening pondering this.
Narrowed it down to IU/OSU 1H under 27, Gophers +11', Mizzou/Miss State over 58 and Duke (either +3 or ML +120). Going with IU/OSU 1H under. It's the play I've liked best all week since McLaughlin's injury. This is the definition of a feeling-it-out-game. We don’t even know who OSU is starting on the OL, so we have no idea how IU will attack it, how OSU will counter, etc. Safe to say that OSU will start out leaning on the run game and their D (which is the best unit in the game) and be looking not to dig themselves a hole in the 1H. The IU defensive vulberabiliy here is outside against OSU's WRs but I don't think CRD will be going to that heavily early - think this is more a Chip Kelly 1H than a Jeremiah Smith and company 1H. And we saw the 2H vs UM that Indiana's OL can struggle against a good front, so thinking Hoosier 1H could be a lot about figuring out how to handle that mismatch. Weather should cooperate but won't have a significant impact. Day would be thrilled to win 24-10. I just don’t think there are 3 TDs in the 1H, which is basically what determines this outcome. Of course, I had some similar ideas about the 1H under in Happy Valley and we saw how that turned out.
also play coincides with baby's naptime (theoretically).