MLB Parlay for Today at (+250) Features Anemic Cardinal Offense
Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox
Wednesday, September 21, 2022 at 8:10 p.m. ET at Guaranteed Rate Field in Chicago
Who Starts for Cleveland?
Triston McKenzie starts for Cleveland today.
Pertinently to my favorite play for this game, McKenzie is a strong "under" pitcher.
The "under" is hitting in 59.3 percent of his starts overall.
McKenzie's Form
McKenzie's reliably strong play makes the "under" a relatively competitive option when he starts.
Most recently, he is coming off two strong starts against fellow AL Central contender Minnesota.
He lasted seven innings in both of these consecutive starts while yielding an FIP (like ERA but factors out fielding) below 2.70 in both starts.
McKenzie's Pitch Quality
Today's Guardian starter is repeatedly liable to strike out more than 10 batters in a game.
In his last start against the White Sox, he amassed 14 strikeouts while yielding an FIP that was superb enough to be negative -- his FIP was -0.89 in that start.
He whiffs batters especially with his curveball, which is a tight pitch in terms of its limited movement and lack of spin.
Its strength is largely in the way he plays it off his other pitches.
Particularly, he creates with this pitch stark changes in location and velocity that keeps the opposing batter off-balance.
McKenzie likes to locate low his curveball in the strike zone, often after elevating his fastball.
The latter pitch, moreover, averages 13 mph than his fastball, creating the effect that batters' knees buckle when they encounter his curveball.
McKenzie vs. White Sox Batters
Chicago's batters cannot figure McKenzie out.
This season, he is 1-0 with a 2.12 ERA in three starts against them.
One should expect White Sox batters to struggle with him on the mound because they rank 23rdin slugging against his favorite pitches from righties.
Who Starts for the White Sox?
Lance Lynn starts for the White Sox today.
Lynn has normally been effective.
He's allowed one run or zero runs in three of his last four starts.
Lynn vs. Guardian Batters
Primarily, Lynn throws a fastball, cutter, and sinker.
These three pitches make up over 80 percent of his arsenal.
He matches up well against Guardian batters in that they rank 29th against his favorite pitches from righties.
While one may counter that Guardian batters are hot lately, they still only rank 23rd against Lynn's favorite pitches from righties since their excellent stretch of play commenced on September 9.
St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padres
Wednesday, September 21, 2022 at 9:40 p.m. ET at Petco Park in San Diego
Who Starts for St. Louis?
Miles Mikolas starts for the Cardinals tonight.
St. Louis has lost the last two games in which he started even though those starts came against lowly Cincinnati and Pittsburgh.
He's been particularly bad for bettors to back in road games.
The Cardinals are yielding -4.7 units in road games in which Mikolas starts.
Mikolas' Regression
Mikolas has been weaker in the entire second half of the season.
While his FIP was 3.69 in the first half, it is 4.50 in the second.
He's striking out fewer batters while doing an awful job of limiting the long ball.
Who Starts for San Diego?
Blake Snell starts for the Padres today.
After limiting Arizona in his last start to one run in seven innings, Snell enters today's game in strong form.
Snell has allowed one run or zero runs in three of his last four starts.
He is a consistent threat to accumulate many strikeouts.
His fastball, for example, boasts a great combination of high velocity and high spin.
It ranks in the 81st percentile in velocity and 91st in spin, ensuring that batters struggle to keep up with this pitch while they have trouble tracking its trajectory.
But he actually whiffs batters at even higher rates with his slider and curveball.
Cardinal Slump
St. Louis batters are enduring a prolonged slump, which explains their most recent struggles to beat low-level teams like Washington, Pittsburgh, and Cincinnati.
The Cardinals have scored zero runs in their last three games through nine innings.
Best Bet: Parlay Guardians/White Sox under 7.5 at -110 & Padres ML at -120 at +250 odds with BetOnline
Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox
Wednesday, September 21, 2022 at 8:10 p.m. ET at Guaranteed Rate Field in Chicago
Who Starts for Cleveland?
Triston McKenzie starts for Cleveland today.
Pertinently to my favorite play for this game, McKenzie is a strong "under" pitcher.
The "under" is hitting in 59.3 percent of his starts overall.
McKenzie's Form
McKenzie's reliably strong play makes the "under" a relatively competitive option when he starts.
Most recently, he is coming off two strong starts against fellow AL Central contender Minnesota.
He lasted seven innings in both of these consecutive starts while yielding an FIP (like ERA but factors out fielding) below 2.70 in both starts.
McKenzie's Pitch Quality
Today's Guardian starter is repeatedly liable to strike out more than 10 batters in a game.
In his last start against the White Sox, he amassed 14 strikeouts while yielding an FIP that was superb enough to be negative -- his FIP was -0.89 in that start.
He whiffs batters especially with his curveball, which is a tight pitch in terms of its limited movement and lack of spin.
Its strength is largely in the way he plays it off his other pitches.
Particularly, he creates with this pitch stark changes in location and velocity that keeps the opposing batter off-balance.
McKenzie likes to locate low his curveball in the strike zone, often after elevating his fastball.
The latter pitch, moreover, averages 13 mph than his fastball, creating the effect that batters' knees buckle when they encounter his curveball.
McKenzie vs. White Sox Batters
Chicago's batters cannot figure McKenzie out.
This season, he is 1-0 with a 2.12 ERA in three starts against them.
One should expect White Sox batters to struggle with him on the mound because they rank 23rdin slugging against his favorite pitches from righties.
Who Starts for the White Sox?
Lance Lynn starts for the White Sox today.
Lynn has normally been effective.
He's allowed one run or zero runs in three of his last four starts.
Lynn vs. Guardian Batters
Primarily, Lynn throws a fastball, cutter, and sinker.
These three pitches make up over 80 percent of his arsenal.
He matches up well against Guardian batters in that they rank 29th against his favorite pitches from righties.
While one may counter that Guardian batters are hot lately, they still only rank 23rd against Lynn's favorite pitches from righties since their excellent stretch of play commenced on September 9.
St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padres
Wednesday, September 21, 2022 at 9:40 p.m. ET at Petco Park in San Diego
Who Starts for St. Louis?
Miles Mikolas starts for the Cardinals tonight.
St. Louis has lost the last two games in which he started even though those starts came against lowly Cincinnati and Pittsburgh.
He's been particularly bad for bettors to back in road games.
The Cardinals are yielding -4.7 units in road games in which Mikolas starts.
Mikolas' Regression
Mikolas has been weaker in the entire second half of the season.
While his FIP was 3.69 in the first half, it is 4.50 in the second.
He's striking out fewer batters while doing an awful job of limiting the long ball.
Who Starts for San Diego?
Blake Snell starts for the Padres today.
After limiting Arizona in his last start to one run in seven innings, Snell enters today's game in strong form.
Snell has allowed one run or zero runs in three of his last four starts.
He is a consistent threat to accumulate many strikeouts.
His fastball, for example, boasts a great combination of high velocity and high spin.
It ranks in the 81st percentile in velocity and 91st in spin, ensuring that batters struggle to keep up with this pitch while they have trouble tracking its trajectory.
But he actually whiffs batters at even higher rates with his slider and curveball.
Cardinal Slump
St. Louis batters are enduring a prolonged slump, which explains their most recent struggles to beat low-level teams like Washington, Pittsburgh, and Cincinnati.
The Cardinals have scored zero runs in their last three games through nine innings.
Best Bet: Parlay Guardians/White Sox under 7.5 at -110 & Padres ML at -120 at +250 odds with BetOnline
